MidwestChaser Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Alek how tall is your building? You should pull a Timmer and use a hang glider to film. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Badger... Probably 3-5 for you today/tonite? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 dscullom is banned. Thanks Sickman. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 dscullom is banned. Thanks Sickman. Take him and multiply him by 20 and that's what EC storm threads are like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 dscullom is banned. Thanks Sickman. who was he?Someone already banned? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman99 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Models trending atmospheric temps colder since last night. This could help St louis get much more snow, and much less ice. Could be in the foot of snow party here. Hopefully. Thoughts anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Alek how tall is your building? You should pull a Timmer and use a hang glider to film. 27 stories or so, not sure on height, it would be gone forever. Since the best looks to come when it's dark, i'm not sure if i'll do rooftop or not, you might not be able to see anything up there. Right now i'm leaning towards going to Foster St Beach where they have real large lights and things tend to get wild there with NE winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Badger... Probably 3-5 for you today/tonite? This WAA snow is Madison's time to shine in this event. The 6z GFS spits out about 0.35" today/tonight, which would be 6-7" I'd think. Certainly will be interesting to see how the ratios play out. If they actually are 20+ we could get more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Take him and multiply him by 20 and that's what EC storm threads are like. Yeah I hear that. I tolerated him as much as possible. who was he?Someone already banned? IDK--he liked to be annoying though. He was good at it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 who was he?Someone already banned? weatherguru. After telling me he was from lawrence and cumberland in chicago, he opened a new account saying he was from des plaines and then uploaded a web cam image, except the image was of lawrence and cumberland. Not the brightest bulb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Wow...so you really cash in... Totals really look to be only a fraction here of what you get...should this play out the way the models show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 weatherguru. After telling me he was from lawrence and cumberland in chicago, he opened a new account saying he was from des plaines and then uploaded a web cam image, except the image was of lawrence and cumberland. Not the brightest bulb. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 lol I didn't know it was weatherguru. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 FWIW.. Looks like LAF should be able to stay mostly snow for the event.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 12Z RGEM 36 & 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 RGEM at 48 as a 1000mb just north of LAF. In comparison, NAM has a broad 1004 probably centered somewhere east of CVG. RGEM looks like it brought the juice too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toronto4 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Based on the latest model runs, the average QPF range for the Toronto area is 0.75-0.90". Not as high as was shown a few days ago, but it looks like higher ratios and being in the best deformation zone will make up for the lower QPF. The latest "clown" snow map from the 12z NAM shows Toronto being in the 12-15" range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 FWIW.. Looks like LAF should be able to stay mostly snow for the event.. 12z NAM is basically all snow with over 1.8" qpf. Still very nervous though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 FWIW.. Looks like LAF should be able to stay mostly snow for the event.. FWIW, TWC thinks so too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 12Z RGEM 36 & 48 Prinsburg, do you know if the 0.50-0.75 shaded area extends east towards Toronto on the 48 hour map. I'm just out of range. It looks like it does, but I want to make sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backdoorfront Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Good .1" freezing rain accumulation in Central MO already. Not that much on the road, yet but the slide-offs are already happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torontonian Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Won't get even close to Jan 1999. We're kind of damned if we do, damned if we don't right now. NAM like solution keeps the sfc low too far south for the best precipitation. Rest of the other guidance with the more explosive development/further north track, means the low occludes more rapidly and we get the scraps (relatively speaking, it would still be a decent snowstorm). Think I'm rooting for the latter scenario. Get a nice trowal signature/700mb deformation zone over us and I'll take my chances with a decaying sfc low. I was thinking of Dec.16 th 2007 type totals, Jan. 1999 was a little over the top. They both had thundersnow with sheets of snow coming down. Regardless this looks like a memorable snowfall upcoming. Maybe thundersnow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 12z NAM is basically all snow with over 1.8" qpf. Still very nervous though. I think a respectable dump is looking pretty good, no? If not something much more epic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 weatherguru. After telling me he was from lawrence and cumberland in chicago, he opened a new account saying he was from des plaines and then uploaded a web cam image, except the image was of lawrence and cumberland. Not the brightest bulb. Plus, this person spelled "Des Plaines" wrong. If you can't spell the name of your hometown correctly, there's a red flag right there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Based on the latest model runs, the average QPF range for the Toronto area is 0.75-0.90". Not as high as was shown a few days ago, but it looks like higher ratios and being in the best deformation zone will make up for the lower QPF. The latest "clown" snow map from the 12z NAM shows Toronto being in the 12-15" range. What are you thinking in terms of amounts? I'd go 6-10" right now for us. Hate having to base higher numbers exclusively on ratios. RGEM is interesting with already 0.50+ down by 12z Wed. Unless it zips east like the 0z GGEM it should be wetter than the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I'm surprised at the potency of the LES, the bands are stretching about halfway across WI, well past here and we rarely get LES. It'll really add to things since it'll be going until Wednesday, and get much more intense tomorrow as low-level winds increase. Maybe only a couple inches this far west, but near the lake people are gonna get hammered, and that doesn't even include the synoptic snows. MKX has Madison at 17.5" in their grids fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I think a respectable dump is looking pretty good, no? If not something much more epic? Yeah, I'm just worried if the NAM is underdone with development and something more like the RGEM pans out. The RGEM has shifted a bit south but it's still way north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 12z NAM is basically all snow with over 1.8" qpf. Still very nervous though. I'm still pretty nervous about mixing all the way back @ home too. Last night I let my excitement get ahold of me. I think I'm going to actually wait till tomorrow morning until I actually make the decision whether or not to make the trip home. If LAF and home have near the same result, I may just stay here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 12Z RGEM 36 & 48 WOW...A huge area of 1.5"-2.0" of qpf. This is just incredible. I wonder if this will be the trend on the models to bump up totals like they were a couple of days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowtie` Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 FWIW.. Looks like LAF should be able to stay mostly snow for the event.. Do you think it will be mostly sleet here? The thought of an inch of freezing rain scares me to death. Hopefully we can avoid that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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