Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BDR Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Are you expecting major ice for West Hartford, too. It seems like we're on the cusp between that and an SN/IP potpourri . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simpsonsbuff Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 A very impressive double 8 GFS MOS for KLEB... 8 and 4 from the NAM... Still impressive... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Bingo.....highest measurement from the most shaded locale was 27.5" (down 4" from a peak of 31.5") and the lowest in an exposed spot was 21" (down 4.5" from peak) Avg= 24"...down 5" from the peak of 29". My record snow depth is 40" in Feb of 1969.....I think I'll fall short due to the duration of this event making more susceptible to compaction. Sat will be a record breaking day my good friend, can you believe it Red Sox fans? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Are you expecting major ice for West Hartford, too. It seems like we're on the cusp between that and an SN/IP potpourri . I was disappointed Ryan signed off lol...the GFS sounding I posted looked pretty good for ZR here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Sat will be a record breaking day my good friend, can you believe it Red Sox fans? I think Sat is rain...but if it's not, Feb 1969 goes down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Unless I'm missing something the 0z GFS bufkit looks like some major icing perhaps here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BDR Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I was disappointed Ryan signed off lol...the GFS sounding I posted looked pretty good for ZR here Ok, so ice storm pending the euro. They said on nbc 30 that all mets are in the studio tomorrow, Ryan's got to get some sleep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 GFS bufkit for HFD...that area of rain would probably be ZR I'd think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Ok, so ice storm pending the euro. They said on nbc 30 that all mets are in the studio tomorrow, Ryan's got to get some sleep. Guy on channel 4 had me in major ice! Ouch! Will take all this more seriously re storm two in the am. Ruc still running warmer later tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I could see these numbers being upped big time tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Ok, so ice storm pending the euro. They said on nbc 30 that all mets are in the studio tomorrow, Ryan's got to get some sleep. That is true. I was just shocked to see him discount the ice possibility. I still think though we won't know for sure until AM Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BDR Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I'm out for now, probably will be back in a couple of hours though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SC48 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I'll wait for the Euro but the noon models will be much more telling for storm # 2. Other than that "Good Night" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I could see these numbers being upped big time tomorrow. big time? You realize this is ice totals right? If we'd get any more than that on top of several inches of snow we'd be looking at some serious issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 When's the last time NYC saw that much ice accretion? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Round 1 looking really juicy in indiana/ohio, entering PA and racing our way on schedule. The main show is really starting to come together down in texas with a small area of t-storms expanding rapidly as some heavy southwest moisture is being drawn in. Really looking good on WV - exciting wintry few days ahead! http://www.nws.noaa.gov/sat_loop.php?image=wv&hours=12 Look at those t-storms turn to t-pink in tx, yikes! night all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 big time? You realize this is ice totals right? If we'd get any more than that on top of several inches of snow we'd be looking at some serious issues. GFS was juiced Paul..suppose the majority of it is ZR, we're dealing with like 3/4 of an inch of ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 It's harder to get heavier ice accretion with heavy rates of freezing rain. I can't see much more than 0.6 inches of ice accretion. That ice accretion map by Upton looks about right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Looks juicy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 6.7\0 Froze my azz off surveying the snowpack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Paul, check this crazy report from Abilene, TX! Thunderstorm Rain Fog/Mist and Breezy 31 °F (-1 °C) http://forecast.weat...ld2=-99.739&e=0 Edit it appears much of the area down there is bracing for 1-2" of thunder sleet - that sounds horrible and awesome at the same time lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 GFS was juiced Paul..suppose the majority of it is ZR, we're dealing with like 3/4 of an inch of ice. Yeah GFS was definitely bad for ice. I'm continuing to hit the ice threat hard in my little write up but I didn't say this is a guarantee, still things to work out here. I did mention though as much as 0.50'' to 0.75'' of ice accretion possible though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Yeah GFS was definitely bad for ice. I'm continuing to hit the ice threat hard in my little write up but I didn't say this is a guarantee, still things to work out here. I did mention though as much as 0.50'' to 0.75'' of ice accretion possible though. Looks like I'm winning my game with Kevin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 IP already mixing with light snow in and around the nyc metro, waa is just cruising in, in the mid levels Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Paul, check this crazy report from Abilene, TX! Thunderstorm Rain Fog/Mist and Breezy 31 °F (-1 °C) http://forecast.weat...ld2=-99.739&e=0 Edit it appears much of the area down there is bracing for 1-2" of thunder sleet - that sounds horrible and awesome at the same time lol. That;s freaking sweet!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Heavier rates=less time for the rain to freeze on contact. This is not a classic ice storm. No one is getting much more than 0.50" and that is even being generous with the precip. rates that we will get on Wednesday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 6.7\0 Froze my azz off surveying the snowpack. Jeezuz, you're colder than me and I'm in an elevated valley location. 8.5/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Heavier rates=less time for the rain to freeze on contact. This is not a classic ice storm. No one is getting much more than 0.50" and that is even being generous with the precip. rates that we will get on Wednesday! That's what was also said prior to the Dec '08 ice storm...granted that occurred at night which probably really helped for things to freeze the way they did but with sfc temps here in the mid 20's it's going to freeze quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JJBASHB Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Heavier rates=less time for the rain to freeze on contact. This is not a classic ice storm. No one is getting much more than 0.50" and that is even being generous with the precip. rates that we will get on Wednesday! The last major ice storm to affect the area had very heavy precip rates. Sure, it slows accretion rates but heavy precip != no ice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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