A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 60 hour total precip: Runs are beefing up again. Back up to 1.5 or so. Can't wait to see some burried cars Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Decided on Bloomington, IL Hoping for the best! Should arrive there around 6 PM or so - hopefully the freezing precip holds off a bit. Radar shows freezing rain and drizzle moving in from the southwest. honestly I dont think it really matters at this point bloomington or peoria ,or Quincy, or Joliet...etc Bloomington would give you options too you could go west on I74 ot up I55 if you have to adjust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 10-18 inches for southern Michigan! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I gotta toss the NAM for now especially because of what baro has been saying. Whoever is near the edge of the heavy snow band or in the sleet zone on there should still be getting prepared for significant ice imo. I think anyone who is in the counties around Indianapolis have equal chances of getting all ice.. Like I said just too damn close to say who is going to get what.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cory Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 My brain revolves around weather I have a feeling it's going to be a blast working with you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
River Card Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Just wanted to tell all of you pros out there a huge thank you. I really took heed of all this and got my act together, bought a generator, booked a hotel near work and got the essentials together. You guys are great and all of your efforts have not gone unnoticed. This is a storm for the ages and glad to be a part of potential history. Keep up the good work, sleep a little, something tells me you guys might be up for 36 plus hours, but your efforts here allowed us regular folks to get the word out to others so in many ways you guys have been influential in helping others possibly save lives. Again thanks and keep the good times rolling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 12z NAM clown map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Not to bother but you feel like throwing out a prediction for LAF? SNow showers late this afternoon-tonight--3-5" by the overnight period. Fzdz by tomorrow morning with a few flakes mixed in--looks dry enough aloft though to stay drizzly. Late Tuesday into the night developing heavy snow--I am betting on a stronger solution and deeper height falls/cooling so mostly if not all snow. Heavy at times--blizzard type conditions Tuesday night/Wednesday morning with 50+ to mix down through 09z then slow weakening winds but still blustery and blowing snow--up to 35 G. 10-14" storm total. Bigger issue will be 6-8 hours of blizzard conditions and blowing snow with 50-55 mph mixing in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I have a feeling it's going to be a blast working with you. I didn't know you two were going to be working together, sounds like a dynamic duo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Decided on Bloomington, IL Hoping for the best! Should arrive there around 6 PM or so - hopefully the freezing precip holds off a bit. Radar shows freezing rain and drizzle moving in from the southwest. What are you chasing? I'd be chasing the icestorm if I was going to chase anything. It will probably be a crazy sight where it stays mostly ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Back up to 1.5 or so. Can't wait to see some burried cars Wednesday. Add 50mph winds to this and lookout. Lakeshore Drive could be shut down for quite awhile as well as other expressways as well. Add possible LSD flooding which will freeze on top of Snow and you have a major problem there. This is truely amazing stuff!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Boy, the trend is NOT the friend of Iowans. We needed the uber-agressive models(with low track to St Louis), but they are headed east. Any further east shift will cause my total to fall off a cliff. Even worse, the nice initial WAA event today/tonight is tanking on the models. It had looked good for a widespread 3-5 inches across Iowa, but now 1 inch, maybe 2 is all we will get. So this winter has two huge snowstorms, one goes north of Iowa, one goes south. Maybe we can get a last minute nowcast left hook from this thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 NAM is a junk pile with this storm. Ignore it since it is garbage material. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I have a feeling it's going to be a blast working with you. Dude it is going to be a weather party. I can't wait to work with you too with your modeling/computing skills! