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Epic winter signal continues to beam, part V


Baroclinic Zone

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How in heaven's name is this weekend likened to 78? 78 had the huge 1050 HP draining cold air into a clipper that exploded off HSE. WTF? Isn't this weekend event a Miller A type of deal?

Don't even bother trying to figure JB out... he knows that '78 will bring hits to the website. 'Nuff said.

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Nah, it will be overcome. Besides, your bread and butter is tomorrow.

I think there will be some surprise patches today and that "general swfe snowfall distribution" rule may be busted a bit.

We'll see, I wasn't talking about imby, (actually in any posts really) I find those type annoying. Referring to SNE in general.

Having said that, ratios may compensate to bring totals up to par too.

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Bastardi surely can't be likening the weekend storm to '78 when he's saying this on Twitter:

Weekend storm should change to rain on east coast. In spite of all the cold now, Feb in east nothing like last year snow wise

How in heaven's name is this weekend likened to 78? 78 had the huge 1050 HP draining cold air into a clipper that exploded off HSE. WTF? Isn't this weekend event a Miller A type of deal?

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Bastardi surely can't be likening the weekend storm to '78 when he's saying this on Twitter:

Weekend storm should change to rain on east coast. In spite of all the cold now, Feb in east nothing like last year snow wise

He said with the exception of Boston changing to rain this weekend..Other big cities change to rain

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I think there will be some surprise patches today and that "general swfe snowfall distribution" rule may be busted a bit.

We'll see, I wasn't talking about imby, (actually in any posts really) I find those type annoying. Referring to SNE in general.

Having said that, ratios may compensate to bring totals up to par too.

What do you mean by that?

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Everything here covered that first batch was pretty good snows, roads are ugly. Waiting on batch two hoping to get a few inches before it mixes 11-12 late am. Hoping for 2-4 today.

Second one down here is dud for my area. Thinking little or no snow from it coating to 2". Boundary is now so close to the coast even though the low redevelops it does so over snj then moves over cape cod.

Any snow is good snow but the warming exhibited the last few runs makes me think this one is mostly a goner down my way. I noticed the total snow graphic shows 7.2 here...the cape cod 50% rule brings it home at around 3-4" is my guess two day total.

Will enjoy the snows this am though!

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Noyes likes the weekend

FB4cast: Snow lovers delight. Snow haters, I'm sorry. Here's the deal: Snow continues today, 6" on average south, 4" north, less South Coast. Break overnight until 3-5AM when it comes back. Mix with sleet/freezing rain/rain south of Route 2 . Plowable snow again for many Saturday. More next Tue/Wed. Seriously

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Noyes likes the weekend

FB4cast: Snow lovers delight. Snow haters, I'm sorry. Here's the deal: Snow continues today, 6" on average south, 4" north, less South Coast. Break overnight until 3-5AM when it comes back. Mix with sleet/freezing rain/rain south of Route 2 . Plowable snow again for many Saturday. More next Tue/Wed. Seriously

Maybe the 2nd half warm up can be pushed back. I'm thinking mid Feb NAO returns and helps us.

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Maybe the 2nd half warm up can be pushed back. I'm thinking mid Feb NAO returns and helps us.

I hope so. Normally winters like this are full of false warmups and pretty much continue unabated from wire to wire. 93-94 was like that and so was 2000-2001..We kept seeing models advertise warmups and they never came

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Why do mets poo poo this bufkit data that is shown

http://www.meteor.ia...b/cobb_help.pdf

The snow totals are in error. The table computes snow totals by adding hourly snowfall together. That is like taking a clean snowboard, measuring the snow after one hour... and then sweeping the snowboard clean... and repeating that 24 times in one day. This is not how snow is measured. When measuring snow totals observers are not allowed to measure snowfall more that 4 times in one day.

Snow settles, so the summing with 24 snow measurements in one day will greatly overestimate the snow accumulation actually measured. The Iowa State meteograms and the Bufkit tool fixed this error in 2010. You can see the this page for how big the impact can be: http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/compaction.html

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