SnowLove Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 OK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SC48 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I'll tell ya Messenger, there is something very strange with the NAM. Like you said. Not sure myself but, It looks like it weakens the high out west too quickly and displaces it southeast instead of east northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 NAM gives you probably a foot of snow...nice post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Still looking good! Yup. 15" +/- a couple seems like a pretty reasonable guess for me, you and a dog named Boo (or Dryslot). I wouldn't rule out 18" or so, but that's really stretching it to Noyes weenie levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Mess mentioned how dynamics did nothing for his thin layer of warm the last storm, well for the record his thin layer actually extended from the ground up, they were above zero up to 875. Totally different, his lower layer had to saturate before they flipped, same with the yuppie from East Bay. The dynamics in this are very strong, IMHO opinion a longer period of rippin snow will be had by some who think they go to sleet quickly. The marginal warm layer will be overcome by dynamics for a time, sleet mixes in and you get this period of alternating types until dynamics wane and sleet is the predominate type. No change in my thoughts for me 8-12 before sleet fest with some frza drizzle before low level flakeage again takes over. JMHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 current snowpack = 24", looks like abotu 1.5" qpf for me. I think any sleet will be minimal prolly late tomorrow af'noon if anything, Factor in compaction, but i think it's 50/50 I could have 40" on the ground. Sitting at about the same 24". Hoping to reach 40 as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phishn Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 this is not too off topic but its nice to see a good lyndon representation here...and the doppler on wheels (DOW) is on campus here for a couple of weeks and they are deploying locally for this storm up here since our radar coverage is terrible Wow that's awesome! I graduated from Lyndon in 95. Is Dr. Fingerhut still there? He was by far my favorite Met professor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I discovered what Kev has been doing when we think he is sleeping... He works in Methuen at the Loop mall... http://www1.whdh.com/news/articles/local/12003421302033/mountain-of-snow-towers-over-mall-in-methuen/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Congrats on 5 posts per day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 By 39, 1000-700 CTs are right over Boston, 12 hour QPF is under .4" up to that point maybe closer to .3 http://www.twisterda...e&archive=false A lot of that .59 is falling after it's warmed. Do not a agree. 39 hours still looks like it's holding onto snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Wow that's awesome! I graduated from Lyndon in 95. Is Dr. Fingerhut still there? He was by far my favorite Met professor. Hmmm. I was there from 91-93, we may have been in some classes together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 1.32" and 1.30" at SFM and PWM respectively on 0z NAM. Yahtzee. Nice. Cheering on for a MONSTER Northern hit this time. Good luck! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Yup. 15" +/- a couple seems like a pretty reasonable guess for me, you and a dog named Boo (or Dryslot). I wouldn't rule out 18" or so, but that's really stretching it to Noyes weenie levels. Hopefully round one doesn't last too too long. I want to have ample time to measure and reset the area before the main show. And of course never measure on grass, because the air bubbles underneath the snow may inflate the total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Nice. Cheering on for a MONSTER Northern hit this time. Good luck! Thanks. And good luck to you in your home preservation efforts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I discovered what Kev has been doing when we think he is sleeping... He works in Methuen at the Loop mall... http://www1.whdh.com...all-in-methuen/ Drove by it this weekend. Quite impressive. I live only about 3 minutes from there. It will be interesting to see what it looks like after Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 It's possible Round 1 may be the most snow for the BOS area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Tolland County labeled nicely for you. 1-3'' of ping. forgot 1/2 of new england Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vttaconics Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Wow that's awesome! I graduated from Lyndon in 95. Is Dr. Fingerhut still there? He was by far my favorite Met professor. Do you know who was a big disappointment for me..... Berryman Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 . . . same with the yuppie from East Bay. LOL- The Warren "yuppie" The marginal warm layer will be overcome by dynamics for a time, sleet mixes in and you get this period of alternating types until dynamics wane and sleet is the predominate type. No change in my thoughts for me 8-12 before sleet fest with some frza drizzle before low level flakeage again takes over. JMHO. Fire up the Windham County bus. I'm all in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Hopefully round one doesn't last too too long. I want to have ample time to measure and reset the area before the main show. And of course never measure on grass, because the air bubbles underneath the snow may inflate the total. :lol: oh man. that made me laugh. will really got to you on that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattdWX Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 No he retired 2 years ago, Dr. Berryman is still here, now co-teaching our senior thesis class. We have a new building too with our own floor now and updated weather center. Overall still a strong program going with those same difficult dynamics, physical met, and thermo classes as before! I am so happy to be graduating this spring. But yea to not be off topic too much again going to be an awesome storm, I call the north shore of MA home away from school and another foot plus down there is going to be insane! I love it! Wow that's awesome! I graduated from Lyndon in 95. Is Dr. Fingerhut still there? He was by far my favorite Met professor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Thanks. And good luck to you in your home preservation efforts. LOL. Just gonna hold tight, and hope the ice is kind. Got the generator ready though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Boy I get thumped pretty good from the first wave of moisture tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Sitting at about the same 24". Hoping to reach 40 as well. Got my "yard" stick out there now. But thinking I'm gonna need a bigger stick! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Here's what I'm thinking 2"-5" coastal CT / RI / S Coast Mass (EWB) / Cape Cod 5"-8" central CT (HFD/IJD) / Central RI (PVD) / Southeast Mass (PYM/GHG) 8"-12" far northern CT (BDL?) / far northern RI / Areas south of Pike incluindg Springfield, OWD, etc 12"-18" Massachusetts along and north of Pike and up into S NH/S VT Specifially: BDR - 3" HFD - 6" BDL - 8" CEF - 10" PVD - 6" BOS - 12" ORH - 13" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Got my "yard" stick out there now. But thinking I'm gonna need a bigger stick! Yup might want to make a new yard stick out of a 2 x 4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 It's possible Round 1 may be the most snow for the BOS area. you think it taints up there? the speed of this thing is amazing. look how far the dryslot advances between 18z and 00z. wonder if you get almost everything in as snow before you have to worry about warming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 With us down this way floating right around that 0C line and some stronger warmth aloft not too far to the south we might not have a solid idea on the IP/ZR issue until probably either the 0z runs tomorrow night or perhaps nowcasting early AM Wednesday...I really wouldn't expect the models to handle this 100% accurately right now...this could be very close down this way. Were looking at a belt of very strong winds though in the 700-850mb layer which could really help to push in some even more warmer air aloft. What does NAM BUFKIT look like @ DXR Paul? Do we change to plain rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Ryan, Did you see the 0z NAM bufkit for HFD...pretty crazy...it flips us to IP around 3:00 PM tomorrow and we finish off round 1 as sleet. Then for round 2 we start off as moderate snow for a few hours then go over to IP, then ZR, then plain rain (LOL) for 5 hours or so then back to ZR. Going to be a mess figuring this one out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Here's what I'm thinking 2"-5" coastal CT / RI / S Coast Mass (EWB) / Cape Cod 5"-8" central CT (HFD/IJD) / Central RI (PVD) / Southeast Mass (PYM/GHG) 8"-12" far northern CT (BDL?) / far northern RI / Areas south of Pike incluindg Springfield, OWD, etc 12"-18" Massachusetts along and north of Pike and up into S NH/S VT Specifially: BDR - 3" HFD - 6" BDL - 8" CEF - 10" PVD - 6" BOS - 12" ORH - 13" Nice, no ice then?, still thinking how much water can this area take, thats another 1.25 to 1.5 in the pack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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