40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I was kind of making a joke. Well, you were right. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 12-18" That's a much safer and probably more realistic call, yes, but I feel like we're going to see 6-8'' tomorrow (thanks especially to great ratios) and then the big kahuna on Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 When do we see '78? What did Philly, DC and Baltimore get last year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Hes in the 6-12 or at least very close to the line between 6-12 and 12-18 Yea, Kev is at the s end of the 12-18" band and I'm at the s edge of the 18-24"......12" is possible for him, as 18" is for me....Noyes, like BOX, is taking a high-end, "if everything breaks right" approach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 For whoever asked Thats a little old. New one had a 2-3' swath for sw vt and albany Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Can we get some clown maps in here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simpsonsbuff Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Can we get some clown maps in here? NAM 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 NAM 18z Well that's like clockwork at this point . I'm interested to see how hard the GFS clown map hits the ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Well that's like clockwork at this point . I'm interested to see how hard the GFS clown map hits the ratios. Its not out yet...the GFS one that is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 that's a terrible forecast. I can't see more than 10 or 12" in your backyard. Way to bash on the one of all time great new England mets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Its not out yet...the GFS one that is. What are you thinking? 15:1 tomorrow and then 12-15:1 on Wednesday depending on precip intensity? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeVries Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 It's too bad the clown maps stop at 20". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 It's too bad the clown maps stop at 20". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I never seen ratios discussed so much, like I've seen this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I never seen ratios discussed so much, like I've seen this year. I have a very, very strong ratio fetish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 What are you thinking? 15:1 tomorrow and then 12-15:1 on Wednesday depending on precip intensity? Yeah tomorrow could be decent ratios...esp if we can get a nice little frontogensis band to develop and deepen the lift. Avg ratios will be much lower on Wednesday...they will briefly be good in the heaviest stuff but probably in between not as good and end up averaging out to near 10 or 12 to 1...but I could be wrong. Further north you go might be better ratios on Wed. Ratios aren't easy to figure out until right up before the event starts...and even then it can be tough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I have a very, very strong ratio fetish. I don't.....give me the 10:1 concrete that clings to everything and doesn't vaproize once it falls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I have a very, very strong ratio fetish. Well thanks to JB always throwing around 20:1 or better ratios, I think weenies have become obsessed over it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Well thanks to JB always throwing around 20:1 or better ratios, I think weenies have become obsessed over it. I need all the help I can get in ASH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 When CoastalWx brought up that this storm should be a mixture of columns, plates, and dendrites I actually found this image to be very interesting and maybe some Mets could give us some insight on what we could see from this storm in different areas.... I could go for some Fernlike stellar dendrites.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I need all the help I can get in ASH. You will be lovin' your latitude. Plus, you don't slantstick like someone 15 miles to your se. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I have a very, very strong felatio fetish. nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 When CoastalWx brought up that this storm should be a mixture of columns, plates, and dendrites I actually found this image to be very interesting and maybe some Mets could give us some insight on what we could see from this storm in different areas.... I could go for some Fernlike stellar dendrites.... Hopefully the 00z GFS comes in with heavy so you can jump back onto the bandwagon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 HPC latest.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 When CoastalWx brought up that this storm should be a mixture of columns, plates, and dendrites I actually found this image to be very interesting and maybe some Mets could give us some insight on what we could see from this storm in different areas.... I could go for some Fernlike stellar dendrites.... http://minnesota.publicradio.org/collections/special/columns/updraft/archive/2010/12/maximized_the_potential.shtml Nice chart on this sight. Ignore the parabolic line for now....that chart is a good run down of the type of flakes you see, given the temperature of snowflake production. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Well thanks to JB always throwing around 20:1 or better ratios, I think weenies have become obsessed over it. Probably directly related to other things...but that's JMHO. Every storm has 3-4" hour rates, every storm has high ratios. I think by 2020 we'll just start measuring snow in feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 18z GFS ensembles were pretty darn cold for 18z Wed. 00z runs should be interesting. Still a lot of uncertainty 25 miles either side of the pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 HPC latest.. Jesus, I swear that Kev has taken over all of the gov agencies, today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Semper911 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I could go for some Fernlike stellar dendrites.... That chart is cool as hell. I am going to post it in my classroom. Thanks for putting it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 way off topic for our area just i just find it amazing that curtis field airport in texas is at 72 right now with a dp of 52 and there undera winter storm warning for tonight! WOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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