Weather Czar Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Radio show is live...DT is on right now "Back like a bad case of clap" LOL... Is this not the same guy that said all the cold showed on the models in the east was fake? Is he now on the cold and snow train? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Czar Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Your sure on track.. Perhaps 4 -5". 1.3 here! Southern Mtns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 You guys are going to get raked. 1 inch in the books and the rain is really starting to pick up now. 1.3 here! Southern Mtns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 .78" so far here in Dahlonega in far NE Georgia. Best is yet to come... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted November 30, 2010 Author Share Posted November 30, 2010 that was a good question from Jeremy on the show. I think he asked if we don't cash in December, then are we done until February. I agree with DT odds aren't good for January but this isn't our only shot. The amplified pattern should continue for a while yet, maybe the whole winter. This nina isn't a typical one, so I wouldn't cast it with others exactly. I'd almost bet the neg. NAO comes back several more times this year, based on continuance/persistence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Yes good question. Nice to hear a southern draw on the show. that was a good question from Jeremy on the show. I think he asked if we don't cash in December, then are we done until February. I agree with DT odds aren't good for January but this isn't our only shot. The amplified pattern should continue for a while yet, maybe the whole winter. This nina isn't a typical one, so I wouldn't cast it with others exactly. I'd almost bet the neg. NAO comes back several more times this year, based on continuance/persistence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Yes good question. Nice to hear a southern draw on the show. Yeah, I was surprised to hear N GA even mentioned a couple times. Good show so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 NE Georgia doing well on the rain so far. The attached map was current as of 930pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted November 30, 2010 Author Share Posted November 30, 2010 NE Georgia doing well on the rain so far. The attached map was current as of 930pm. thanks for posting this. I've had a few sprinkles so far. Looks like just to my west things are going as planned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 WeatherNC is on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 thanks for posting this. I've had a few sprinkles so far. Looks like just to my west things are going as planned Here is a link to the site that has that map. It updates every 15 minutes. http://www.griffin.uga.edu/aemn/cgi-bin/AEMN.pl?site=AAAA&report=XR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Accuweather says I'm gonna get 3.81 inches of rain from this storm system tonight and tomorrow...we'll see. BTW, gotta love the TWC map for next Tuesday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 <br />.78" so far here in Dahlonega in far NE Georgia. Best is yet to come...<br /><br /><br />Lol same amount as mby so far with heavier rain moving in again shortly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Also there is a tornado reported on the SPC site in Yazoo City, MS. In case you guys do not know that city got hit with a devastating EF4 tornado back in late April. Terrible news if another one hit the city! YAZOO CITY YAZOO MS3286 9041 STRUCTURAL AND TREE DAMAGE REPORTED IN YAZOO CITY, UNKNOWN MAGNITUDE KNOWN AT THIS TIME AND WILL UPDATE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted November 30, 2010 Author Share Posted November 30, 2010 Also there is a tornado reported on the SPC site in Yazoo City, MS. In case you guys do not know that city got hit with a devastating EF4 tornado back in late April. Terrible news if another one hit the city! thats bad news. I remember that event. This incredibly high pwat, strong clash of temps, strong winds, and increasingly negative tilt trough, and deep one at that, means business. This will only bode worse as things head east. La Nina Autumns truly are bad news for the South. STay safe. Tomorrow into early Wed. morning should get rough. Tornado watch box just got extended east to western Alabama. BTW, great show tonight. Both parties did very well in my opinion and the callers had great questions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 WeatherNC is on Thanks, how did I do... Called out the ECMWF on hanging energy back in the sw, with GFS ens support around day 7. Also called out the 12z op Euro day 5 as it lacked support from almost every other model on the planet. But noted the 12z big 3 ens means showing sig neg h5 anomalies along the EC mid-late next week. Rough waters sailing forward, like a more subdued solution through the long-term, with an empahis on the TX cutoff that leaves us all with given the setup. Thanks to Jeremy as he preceded the call with excellent insight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 that was a good question from Jeremy on the show. I think he asked if we don't cash in December, then are we done until February. I agree with DT odds aren't good for January but this isn't our only shot. The amplified pattern should continue for a while yet, maybe the whole winter. This nina isn't a typical one, so I wouldn't cast it with others exactly. I'd almost bet the neg. NAO comes back several more times this year, based on continuance/persistence. I agree about this. As it stands now, December is shaping up to look like what most of us expected. Eventually, the