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November 2010

FoothillsNC

By FoothillsNC,
in Southeastern States

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eyewall

eyewall

Posted
Posted

From RAH:

SEVERE THREAT:

DIFFICULT SEVERE WEATHER FCST. WITH A SFC LOW DEEPENING SUB-1000 MB

AND TRACKING NORTHEAST ALONG OR JUST WEST OF THE SOUTHERN

APPALACHIANS...AND A WARM FRONT SURGING NORTH THROUGH CENTRAL NC

LATE TUE MORNING THROUGH EARLY TUE AFTERNOON...EXPECT ALL OF CENTRAL

NC TO BE IN THE WARM SECTOR OF A FAIRLY IMPRESSIVE CYCLONE BY

EARLY/MID AFTERNOON. FCST SOUNDINGS SHOW PWAT VALUES IN THE

1.25-1.50" RANGE (2-3X NORMAL) ON TUE WITH STRONG/VEERING WIND

PROFILES IN THE LOWER LEVELS. IN FACT...THE GFS IS INDICATING A

40-50 KT SOUTHERLY H85 JET ACROSS THE AREA BY 18-21Z. SO...EFFECTIVE

BULK SHEAR VALUES SHOULD HAVE NO PROBLEM SUPPORTING A THREAT FOR

ORGANIZED STORMS...INCLUDING SUPERCELLS...AND 0-1KM SRH SHOULD BE

SUFFICIENT FOR A TORNADO THREAT...PARTICULARLY IN THE WESTERN

PIEDMONT 18-21Z TUE ON THE NOSE OF A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET WHERE LOW

LEVEL FLOW WILL BE BACKED MORE (CLOSER TO THE SFC LOW). THERMO

PROFILES ARE VERY WEAK...WITH MOIST-ADIABATIC LAPSE RATES AND

PERVASIVE CLOUD COVER SUGGESTING VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF MLCAPE

TUE AFT/EVE ASIDE FROM A FEW HUNDRED J/KG OF THE TALL/SKINNY

VARIETY. HOWEVER...THIS IS OFTEN THE CASE FOR CENTRAL NC (HIGH

SHEAR/LOW CAPE)...AND WE`VE SEEN SEVERE OUTBREAKS IN PREVIOUS

NOVEMBERS WITH VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF INSTABILITY. SO...THE

BIGGEST FACTOR MAY BE THE AMOUNT OF FORCING IN PLACE ACROSS CENTRAL

NC. WITH THE H5 WAVE TRACKING THROUGH THE TN/OH VALLEY...THE

RELATIVE STRONGEST DYNAMIC FORCING WILL BE IN WESTERN PORTIONS OF

THE STATE DURING PEAK HEATING TUE...ALTHOUGH FAIRLY IMPRESSIVE

HEIGHT FALLS (60-90 METERS) ARE EXPECTED EVERYWHERE OVERNIGHT AS THE

COLD FRONT SWEEPS EAST ACROSS THE AREA. FEEL THAT THERE IS AT LEAST

A THREAT FOR AN ISOLD SEVERE STORM TUE AFT/EVE...PRIMARILY IN THE

WEST/NW PIEDMONT...WITH AN ISOLD SEVERE THREAT POSSIBLE 00-06Z OVER

THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA IN ASSOC/W THE COLD FRONT AND STRONGER

HEIGHT FALLS. -VINCENT

:popcorn:

&&

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FoothillsNC

FoothillsNC

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There is a major training look on the Atlanta radar, could be some flooding issues with all the leaves clogging the drains.

My link

looks like you guys are in for a very healthy rain event. The echoes are really lighting up now from aroubt Gainesville back west and southwest, with a training going on as well as the heavy elements. I still think N. Ga from just north of Atlanta to the mtns. will get a big rain from this, almost a month's worth, in the next 2 days. Also, as Eyewall pointed out when the sfc system wraps up just west of the Apps tomorrow, in ne Ga through the Carolinas there will be a low level jet to contend with, so squall line and strong winds could become a factor with a line of severe, possible tornadoes. I'm hoping for atleast an inch of rain here, which would finally move me up to around 31" on the year. Just 6 more weeks to get up to my avg. 49".

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MotoWeatherman

MotoWeatherman

Posted
Posted

Just an FYI that I have heard that americanwx.com is not reachable from some domains this morning. One of them being carolina.rr.com in the Time Warner Cable Charlotte area where it had been working fine Friday - Sunday. Hopefully things will resolve out ok soon on their own.

Make that windstream in north ga also. Have to use my droid to access the site.

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strongwxnc

strongwxnc

Posted
Posted

Also AT&T . Had issues all day yesterday and this morning.

working fine as of now.

Spitting rain here this morning.

Just an FYI that I have heard that americanwx.com is not reachable from some domains this morning. One of them being carolina.rr.com in the Time Warner Cable Charlotte area where it had been working fine Friday - Sunday. Hopefully things will resolve out ok soon on their own.

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jburns

jburns

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Posted

Just an FYI that I have heard that americanwx.com is not reachable from some domains this morning. One of them being carolina.rr.com in the Time Warner Cable Charlotte area where it had been working fine Friday - Sunday. Hopefully things will resolve out ok soon on their own.

triad/rr/com working fine this morning but now I can't get to DBM. Evidently Time Warner hates Randy.

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FoothillsNC

FoothillsNC

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It looks like the best rain axis will set up to my west , no surprise there. The first round of rain will probably die pretty quickly just before reaching here, on all the models, and the second round will be from the frontal passage. maybe I can squeeze some half inch amounts from this anyway, but it will still be painful to watch another great rain event miss me just afew miles to the west and southwest, but after the last couple years I'm used to this. What may make it worse, is just missing a good low-level jet wind event ...there will probably be some shallow cold wedge air here but just to my east, the strong surge or warmer air at the surface will set the opening for the 975 and 950 jet , which is shown to strengthen from around Athens to Columbia to CLT then up the east coast, so the central and eastern Carolinas tomorrow evening could catch a nice squall line, which will probably start to organize just after passing my location by the razors edge , again not suprised.

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DaculaWeather

DaculaWeather

Posted
Posted

I like your site. What did you use to create that?

Mine if very basic: www.dawsonweather.com. I use weatherlink tags to create my site but I don't know a lot about programming.

Thanks! i did it from scratch but I use Adobe's Dreamweaver to do my coding and Adobe's Fireworks for my graphics. A labor of love!

I use both Weather-Display and Virtual Weather Station, but VWS does my current conditions updates.

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FoothillsNC

FoothillsNC

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Raining about .50" per hour at my station and have had .75" so far and we're just getting started.

http://www.daculawea...rgia_master.php

http://www.daculawea....com/camera.php

the second link wouldn't allow me to open, my virus scanner raised a flag of malicious software threat. Anyway to adjust this on my end? I'm using avast.

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DaculaWeather

DaculaWeather

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the second link wouldn't allow me to open, my virus scanner raised a flag of malicious software threat. Anyway to adjust this on my end? I'm using avast.

It's wanting to install Quicktime although it should be popping up anything about a virus. It's expecting the Quicktime pluggin to display the stream. Try going here instead: http://daculaweather.from-ga.com

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DaculaWeather

DaculaWeather

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Just opened it with FireFox and worked fine but it did load Quicktime plugin. Very nice cam.

Thanks! Sorry about the trouble loading it though.

It's been a great cam, it's currently running wirelessly but it can also run wired. It has it's own built in webserver and can stream 3 different video streams at once. I added a 16GB micro SD card and it's now acting like a DVR and recording everything. It also has motion detection, can ftp or email images, it does snapshots, and native DDNS support. Highly recommended.

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