DomNH Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Makes me giddy! I saw a pickup truck with the company name of "CCB, Inc." on the drive this morning. Just when you think it can't get any better... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Not me in VT Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Did you see by the end of the telecast they upped all those totals? No, sorry I didn't I was talking to chief if we need to find the chains for our reserve engine. I think this is unrealistic??? Or Should we expect a colder solution and another over performer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 AWT also means As Weenies Think. Yea and the HPC, NWS too. Wanna bet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Bouchard was saying that some guidance was putting out 30-40" in NW areas... Where did he pull that number from? One of the morning models outputs had #s in that range may have been the NAM. One thing is for certain, your area out through me, Mike and Sam has been pegged as jackpot for 2 days now. I like that trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Parts of se ct will Lean colder and snowier..Telling ya Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I didn't doubt that he had those amounts, I just want to see it rationalized and I have to see that.....can anyone rationalize 18-24" imby because I sure as hell can't. Not saying this is what I think happens but here's the rationalization. Round 1 - fluffier 14-15:1 ratios so 8-10" Round 2 - all snow 11-12:1 ratios 10-14" 18-24" when a model gives you 1.75" QPF even though it's the NAM and overdone - it is possible. From a model standpoint - NAM QPF is better for fround 1 so ~ 0.8" QPF GFS better for round 2 so 0.9-1.0" QPF and there u have enough for 18-24" NOT saying it's right or not just arguing for the point of justification. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Not to spoil the party but 18Z OP has a huge snow eating torch at the end of the run. Plenty of cold in Canada though so we're not even close to being done. dont worry, we'll send some down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Lean colder and snowier..Telling ya That's an awful way to go for us, especially considering all the data has been going more towards mixing than snow here in CT...I have yet to really see one piece of data that has been saying we here in CT will go colder...this warm layer above 850mb has not been going anywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Not me in VT Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 How was your meeting with the town officials this afternoon? Did you give them a link to AM Wx? No, I simply referred all parties to department of homeland security and connecticut emergency management. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BDR Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Lean colder and snowier..Telling ya Betting on the 24hr nowcast correction colder? I am too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 way off topic for our area just i just find it amazing that curtis field airport in texas is at 72 right now with a dp of 52 and there undera winter storm warning for tonight! WOW! i know most people only care about their BY but ill be watching this one all the way across the continent. looking forward to some live streams from newschannels history in the making right here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 That's an awful way to go for us, especially considering all the data has been going more towards mixing than snow here in CT...I have yet to really see one piece of data that has been saying we here in CT will go colder...this warm layer above 850mb has not been going anywhere. Stop humping bufkit and the US models and use some climo knowledge and how this winter has gone so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 One of the morning models outputs had #s in that range may have been the NAM. One thing is for certain, your area out through me, Mike and Sam has been pegged as jackpot for 2 days now. I like that trend. I think Sam - Keene make out the best in the end... just my lil thoughts 23.2" for him Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Stop humping bufkit and the US models and use some climo knowledge and how this winter has gone so far Gotta hedge toward Rev Kev Paul, he's had the hot hand this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Lean colder and snowier..Telling ya certainly possible... but right now i'm thinking a lot of sleet for both of us after rd 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Off to buy gas for the blower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SC48 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Betting on the 24hr nowcast correction colder? I am too... Me to. 18Z's are always amped up,then usually come in colder around 0Z. that Hight ih the Upper mid-West is key to this entire forecast. if it flexes its' muscles then a colder solution will follow; which I think it will. If it comes in weaker then the warmer soultion will follow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 AWT also means As Weenies Think. :lmao: A+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 FWIW Matt Noyes said 14-16:1 ratios for much of the NH and VT mountains which is how he gets to 2-3 ft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Not too often you see trop fold used in heavy snow discussion by HPC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 certainly possible... but right now i'm thinking a lot of sleet for both of us after rd 1 Any idea where the ZR might come into play Ryan? I was thinking south of I-84 maybe.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Gotta hedge toward Rev Kev Paul, he's had the hot hand this winter. I'd tell him to go to Mohegan with his luck this year, but I'll tell you what in any other season his hot hand would be cold as ice, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 That's an awful way to go for us, especially considering all the data has been going more towards mixing than snow here in CT...I have yet to really see one piece of data that has been saying we here in CT will go colder...this warm layer above 850mb has not been going anywhere. GFS ENS, I have been riding that train this year, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 :lmao: A+ It will snow where it wants to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 One of the morning models outputs had #s in that range may have been the NAM. One thing is for certain, your area out through me, Mike and Sam has been pegged as jackpot for 2 days now. I like that trend. Yeah, bring it on! ...time to play catchup, and in a very big way. The snow was hard and fast today, held an edge amazingly and made some nice tight railroad tracks. Taking tomorrow off, first day since christmas, and will be there to enjoy the dumping on Wed. Absolutely epic! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Gotta hedge toward Rev Kev Paul, he's had the hot hand this winter. I mean even the 18z GFS gives us 5-9 tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 It will snow where it wants to snow you got it bro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Ahhhhh the deadzone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 wow 18z GFS is pretty cold even for rd 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Ahhhhh the deadzone. Must mean it's time for Jeopardy! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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