CNYWxGuy Posted February 2, 2011 Author Share Posted February 2, 2011 18z NAM... 18z GFS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2Slick Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Don't put yourself's through all this again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 It's only snow. Put yourself through what?!?! The fun part is the predicting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2Slick Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 1:41 AM, BuffaloWeather said: It's only snow. Put yourself through what?!?! The fun part is the predicting. Lol k. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 0z nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted February 3, 2011 Author Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 2:40 AM, Mohawkvalley said: 0z nam A respectable swiffering and probably the best looking solution yet. In light of recent shortcomings, I would sign so fast for this 7-9" right now... walk away, and not even think twice about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 NAM is beautiful for Central and Eastern NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 models could take their sweet time with this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted February 3, 2011 Author Share Posted February 3, 2011 0z GFS just a bit east of the NAM, though overall QPF is fairly similar. Starting to believe there is a 5-8 / 6-10 bounty to be had with this event for those captured underneath the deformation axis. A GFS-NAM blend would put the I-88 corridor in the thick of it, but who knows at this point. Seeing as how the best snows from these events have stayed S / E of the BGM-ALY line time and time again this year, I'm reluctant to buy into the NAM solution attm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 3:05 AM, CNYWxGuy said: A respectable swiffering and probably the best looking solution yet. In light of recent shortcomings, I would sign so fast for this 7-9" right now... walk away, and not even think twice about it. Hell id sign off for my 3-5" in a heartbeat, especally after this storm. It would really keep building our snowpack which is a good 15-16" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 uk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 My snowpack is really building (despite today's apparent "bust"). Even if we only get nickle and dime events the snowpack will gradually build. It's not as though we're going to break the highest snowfall record or anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted February 3, 2011 Author Share Posted February 3, 2011 0z ECM is a real QPF crusher for Upstate NY... BUF-ROC-SYR-ART-UCA... <.1 BGM- .14 ALB- .25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 This storm is looking better for my region as per the 6z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted February 3, 2011 Author Share Posted February 3, 2011 GFS has trended east and pretty much become a non-event for everyone the past 2 runs (6-12z), so as of right now, it's pretty much up to the NAM to pull this one out of the fire... 6z NAM QPF... 12z NAM QPF... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 This storm is like this winter, a lost cause.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted February 3, 2011 Author Share Posted February 3, 2011 CMC brushes S Central NY to the CD with a period of Lgt Snow / .1-.25. Certainly beginning to look like a coastal plain event, unbelievable... well not really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 LES outbreak next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted February 3, 2011 Author Share Posted February 3, 2011 Looks like the NAM is not alone. The 12z UK brings a solid 3-6" to most of Upstate... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Maybe i should be negative more oftern lol Came from the nyc thread Quote euro looks like the ukmet. Its the ukie/nam/euro vs cmc and gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted February 3, 2011 Author Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 6:09 PM, Mohawkvalley said: Maybe i should be negative more oftern lol Came from the nyc thread Lol, nice. Maybe I should do the same... LEK's post yesterday in the 1-2 Storm thread was priceless, and I changed the sub-title before seeing the UK and ECM. I ain't changing it until I am atleast 3" strong and its still coming down... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 euro brings the 0.5 line from just NW of albany to around deposit the 0.25 line runs from west of BGM through the southern third of VT id say BGM is around 0.3 or so euro keeps a very active pattern beyond that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted February 3, 2011 Author Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 7:00 PM, Organizing Low said: euro brings the 0.5 line from just NW of albany to around deposit the 0.25 line runs from west of BGM through the southern third of VT id say BGM is around 0.3 or so euro keeps a very active pattern beyond that I'll say. H168-192 on E-wall looks like a headline event... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 7:19 PM, CNYWxGuy said: I'll say. H168-192 on E-wall looks like a headline event... buckets of qpf beyond 168 .....960ish bomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 3:47 PM, Ottawa Blizzard said: This storm is looking better for my region as per the 6z GFS OB i think you are talking of the storm on monday-tuesday or thereabout that looks like it could deliver a moderate snowfall to our region up here. but it may introduce mixed precip in NYS though. its always difficult for us.....caught in between regions depednig on storm track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 7:21 PM, Organizing Low said: buckets of qpf beyond 168 .....960ish bomb It almost looks like the March 1993 superstorm.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avid6eek Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 First call from Accuweather....6-10" for the CD would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 18z nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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