CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 LOL, you guys are nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Where does the 1 inch line set up? Not here in Maine, NH border south into MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ursa99 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 My forecast: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 LOL..sleet is much heavier and denser than snow. 3 inches of sleet weighs a hell of aot more than 3 inches of snow Kevin--you misread the post. I said an inch of qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 Euro didn't cut back tomorrow I think it was .40 or so last night 0.3-0.4" = 8-10" of snow with 12/15:1 ratios? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Right,,but from a structural standpoint 3 inches of sleet is more damaging than 12 inches of powder Yes...but its probably not that either...its either 3" of sleet or 12" of dense "sand" snow. As long as the liquid equivalent is the same, it won't weigh different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 0.3-0.4" = 8-10" of snow with 12/15:1 ratios? 6-10 is my call i said..and we're taking euro low qpf bias into account Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Certainly not what we expected..but it also sleeted us on last weeks storm and we know how that turned out..so keep that in the back pocket 60-72 hrs last time it was overamped not much of a surprise. we get inside of 42/48 tonight at that point I'll buy in. When all of you were getting buried nobody noticed how poorly they all performed with temp profiles on the borderline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 6-10 is my call i said..and we're taking euro low qpf bias into account And the NAM high qpf bias? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Not here in Maine, NH border south into MA I hope that is the bias it had with the last storm a day before it happens. Euro is still on a bit of benchwarming for me based on last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Yes...but its probably not that either...its either 3" of sleet or 12" of dense "sand" snow. As long as the liquid equivalent is the same, it won't weigh different. What is Euro qpf for the 2nd event..and then what is event total qpf for BOS, ORH and BDL? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Can't we all just get along???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Look, I wanna get the call right....it's not all about him, but I was criticized for being consistent in my thoughts in the face of trends, so god forebid I retaliate a bit. lol Your call looks fine for now. Unlike some other swfe, we don't have a huge low cutting terribly far west, and a high in the perfect spot. I still think omega will play a pretty big role in this, Will hit the nail on the head with that. If I ping, it's probably close to the point of the big lift moving out. However, I could see me mixing with sleet for a few hours as well, if mid levels are just a bit warmer. I still like areas over the border for getting the best snow. especially Wednesday. That could change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Can't we all just get along???? I don't think anyone is doing anything other than discussing the weather in civil, friendly terms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 What is Euro qpf for the 2nd event..and then what is event total qpf for BOS, ORH and BDL? 2nd event is maybe like 0.80" qpf, its not as high as other models. But total qpf is still in the 1.10-1.25" range for all of BOS/ORH/BDL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 The Euro also made huge cut backs a day before the last storm too, and seemed wrong. The NAM and GFS came back stronger a day before on the last and were right(for the most part. I hope this isn't a trend on it. I would not get overly concerned with the Euro qpf output, I don't think it has faired well with the last few storms...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Your call looks fine for now. Unlike some other swfe, we don't have a huge low cutting terribly far west, and a high in the perfect spot. I still think omega will play a pretty big role in this, Will hit the nail on the head with that. If I ping, it's probably close to the point of the big lift moving out. However, I could see me mixing with sleet for a few hours as well, if mid levels are just a bit warmer. I still like areas over the border for getting the best snow. especially Wednesday. That could change. Yea, with the deformation... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Saturday night rain on the euro?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simpsonsbuff Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I would not get overly concerned with the Euro qpf, I don't think it has faired well with the last few storms...... U saying that 6 inches of Snow it had for KLEB 2 nights out wasn't real?... Oh yea, it wasn't. 0 fell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 2nd event is maybe like 0.80" qpf, its not as high as other models. But total qpf is still in the 1.10-1.25" range for all of BOS/ORH/BDL. I imagine it is with that that you question the BOX maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Saturday night rain on the euro?? For everyone ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 For everyone ? For many, perhaps on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 For everyone ? yes, pretty ugly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 For everyone ? Its actually freezing rain for ORH county into GC.At least initially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Saturday night rain on the euro?? Keeps waffling btwn a fish and rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Toss it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I would not get overly concerned with the Euro qpf output, I don't think it has faired well with the last few storms...... Yeah, I meant a trend on the Euro model, not actual storm. Euro used to be reliable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 For everyone ? For everyone except Tolland where I sure you will be calling for 12-15 will lolli's to 18... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Now that would be a roof wrecker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Clown maps by popular demand ill take map #2 for 500 please bob butts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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