warmth will come in and hang around for at least 3.5 weeks maybe longer if the SE ridge is strong enough. I'm thinking sometime during mid or late January is when the warming will kick in and last until after early February when the pattern begins to change in our favor again but that's just my thought on it. Even if we do average above average in temperatures for January, we can still get snow if everything sets up right, but it will be awfully difficult assuming the pattern setup by then. At some point during this warm up, I'm predicting there will be a time when a CAD scenario sets up but warm air is here to prevent anything snowy, resulting in what could be a nasty ice storm developing. We'll have to see. Aside from that, I also agree about our La Nina and its oddball behavior. It will be interesting to see how the winter plays out regarding it and a slew of other factors at hand. Perhaps its atypicalness will do something for a change, but I won't completely bet on it just yet until we see how this upcoming season pans out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainMarvel Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Drove up from Miami after two weeks in the humidity. Stopped for gas near Hilton Head, and the temp was 74 degrees at 4 p.m. Pulled into the mountains at 8 p.m, and it was 41 and starting to rain. WOW! Now it's 40, and the rain has been heavy for almost an hour. Great to be back! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Thanks, how did I do... Called out the ECMWF on hanging energy back in the sw, with GFS ens support around day 7. Also called out the 12z op Euro day 5 as it lacked support from almost every other model on the planet. But noted the 12z big 3 ens means showing sig neg h5 anomalies along the EC mid-late next week. Rough waters sailing forward, like a more subdued solution through the long-term, with an empahis on the TX cutoff that leaves us all with given the setup. Thanks to Jeremy as he preceded the call with excellent insight. Good call! There was definitely a focus on the SE compared to most radio shows...I like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted November 30, 2010 Author Share Posted November 30, 2010 I agree about this. As it stands now, December is shaping up to look like what most of us expected. Eventually, the warmth will come in and hang around for at least 3.5 weeks maybe longer if the SE ridge is strong enough. I'm thinking sometime during mid or late January is when the warming will kick in and last until after early February when the pattern begins to change in our favor again but that's just my thought on it. Even if we do average above average in temperatures for January, we can still get snow if everything sets up right, but it will be awfully difficult assuming the pattern setup by then. At some point during this warm up, I'm predicting there will be a time when a CAD scenario sets up but warm air is here to prevent anything snowy, resulting in what could be a nasty ice storm developing. We'll have to see. Aside from that, I also agree about our La Nina and its oddball behavior. It will be interesting to see how the winter plays out regarding it and a slew of other factors at hand. Perhaps its atypicalness will do something for a change, but I won't completely bet on it just yet until we see how this upcoming season pans out. some of the analogs for this Global SST have the winter events occurring in Dec, and again in March. Which also jives with alot of others thoughts. I don't think anyone is looking for a cold January, but DT also raised another interesting point about how he think the Nina has probably peaked early. Anyone (Larry) have any thoughts on this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Up to 0.94, most of that fell in less than an hour earlier this evening. Light rain now, radar looks mighty impressive to the west. Local METs said 2-3 inches isolated 4+ in their forecasts, looks about right to me. Very juicy system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Yeah I liked how there was quite a bit of talk about the SE! Alright 0z GFS time... Lets reel those weenies in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Been dry slotted off and on but still managed .6 so far. I've paid for it in lost degrees though. There is still a good ne wind blowing, but it has lost it's bite. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmersonGA Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 I just let the dog out and it looks like Ive got a half inch in the gauge. Currently 44 and the wind is so strong the window blinds are moving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 hmmmm: Look in the four corners Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Looks like the cold bias wins out this round and crushes the four corners low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 hmmmm: Look in the four corners Doesn't surprise me that a suppressed solution continues to show up. It played this game enough times this past winter. At least it doesn't have the low rocket off into the Atlantic like some of the other runs did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 I think tonight's euro is good for us but I'll wait on the pro's to speculate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 the models are all over the place very little agreement on much at all right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 one of our local mets just said this time next week we will be talking about snow. But he said to the south of us could have a better conversation about it he said its still up in the air and as always it depends on the track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.