A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 What do you guys think about the peoria area? Some of the stormchasers around here are saying we have a good chance at 20" of snow, at least 12-16". sounds right and if not more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 wtf, let's get this sh*t to the ground! heh... Good luck down there Bow though I think you are going to be fine. I will be happy with 8-10" up here before it's all said and done. Its always something when it comes to snow lol.. Thanks man and good luck to you also. I just hope we get 6" and with the drifting the trails should be good to go again.. I sure hope I don't regret buying two snowmobiles a few weeks back... I would never have done that in the middle of the winter but the price was to good to pass up.. Then last night I couldn't find my ruler so had to pick up a new one and just made it a yard stick.. another bad move by mr superstitious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I think Peoria is ground zero, or at least it was on a few model runs.. Should be a good spot for heavy snow. Still coming down over here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stryker Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Interesting. I can't remember the last time we had more than a 12" of snow, so this could be some real fun. If we do get that kind of snow I doubt the streets will be clear before friday at the earliest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Big cities are another animal when it comes to snow removal, they won’t even pay attention to side streets for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 the 18z NAM has really come in line with the other models in the eastern lakes wrt to temps and track as it exits stage right.....not the big shaft as it had previosuly trends today have been very good for us. still would ride the GFS/Euro combo anyways Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 dtx just downed my accumulations. From tue night 6-10 - 5-8, also back to 8-12 instead of 10-15.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southmountainwx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Same nagging thought in the back of my mind. Especially as I'm working on a snowfall record PNS for our long term climate sites (DBQ and MLI). What is the record snowfall here in Ottumwa, IA? I cant find anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 IWX explains their decision to currently go with a Winter Storm Warning versus Blizzard Warning HEADLINE DECISIONS MADE DIFFICULT BY THE TWO PHASES AS BLIZZARD WARNING WAS CONSIDERED NORTHWEST AREAS...BUT THIS WOULD NOT OCCUR UNTIL TUESDAY NIGHT AND WOULD NOT BE REPRESENTATIVE OF CONDITIONS BEFORE THEN. FOR SIMPLICITY AND EASE OF UNDERSTANDING BY PUBLIC...HAVE OPTED FOR A WINTER STORM WARNING ENTIRE AREA WHICH WILL COVER BOTH PHASES OF SYSTEM. HAVE CONTINUED WITH BLIZZARD TO NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WORDING IN WARNING AND THIS SHOULD BE FOCUS AT THIS TIME RATHER THAN SPECIFIC HEADLINE. AFTER FIRST WAVE IS PAST AND NEW GUIDANCE IS RECEIVED...A MORE FOCUSED AND ACCURATE UPGRADE TO BLIZZARD WARNING MAY THEN BE ISSUED IF STILL WARRANTED Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Down to 24/13 here, returns on the doorstep. Champaign pinging away after the initial burst of sn+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 euro = .47 nam= .30 gfs= .28 (euro has consistantly given me that amount) So for verification, ill save this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Is it too early for a final call? Probably, but that’s how I roll. GGEM ensemble mean around 1.4, GFS ensemble mean around 1.6, OP GGEM around 1.4, 15z SREF 1.5 and OP GFS and Euro around 1.5. I’d say overall agreement (even taking into consideration the 1.2 from the NAM) is excellent on 1.4” of liquid. I’m going to assume an average SLR of 15:1 for a final IMBY call of 21” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Is it too early for a final call? Probably, but that’s how I roll. GGEM ensemble mean around 1.4, GFS ensemble mean around 1.6, OP GGEM around 1.4, 15z SREF 1.5 and OP GFS and Euro around 1.5. I’d say overall agreement (even taking into consideration the 1.2 from the NAM) is excellent on 1.4” of liquid. I’m going to assume an average SLR of 15:1 for a final IMBY call of 21” ballsy.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 ballsy.... I think the agreement is there and I’m not sure lake enhancement is being accurately captured yet as well. I'll also stick with my morning call of a crazy steep gradient down to single digits far NW (thing north of RFD to the Wisc border), but up it from 6 to 9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Is it too early for a final call? Probably, but that’s how I roll. GGEM ensemble mean around 1.4, GFS ensemble mean around 1.6, OP GGEM around 1.4, 15z SREF 1.5 and OP GFS and Euro around 1.5. I’d say overall agreement (even taking into consideration the 1.2 from the NAM) is excellent on 1.4” of liquid. I’m going to assume an average SLR of 15:1 for a final IMBY call of 21” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 thanks for the feedback. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 What is the record snowfall here in Ottumwa, IA? I cant find anything. No clue is it is official (since that is DMX), but according to the internal climate site we have... 24 hour total 15.0" 2/13/78 storm total 16.0" 2/12-2/14/78 season 66.4" winter 1959-1960 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 offices really taking there time with AFD's and Headlines...some tough calls to make Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 System is in Mexico right now lol. Should allow for some rapid deepening before occlusion. Not sure if the models really understand the deepening potential right now. Also allowing the cold air to bleed more south before the explosion. I think by tomorrow Am...stl will need to go with blizzard warnings for the metro. the LP will likely bomb out over East Central AR and go North. the faster it bombs..the colder our profiles get...you can see with every run it gets colder... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 It would be a joke if MKE issuses a WSW for my area. No way we receive more then 4 or 5 inches based on the latest model runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Purdue is currently having students move vehicles out of parking lots and streets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 are you looking at composite or base? both. Returns are similar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Purdue is currently having students move vehicles out of parking lots and streets. to....? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 here is an updated forecast from nws offices through wednesday 6pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Web Status Due to technical problems, you may experience slow or unresponsive pages. System administrators are working to resolve the issues as quickly as possible. We apologize for the inconvenience. www.weather.gov Are they in "Storm Mode" too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 JoMo, this is the first Blizzard Warning I have seen out of SGF. Do people down there understand what it means? I just talked to my mom, shes lived in Laclede/Dallas county since 79, first one she remembers too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 dtx just downed my accumulations. From tue night 6-10 - 5-8, also back to 8-12 instead of 10-15.. Your suprised? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 to....? lol,,,had the exact same thought congrats by the way....f/\cker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Purdue is currently having students move vehicles out of parking lots and streets. To where? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 to....? They offered a parking garage as a suggestion, but capacity will not handle a mass exodus of vehicles. Hopefully I find somewhere to put my vehicle tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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