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Epic winter signal continues to beam, part V


Baroclinic Zone

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Went to lyndon for three semesters before switching from atmospheric sciences to education.... big mistake. Lived in Wheelock.... loved it.

I'm in Ira now, which is about 7 mi southwest of rutland.

Does LSC still have the ice penis?

OK...I must know you based on your age. I was in met at LSC from 96-98.
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oh cool, yea we have the ice penis, they climbed it this past weekend. I wish I saw it but a bunch of us went to the annual AMS meeting in Seattle. We are all pumped for this storm, it looks like a fluffy 12"+ here in the NEK. I do the weather on News 7 up here and I am on tomorrow, its going to be a fun day forecasting!

Cool stuff. Im a junior in highschool...visited lyndon already, would love to go there.

Not to get to OT.

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oh cool, yea we have the ice penis, they climbed it this past weekend. I wish I saw it but a bunch of us went to the annual AMS meeting in Seattle. We are all pumped for this storm, it looks like a fluffy 12"+ here in the NEK. I do the weather on News 7 up here and I am on tomorrow, its going to be a fun day forecasting!

I was there for 3 years, 2 years of Met, before switching to Computer Science. I was there before the library expanded, when the roof of the library was a walkway.

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Maybe we will see.

There's pretty much no denying it's warmed the last two runs. There's also no denying models - down here, have been too cold for every event just about all year. If all the other models gel with the NAM at 0z and we see a tick warmer than we have to start considering the fact that as you/others have said we quite often see warmer solutions in the end. Coupled with the biases this year of being too cold it gets interesting.

As depicted right now storm two is a total dud down here and even storm 1 would flip before ending.

CNE and NNE look fine. I'd not want to be the person making a forecats along the Pike if the NAM were to verify.

here we go again back to rain now :axe:

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Bolded qpf BOS snow. 0.92. Now....0.59 36 to 42 and at 42 it's pinging but T3 temps is +1. But how much of that 0.59 fell when it was snow. Conversefly, 0.26 42 to 48. By 48 it's all snow, but how much pinged prior to the snow?

So it appears as a guess about 1.4 qpf snow, rest ping.

By 39, 1000-700 CTs are right over Boston, 12 hour QPF is under .4" up to that point maybe closer to .3

http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=NAM&grid=221&model_yyyy=2011&model_mm=02&model_dd=01&model_init_hh=00&fhour=39&parameter=THCK&level=1000_700&unit=MB&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false

A lot of that .59 is falling after it's warmed.

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With us down this way floating right around that 0C line and some stronger warmth aloft not too far to the south we might not have a solid idea on the IP/ZR issue until probably either the 0z runs tomorrow night or perhaps nowcasting early AM Wednesday...I really wouldn't expect the models to handle this 100% accurately right now...this could be very close down this way.

Were looking at a belt of very strong winds though in the 700-850mb layer which could really help to push in some even more warmer air aloft.

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