Scott747 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 http://au.news.yahoo.com/latest/a/-/latest/8759255/lethal-cyclone-hits-category-five/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 http://au.news.yahoo.com/latest/a/-/latest/8759255/lethal-cyclone-hits-category-five/ Senior bureau forecaster Gordon Banks says it could take at least 24 hours for Cyclone Yasi to weaken after it makes landfall. i love the press. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 The latest advice is out. They lowered the pressure a few more mb, to 922 mb. Max gusts still 295 km/hr (~160 kt). Some tidbits: SEVERE TC YASI IS A LARGE AND VERY POWERFUL TROPICAL CYCLONE AND POSES AN EXTREMELY SERIOUS THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, ESPECIALLY BETWEEN CAIRNS AND TOWNSVILLE. THIS IMPACT IS LIKELY TO BE MORE LIFE THREATENING THAN ANY EXPERIENCED DURING RECENT GENERATIONS. TC Yasi, CATEGORY 5, will continue to move in a west-southwesterly direction during the day. The cyclone is expected to cross the coast in the Innisfail area at about midnight. ... Between Cape Tribulation and Ingham these winds will become DESTRUCTIVE with gusts in excess of 125km/hr during the afternoon and early evening and VERY DESTRUCTIVE with gusts up to 300 km/hr between Cairns and Ingham during the evening as the cyclone approaches and crosses the coast. These VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds can also occur on the seaward side of hills to the north of the cyclone and are also forecast to reach the Atherton Tablelands. Could you imagine being somewhere where they were forecasting gusts over 160 kt? Latest map: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Win shift and the barometer is still dropping? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Well... at least Innisfail has moved to the right of the newest center of the forecast path. 300 km/h though. Jesus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 i love the press. I think he is talking about it remaining a significant cyclone which appears to be a possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I think he is talking about it remaining a significant cyclone which appears to be a possibility. Yeah, that has to be what the forecaster meant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 Hey guys, I'm nerding out a little and I made a map of the landfall zone for y'all: Orange (A) = Innisfail, the expected landfall point. The max winds, with gusts up to ~160 kt, are forecast between Cairns (yellow) and Ingham (light purple). Mardi (AussieStormGirl) lives in Malanda (red). Townsville (dark purple), way to the S, will probably miss the worst of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Willis is closing in on 200 km/h gusts now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Yeah, that has to be what the forecaster meant. I've noticed that they are trying to get across that the event will remain quite severe well after landfall... "Whether it's cyclonic, storm surge or torrential rain, we are facing an extreme event that won't be over in 24 hours but will take several days before the full flooding effect is felt across the region - potentially right through to Mount Isa," Anna Bligh told Sky News. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 BTW... lol @ the fire index being 23- high on the Willis Island observations... a little bit of humour in a time of tragedy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 http://www.cairns.com.au/cyclone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 Willis Island: 74 kt G 100, 955 mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 here's a zoom on the area south of innisfall wangaling beach and mission beach both have dozens of structures and dunk island also has a resort...in fact, the entire area is resort country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 Latest IR. I wouldn't call it a classic beauty. Still looks smushed to me: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 This one of the Aussie forums you have been following Josh? http://www.northauschasers.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=4&t=597 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 This one of the Aussie forums you have been following Josh? http://www.northauschasers.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=4&t=597 Yep-- I've posted there a bit in the last day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Microwave still suggests an open NW eyewall. I'll refrain from making any sort of intensity forecast after my horrific call yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Willis Island: 74 kt G 100, 955 mb. oh man, so close now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Microwave still suggests an open NW eyewall. I'll refrain from making any sort of intensity forecast after my horrific call yesterday It looks like that has rotated to the NE now from that latest radar grab. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Yep-- I've posted there a bit in the last day. Good stuff. Sounds like a few are chasing and we might get some streaming footage soon. You will be happy to know that all hell is breaking loose in Texas and I'm more interested in Yasi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 oh man, so close now... Yeah I'm pretty sure the obs station is toast now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 Yeah I'm pretty sure the obs station is toast now. It hasn't reported in about a half hour-- last reading was 76 kt G 100. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 anemometer down! (probably) 941.5mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 anemometer down! (probably) 941.5mb Yep, I just noticed that. We lost the wind trace for good. That final reading was solid Cat 2 when converted to 1-min. I think the radar is down also. It stopped updating. That image above was the last one, I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Reporting from underwater can't be easy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 very nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Yup. Radar dome damaged and the comm link is down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Jeebus. Well at least somehow we have a pressure reading? Probably faulty in some way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Someone on the weatherzone forums just said a 6 m storm surge was announced... no idea if that is what willis got or if that was what P Bligh said the coast could expect... or if it is just a rumour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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