powderfreak Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 On 1/31/2011 at 2:09 PM, litchfieldlibations said: Hopefully the stronger part one, the more confluence left in its wake for part two. You guys are greedy! I now know what it felt like to be SNE last winter when all the mid-Atlantic folks were rooting for more and more snow after having 4 feet on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 On 1/31/2011 at 2:08 PM, CT Blizz said: I think we get 4-8 tomorrow and 14-20 Wednesday so your forecast is 18-28" we'll see how that verifies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 On 1/31/2011 at 2:10 PM, powderfreak said: You guys are greedy! No, just trying to avoid rain or freezing rain, between the gutters roofs, and snowpack, we would have major issues down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Holy crap at tomorrow on the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 On 1/31/2011 at 2:10 PM, CT Rain said: so your forecast is 18-28" we'll see how that verifies Not yet it's not..that's just what i'm thinking about. Hypothetically if we stayed all snow..what kind of totals are you thinking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 On 1/31/2011 at 2:10 PM, CT Rain said: so your forecast is 18-28" we'll see how that verifies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Pretty much playing out like I'd hope...system one becoming more prominent (still weak though) but a nice snow producer....then we wait for storm 2 which has trended even colder closer to the source out in IL and OH this run versus the 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Nam a little more juiced Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 On 1/31/2011 at 2:06 PM, CT Rain said: And now part 1 seems a bit amped up too. Wow. Attorneys are running scared! I have loads of pre-trials for Wednesday and motions for re-scheduling are flying like weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 On 1/31/2011 at 2:11 PM, litchfieldlibations said: No, just trying to avoid rain or freezing rain, between the gutters roofs, and snowpack, we would have major issues down here. True, but its bound to happen at some point. You add more snow/sleet now, you'll have a bigger problem later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 On 1/31/2011 at 2:12 PM, CT Blizz said: Not yet it'snot..that's just what i'm thinking about. Hypothetically if we stayed all snow..what kind of totals are you thinking? Well... if the NAM is right about part 1 being so amped up someone could do quite well with an 18" or 20" amount which is ridiculous for a SWFE. Even thinking about 28" in this kind of setup proves why you consistently garner a large number of votes in WOTY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 On 1/31/2011 at 2:12 PM, CT Blizz said: Not yet it's not..that's just what i'm thinking about. Hypothetically if we stayed all snow..what kind of totals are you thinking? if we stayed all snow I think we'd have 14-20". I know you were asking Ryan but it'd probably be something like that IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 On 1/31/2011 at 2:12 PM, messenger said: Pretty much playing out like I'd hope...system one becoming more prominent (still weak though) but a nice snow producer....then we wait for storm 2 which has trended even colder closer to the source out in IL and OH this run versus the 6z. The fact that you and I have agreed on this from day 1 should probably open some eyes lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 On 1/31/2011 at 2:12 PM, ORH_wxman said: It wouldn't even matter if he was right because its legitimately a weenie shot in the dark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 The NAM really went nuts with the first event. That's a 6-10 type deal. Likely over done, but it should be a nice appetizer regardless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 NAM would probably get some sleet into the south coast for part 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 On 1/31/2011 at 2:14 PM, CoastalWx said: NAM would probably get some sleet into the south coast for part 1. 00z was really warm last night with part 1... this definitely isn't as bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 NAM now has widespread .75"+ for tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 12z NAM has ticked colder from 6z. I like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 On 1/31/2011 at 2:15 PM, CT Rain said: 00z was really warm last night with part 1... this definitely isn't as bad. Yeah true. I like how the temps cool after the 1st part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 On 1/31/2011 at 2:16 PM, CT Rain said: 12z NAM has ticked colder from 6z. I like. didn't the 6z NAM have like 1.5" BDL all snow? Or am I confused Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 On 1/31/2011 at 2:16 PM, CT Rain said: 12z NAM has ticked colder from 6z. I like. Not at hour 36. Definitely warmer. Could certainly see sleet work up to around IJD-PVD-TAN for the latter half of tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 On 1/31/2011 at 2:13 PM, CT Rain said: Well... if the NAM is right about part 1 being so amped up someone could do quite well with an 18" or 20" amount which is ridiculous for a SWFE. Even thinking about 28" in this kind of setup proves why you consistently garner a large number of votes in WOTY Well how have I done this winter overall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 A bit overdone but I wonder if the NAM has some credibility in this case. As we have been thinking all along, radar/obs all eyes will be over IL/IN/KY this evening and into tonight, wrt round one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 On 1/31/2011 at 2:18 PM, mattmfm said: Not at hour 36. Definitely warmer. Could certainly see sleet work up to around IJD-PVD-TAN for the latter half of tomorrow. Was thinking the same thing 0c 850 line from HPN to BOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 On 1/31/2011 at 2:18 PM, mattmfm said: Not at hour 36. Definitely warmer. Could certainly see sleet work up to around IJD-PVD-TAN for the latter half of tomorrow. but looks cooler for 2nd storm to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 NAM has bumped up QPF in NH and ME with with the Tuesday event. Nice to see it is increasing. I think that event will be a widespread 3-6 of fluffy snow. Not bad considering what happens after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I think NAM will end up overdone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 On 1/31/2011 at 2:20 PM, tavwtby said: Was thinking the same thing 0c 850 line from HPN to BOS Well yeah, at all layers. I was looking more at 700mb which is warmer too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 On 1/31/2011 at 2:22 PM, sbos_wx said: I think NAM will end up overdone Yup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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