MarkO Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Ok....out for a pre-storm survey of the snowpack....any guesses what my ave will be, let 'em fly....be back in about 10... I say about 2', that's where I was at this afternoon 23-24" to be exact (2 measurements) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Thought of you when I read Tip's post. Appears that's what's going to happen just not strong enough to make a difference/snap temps back down. I have no expectations going into Tuesday. I would not be surprised if the 12zs came in much warmer or colder but i'm doubting they stay near the same for #2. My guess is storm 1 will do it's deal and either not cool it enough behind it, or cool it more than modeled as it moves off which will set the stage for longer snows before the turn. going with half of this down here has been the way to go, with that I'm revising the target to 4.5" total with the range being 3-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 NAM looks pretty icy for SFZ...800mb temperature is over 3C at 42 and 45 hours peaking at 3.6C and the above freezing layer is over 100mb deep. Bufkit shows a foot with .23 sleet and .12 frza Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Pete Bouchard on channel 7 buys the NAM, Harvey on channel 5 says not so fast, goes with a colder solution, WBZ 4 sticks with the NAM. So who do you trust. I think Harvey is onto something. Pete was always a NAM hugger, WBZ4 is trying to play catch-up. we'll see how it goes. tomorrows noon models will be very important. You should go with Harv on this one. Messenger, "dinking" meaning that it is pull plug across successive runs out that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Pete Bouchard on channel 7 buys the NAM, Harvey on channel 5 says not so fast, goes with a colder solution, WBZ 4 sticks with the NAM. So who do you trust. I think Harvey is onto something. Pete was always a NAM hugger, WBZ4 is trying to play catch-up. we'll see how it goes. tomorrows noon models will be very important. Regardless of warm or cold, NAM, GFS, EURO, go with Harvey. What did he say for accums? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarveyLeonardFan Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 NBC and ABC PVD network affiliates lowered snow totals along the South Coast and Cape to 1-4 and 1-3 inches. Hopefully we hold onto snow for a little longer tomorrow afternoon. Most winters there's usally at least one storm that screws interior areas and jackpots the South Coast but except for that extremely localized snow event in extreme SE MA in December this winter has really been screwing my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Ready for 10 tomorrow? Could happen. Then 6-8 Wed? Welcome to January 1994....lol... Probably going to be in brookline on wed. I'll give you a heads up if I'm heading to coolidge corner - though I'm thinking classes won't be cancelled for me unless it rips SN+ right before dawn which seems like it might be the timing on the second wave. One of my classmates finished her masters last year in baltimore to witness their historic winter and now she's here for this one. She's currently anti-snow but I'm slowly working to convert her to the snow loving ways. Could you imagine living through these two winters consecutively! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 JUST LOOKED AT NAM IN DEPTH THROUGH FOR HVN, OXC, BDL,SPRINGFIELD, WORCESTER .....NOT GOOD 1-3" TOTAL SOUTH CT ICESTORM JUST INLAND 3-5" TOTAL CENTRAL CT MAJOR ICESTORM 5-8" TOTAL NORTH CT SOME ICE 8-12" TOTAL SOUTH MASS 12-15" TOTAL CENTRAL MASS 15"+ NORTHERN MASS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Regardless of warm or cold, NAM, GFS, EURO, go with Harvey. What did he say for accums? I think he went with his 6pm map. I'm still barely in the 12-20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Bufkit shows a foot with .23 sleet and .12 frza Maybe you can help me with this... I've never knew how to use the bufkit to see what it forecast for precip totals...how do you do this? When in the overview you click on precip. then click on snowfall and you get all those lines...but how do you measure that into totals? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Probably going to be in brookline on wed. I'll give you a heads up if I'm heading to coolidge corner - though I'm thinking classes won't be cancelled for me unless it rips SN+ right before dawn which seems like it might be the timing on the second wave. One of my classmates finished her masters last year for baltimore to witness their historic winter and now she's here for this one. She's currently anti-snow but I'm slowly working to convert her to the snow loving ways. Could you imagine living through these two winters consecutively! Wednesday storm day. I actually have a schedule that day but I imagine everyone will cancel tomorrow. Coolidge Corner during the heavy snow.