k*** Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 On 2/1/2011 at 9:08 PM, HurricaneJosh said: The cyclone is moving very fast and will be accelerating even more-- so the rainfall might not be too bad for a system of this size. Yeah, my understanding is that the floods earlier this summer were south of the LF area as well, so that's one small consolation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 On 2/1/2011 at 9:08 PM, HurricaneJosh said: The cyclone is moving very fast and will be accelerating even more-- so the rainfall might not be too bad for a system of this size. That's the fortunate part. The unfortunate part is that Queensland can barely handle anymore rain period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 On 2/1/2011 at 9:10 PM, k*** said: Yeah, my understanding is that the floods earlier this summer were south of the LF area as well, so that's one small consolation. On 2/1/2011 at 9:10 PM, PSUBlizzicane2007 said: That's the fortunate part. The unfortunate part is that Queensland can barely handle anymore rain period. On the minus side, there's going to be some serious left-front-quad augmentation of those max winds. Towns just left of the center are going to get blasted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 On 2/1/2011 at 9:10 PM, k*** said: Yeah, my understanding is that the floods earlier this summer were south of the LF area as well, so that's one small consolation. Did you see where BOM is forecasting ~1 m of rain total from this system? 1 m. That is death. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 On 2/1/2011 at 9:10 PM, PSUBlizzicane2007 said: That's the fortunate part. The unfortunate part is that Queensland can barely handle anymore rain period. QLD is a large state. The impact would be to entirely different river basins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 On 2/1/2011 at 9:12 PM, HurricaneJosh said: On the minus side, there's going to be some serious left-front-quad augmentation of those max winds. Towns just left of the center are going to get blasted. I really, really hope Innisfail squeaks out to the right... but I'm not so sure they'll be that lucky. Cardwell is going to get hammered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 On 2/1/2011 at 9:13 PM, PSUBlizzicane2007 said: Did you see where BOM is forecasting ~1 m of rain total from this system? 1 m. That is death. Not trying to downplay the threat, because certainly some floods will occur, but any storm crashing into a coastal range is going to produce some hefty totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 On 2/1/2011 at 9:14 PM, k*** said: QLD is a large state. The impact would be to entirely different river basins. It's going to be close enough... and the TC large enough... for the northernmost of those areas to be affected by outer rain bands. Regardless, for areas further north in QLD to be hit by ~1 m of rain is not helping the state's situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 Here's a better link for the Willis Island obs! It's actually still updating! http://www.weatherzone.com.au/station.jsp?lt=site&lc=200283&list=ob Latest: 60 kt/971.5 mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 On 2/1/2011 at 9:24 PM, HurricaneJosh said: Here's a better link for the Willis Island obs! It's actually still updating! http://www.weatherzone.com.au/station.jsp?lt=site&lc=200283&list=ob ugh...kilometers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 On 2/1/2011 at 9:25 PM, k*** said: ugh...kilometers Kilometers are sweet, man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 Look out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 May have already been posted. Just catching up. Katrina like warnings... http://www.smh.com.a...0201-1acgp.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 On 2/1/2011 at 9:25 PM, k*** said: ugh...kilometers I know-- can't stand that. Why can't everyone just do knots? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 On 2/1/2011 at 9:24 PM, HurricaneJosh said: Here's a better link for the Willis Island obs! It's actually still updating! http://www.weatherzo...=200283&list=ob Latest: 60 kt/971.5 mb. 10 min? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 On 2/1/2011 at 9:28 PM, Scott747 said: May have already been posted. Just catching up. Katrina like warnings... http://www.smh.com.a...0201-1acgp.html There you are! I was worried. Dude, that map is ancient. It's a Cat 5 on the Aussie scale now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 On 2/1/2011 at 9:29 PM, wxmx said: 10 min? I was wondering. I assume so-- that or peak gust. Certainly not 1-min. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 On 2/1/2011 at 9:30 PM, HurricaneJosh said: I was wondering. I assume so-- that or peak gust. Certainly not 1-min. Peak gust would be "wind gust" column. Already Cat 1 (SS) winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 On 2/1/2011 at 9:32 PM, wxmx said: Peak gust would be "wind gust" column. Already Cat 1 (SS) winds. Oops-- I am blind today. Yeah, given that there's a gust column, it's got to be 10-min, as the USA is one of the only nations that uses 1-min, and 10-min is the international standard and what the Aussies use. So, yep, by our standards, the island's gettin' a hurricane right now! P.S. Does MX use 1-min also? I believe it does... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 On 2/1/2011 at 8:56 PM, HurricaneJosh said: Eye approaching Willis Island. It will most certainly experience the lull. Dunno, underwater will be rough still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 On 2/1/2011 at 9:34 PM, HurricaneJosh said: Oops-- I am blind today. Yeah, given that there's a gust column, it's got to be 10-min, as the USA is one of the only nations that uses 1-min, and 10-min is the international standard and what the Aussies use. So, yep, by our standards, the island's gettin' a hurricane right now! P.S. Does MX use 1-min also? I believe it does... Yep, we do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 On 2/1/2011 at 9:30 PM, HurricaneJosh said: There you are! I was worried. Dude, that map is ancient. It's a Cat 5 on the Aussie scale now. Is this the kind of California like hospitality I should expect if I move to your beloved state... Article is current. Just added the image for Katrina like warnings. Heck of a storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 On 2/1/2011 at 9:35 PM, wxmx said: Dunno, underwater will be rough still On 2/1/2011 at 9:35 PM, wxmx said: Yep, we do. Then you're freaks-- like us! On 2/1/2011 at 9:36 PM, Scott747 said: Is this the kind of California like hospitality I should expect if I move to your beloved state... Article is current. Just added the image for Katrina like warnings. Heck of a storm. You movin' to CA?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 Some warming of the cloud tops in the last hour. Not so hawt. Could be the usual fluctuations: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 On 2/1/2011 at 9:37 PM, HurricaneJosh said: You movin' to CA?? Looking more and more seriously at places around Tahoe. Only for the winter though. Staying ot. Haven't responded to your email. Were you really thinking about chasing? btw - Aussie 10 min scale rocks. Wish we would use it or implement it somehow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 Willis Island: 66 kt kt G 85, 969 mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 On 2/1/2011 at 9:41 PM, Scott747 said: Looking more and more seriously at places around Tahoe. Only for the winter though. Staying ot. Haven't responded to your email. Were you really thinking about chasing? btw - Aussie 10 min scale rocks. Wish we would use it or implement it somehow. Would be cool to have you as a neighbor during the winter. I seriously considered chasing it-- yes. Tried hard to figure it out but couldn't do it. Too much going on at work, too much schlepping. Grrrrrr. But it's going to be a nighttime landfall, which would have sucked. 10-min sucks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 On 2/1/2011 at 9:43 PM, HurricaneJosh said: Would be cool to have you as a neighbor during the winter. I seriously considered chasing it-- yes. Tried hard to figure it out but couldn't do it. Too much going on at work, too much schlepping. Grrrrrr. But it's going to be a nighttime landfall, which would have sucked. 10-min sucks! 10-minute averages at least require thinkage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 just looped it for the first time in several hours...it's really racing towards that coastline Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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