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January 31-February 2 Historic Winter Storm part 7


Powerball

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0Z NAm still way east and weak. What a junk model it is right now.

I find that the NAM does an excellent job with thermal projections. In my area where slight changes in surface temps are the difference between rain and a paralyzing ice storm, the NAM is a very valuable tool.

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Conceptually not looking right based on the upper levels.

Yeah it is the only piece of guidance continually so weak in the upper height fields and remaining an open wave. Massive differences in magnitude between the NAM and other guidance of the upper wave. The SREF NMM members are much better--NAM is once again out to lunch.

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Yeah it is the only piece of guidance continually so weak in the upper height fields and remaining an open wave. Massive differences in magnitude between the NAM and other guidance of the upper wave. The SREF NMM members are much better--NAM is once again out to lunch.

:axe:

the height fields were looking much better for the eastern lakes

im still riding the RGEM :pimp:

EDIT still didnt look as good as the GFS though

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Yeah it is the only piece of guidance continually so weak in the upper height fields and remaining an open wave. Massive differences in magnitude between the NAM and other guidance of the upper wave. The SREF NMM members are much better--NAM is once again out to lunch.

And based on WV trends right now, I'm not favoring the open wave scenario.

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