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January 31-February 2 Historic Winter Storm part 7


Powerball

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Okay...so where does this run go wrong? 36.0 inches?? Do we really think that is probable? And what local tools go into downgrading the data in the computer run (used by the NWS and television meteorologists?

there will be places in and around ground zero that will close to if not surpass 30 inches

it is going to snow like never before

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THE EXCEPTIONS IN THIS CASE WILL BE THE TOLEDO TO FINDLAY AREAS THAT WILL GET HIT THE HARDEST WITH THE HEAVY SNOW. VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF MIXING WILL TAKE PLACE IN THE PRECIPITATION OVER THAT AREA AND WE ARE EXPECTING ANY WHERE FROM 12 TO 16 INCHES OF SNOW TO FALL THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE STORM.

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH NEAR LAKE ERIE AND THIS WILL POSE A SIGNIFICANT PROBLEM FOR THE TOLEDO TO FINDLAY AREA AND ERIE PENNSYLVANIA AREA CAUSING SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW. NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED AS GRADIENT FROM THE STORM SYSTEM REALLY CRANKS UP THE WINDS OFF THE LAKE.

This is from the Area Forecast Discussion just issued a few moments ago from the National Weather Service in Cleveland.

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