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Time to get some sleep I think. Need all the energy I can get for the weenieism and cleanup to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 You should go with Harv on this one. Messenger, "dinking" meaning that it is pull plug across successive runs out that way. Got it...yes it has...I'm leary of mentioning it out there other than saying in general it's been cooling near the low. Mention QPF and dynamics and people think we're talking their flakes and the pissing matches start. -- RUC is warm for event 1, changes PVD by noon, me by 1pm. Just for giggles it'll be interesting to see how accurate it is, that's the 3z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Time to get some sleep I think. Need all the energy I can get for the weenieism and cleanup to come. I'm out too...need some sleep before writing forecast. Hopefully on in a couple hours after the Euro comes out, but might wait until 3 or 4 if sleep bug hits hard. I've seen enough to know that the pike region is not going to change forecast ideas based on just the Euro...esp with still 36h to go before the 2nd event.Lots to figure out between now and then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Well weenie NAM bufkit gives me 14.9 I'll take it... http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/cobb/cobb.php?model=nam&site=kbos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarveyLeonardFan Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Unfortunately the January 1994 storm had temps that were a lot colder. Event #1 gave me a solid 6 inches of snow followed by the lull...and then heavy freezing rain for several hours before briefly touching 33/34 and then temps quickly crashed to the 20s down here. On Wednesday I'll be near 40. I vividly remember that Saturday morning waking up to Mish Michaels on Channel 7 talking about the near 20 inches that had fallen in Downtown Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SC48 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I think he went with his 6pm map. I'm still barely in the 12-20 I know.. He has 12-20" on the New Hampshire/ MAss boarder then a wide spread 8-16" right to Boston. Then a general 4-8" in Conn and Road Island to the Cape with 2-4" on NAntucket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Good luck folks. See you when the snow flies... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 JUST LOOKED AT NAM IN DEPTH THROUGH FOR HVN, OXC, BDL,SPRINGFIELD, WORCESTER .....NOT GOOD 1-3" TOTAL SOUTH CT ICESTORM JUST INLAND 3-5" TOTAL CENTRAL CT MAJOR ICESTORM 5-8" TOTAL NORTH CT SOME ICE 8-12" TOTAL SOUTH MASS 12-15" TOTAL CENTRAL MASS 15"+ NORTHERN MASS What's it look like for ZR @ OXC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Boston finished January with 60.3" seasonal snowfall to date. Only 1995-96 (68.0") and 1947-48 (60.4") were ahead of 2010-11. Boston will start February with a total that would rank as the 10th highest seasonal snowfall figure at the end of February. The only higher October-February snowfall figures were: 1. 83.5", 1995-96 2. 81.5", 1993-94 3. 77.4", 1947-48 4. 72.1", 2004-05 5. 69.0", 1977-78 6. 62.8", 1903-04 7. 61.6", 1898-99 8. 60.5", 2002-03 9. 60.4", 1919-20 I believe that Boston has a good chance to pick up 8"-16" snow by the end of Thursday. Hence, Boston should move to within striking distance of a top 3 figure on the above list. More snow should fall during the course of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 One last post. UKMET is quite cold. Mostly snow for many of us. I hope it verifies but it is the Crazy Uncle... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Boston finished January with 60.3" seasonal snowfall to date. Only 1995-96 (68.0") and 1947-48 (60.4") were ahead of 2010-11. Boston will start February with a total that would rank as the 10th highest seasonal snowfall figure at the end of February. The only higher October-February snowfall figures were: 1. 83.5", 1995-96 2. 81.5", 1993-94 3. 77.4", 1947-48 4. 72.1", 2004-05 5. 69.0", 1977-78 6. 62.8", 1903-04 7. 61.6", 1898-99 8. 60.5", 2002-03 9. 60.4", 1919-20 I believe that Boston has a good chance to pick up 8"-16" snow by the end of Thursday. Hence, Boston should move to within striking distance of a top 3 figure on the above list. More snow should fall during the course of the month. Thanks Don. Maybe an all time record to come? Certainly becoming more possible and reachable with each dump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Snowing nicely in Times Square, this stuff is flying in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Thanks Don. Maybe an all time record to come? Certainly becoming more possible and reachable with each dump. If Boston can have a snowy March, the all-time record could be reachable. Hopefully, Boston can reach and exceed its all-time figure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Maybe you can help me with this... I've never knew how to use the bufkit to see what it forecast for precip totals...how do you do this? When in the overview you click on precip. then click on snowfall and you get all those lines...but how do you measure that into totals? Snow? http://www.vincentsapone.com/bufkit3.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 What's it look like for ZR @ OXC? .50" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I say about 2', that's where I was at this afternoon 23-24" to be exact (2 measurements) Bingo.....highest measurement from the most shaded locale was 27.5" (down 4" from a peak of 31.5") and the lowest in an exposed spot was 21" (down 4.5" from peak) Avg= 24"...down 5" from the peak of 29". My record snow depth is 40" in Feb of 1969.....I think I'll fall short due to the duration of this event making more susceptible to compaction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 .50" Wow, that is bad. This could get serious...we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Snow? http://www.vincentsa...om/bufkit3.html Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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