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Great trend for my region. Higher QPF in eastern Ontario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Decided on Bloomington, IL Hoping for the best! Should arrive there around 6 PM or so - hopefully the freezing precip holds off a bit. Radar shows freezing rain and drizzle moving in from the southwest. have fun with that trip... something tells me you'll have some interesting pictures from along the I-70 corridor from this one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Add 50mph winds to this and lookout. Lakeshore Drive could be shut down for quite awhile as well as other expressways as well. Add possible LSD flooding which will freeze on top of Snow and you have a major problem there. This is truely amazing stuff!! I think the ice cover keeps shoreline flooding in check, that is unless it's real thin and easily broken up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 SNow showers late this afternoon-tonight--3-5" by the overnight period. Fzdz by tomorrow morning with a few flakes mixed in--looks dry enough aloft though to stay drizzly. Late Tuesday into the night developing heavy snow--I am betting on a stronger solution and deeper height falls/cooling so mostly if not all snow. Heavy at times--blizzard type conditions Tuesday night/Wednesday morning with 50+ to mix down through 09z then slow weakening winds but still blustery and blowing snow--up to 35 G. 10-18" storm total. Bigger issue will be 6-8 hours of blizzard conditions and blowing snow with 50-55 mph mixing in. ChicagoWX will be so happy... Hopefully.. Close to being a V-Day 2007 all over again.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 and the GFS delivers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Decided on Bloomington, IL Hoping for the best! Should arrive there around 6 PM or so - hopefully the freezing precip holds off a bit. Radar shows freezing rain and drizzle moving in from the southwest. Have a good trip and take lots of photos as always. Many of us will be waiting for your reports. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 SNow showers late this afternoon-tonight--3-5" by the overnight period. Fzdz by tomorrow morning with a few flakes mixed in--looks dry enough aloft though to stay drizzly. Late Tuesday into the night developing heavy snow--I am betting on a stronger solution and deeper height falls/cooling so mostly if not all snow. Heavy at times--blizzard type conditions Tuesday night/Wednesday morning with 50+ to mix down through 09z then slow weakening winds but still blustery and blowing snow--up to 35 G. 10-18" storm total. Bigger issue will be 6-8 hours of blizzard conditions and blowing snow with 50-55 mph mixing in. Pure weather porn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 SNow showers late this afternoon-tonight--3-5" by the overnight period. Fzdz by tomorrow morning with a few flakes mixed in--looks dry enough aloft though to stay drizzly. Late Tuesday into the night developing heavy snow--I am betting on a stronger solution and deeper height falls/cooling so mostly if not all snow. Heavy at times--blizzard type conditions Tuesday night/Wednesday morning with 50+ to mix down through 09z then slow weakening winds but still blustery and blowing snow--up to 35 G. 10-18" storm total. Bigger issue will be 6-8 hours of blizzard conditions and blowing snow with 50-55 mph mixing in. Thanks Baro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I'm pretty sure he didn't go to bed. I however am going to bed for a little while. Maybe while I sleep the Euro will paint 2.00" for Detroit. have you made a call? im not going back through an entire thread that i missed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Dude it is going to be a weather party. I can't wait to work with you too with your modeling/computing skills! maybe he can hook you up with mrs ivanoff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I lowered it to 10-14", my bad:) for LAF. Still tho-- I see a more snow threat with deeper height falls and not mixing in the NAM into the guidance mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Boy, the trend is NOT the friend of Iowans. We needed the uber-agressive models(with low track to St Louis), but they are headed east. Any further east shift will cause my total to fall off a cliff. Even worse, the nice initial WAA event today/tonight is tanking on the models. It had looked good for a widespread 3-5 inches across Iowa, but now 1 inch, maybe 2 is all we will get. So this winter has two huge snowstorms, one goes north of Iowa, one goes south. Maybe we can get a last minute nowcast left hook from this thing. Yeah, anyone previously on the northwest edge of the heavy snows and want a blizzard are not going to be happy with the NAM. However, the other models' tracks have been pretty consistent with a track into the Missouri Bootheel and into Central Indiana and Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 RGEM precip type looks like the snow colors are off the scale in Illinois wow! ive never seen that, even with east coast lows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 NAM is a junk pile with this storm. Ignore it since it is garbage material. its been awful since yesterday, which is very disappointing considering the process at hand here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 very excited to see what the offices do this afternoon. LOT almost has to go to a blizz warning, and I'd think extreme N IN as well, and S MI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 SNow showers late this afternoon-tonight--3-5" by the overnight period. Fzdz by tomorrow morning with a few flakes mixed in--looks dry enough aloft though to stay drizzly. Late Tuesday into the night developing heavy snow--I am betting on a stronger solution and deeper height falls/cooling so mostly if not all snow. Heavy at times--blizzard type conditions Tuesday night/Wednesday morning with 50+ to mix down through 09z then slow weakening winds but still blustery and blowing snow--up to 35 G. 10-14" storm total. Bigger issue will be 6-8 hours of blizzard conditions and blowing snow with 50-55 mph mixing in. Thanks much. I'd love to see that verify but I'm worried about how much sleet and maybe zr might mix in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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