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Epic winter signal continues to beam, part IV


Baroclinic Zone

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You can see the high pressure's influence on the mid levels, by how the isotherms bow to the south on those ensemble runs.

Yeah its similar to 12/16/07 though not quite as extreme. Having that huge LLJ run into a brick wall that has been set up by that high is going to produce some tremendous lift.

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Yeah its similar to 12/16/07 though not quite as extreme. Having that huge LLJ run into a brick wall that has been set up by that high is going to produce some tremendous lift.

My gut tells me most of my snow (and likely for you too) on Wednesday, may come in about 6hrs or so. Once the better lift moves on and the precip shield sort of becomes disorganized, I think that's when I have the potential to mix with a little sleet, as this may be when that warm layer near 800mb or so moves north. Hopefully I can grab a little fluff Wednesday night, as the column cools and the 700 low moves through triggering a little snow. That's a win for me in my book.

Obviously a 20 mile trend in either direction may significantly change things, but that's my best guess for now.

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8-12 shoreline

10-14 central

14-18 nw hills i believe

12" and the shore with 6 to 8. And lots of freezing rain. No mention of plan rain. Are they riding the earlier models?

I must be totally missing something...I went 8-12'' for the northern part of the state and I even think that might be a bit too high. All bufkit data and forecast soundings all lead me to believe were going to see plenty of mixing or changing over here in CT and I still think we could end up with a decent ice storm for parts of the state. The 18z data further leads me to believe this as well.

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