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November 2010


FoothillsNC

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Woke up to balmy 65 degrees this morning and brief but heavy rain for about 3 minutes

Had to turn the A/C on for few minutes Just unreal for the latter days of November

Wow that's ridiculous! 55° over here in the corner and dreary...good day to sit back and watch some football and here horror stories of wives that went out shopping at midnight!!

Not much rain here so far, a little disappointed!

GFS still holding true for a major pattern change in the 12/5 to 12/8 range...still hopeful.

Hope everyone had a wonderful Thanksgiving and to my buddy DixieBlizzard, I think is the big BAMA fan....ROOOLLLL TIDE!

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Nice run of the cmc last night. Showing the most weenie solution of course. Gfs trended south with the storm next weekend too.

Saw that CZAR...Good to see it's showing the cold blast like the GFS, the more the merrier! Hopefully by early next week Dr. No will have it also :snowman:

Then we'll start worrying about the storm tracks :guitar:

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Chase potential next week? From RAH AFD this morning...

A TRIPLE POINT FRONTAL

WAVE -- AT THE INTERSECTION OF THE RETREATING MARITIME WARM FRONT

AND COLD/OCCLUDING FRONT FROM THE WEST -- SHOULD DEVELOP

NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE UPSTATE OF SC TUE EVE TO EASTERN VA BY EARLY

WED. THIS WILL BE THE TIME OF HIGHEST POP (BASIN AVERAGE QPF OF ONE

HALF TO ONE INCH OR BETTER)... AND RISK OF SVR WEATHER. IN FACT...

IF THE EVENT MATERIALIZES AS EXPECTED... WE WILL FACE ANOTHER HIGH

SHEAR/LOW CAPE ENVIRONMENT... WITH A THREAT OF DMGG WINDS AND

ISOLATED TORNADOES... INCLUDING A BAND OF EMBEDDED

SUPERCELLS/BOWS/LEWPS - NOT UNLIKE THE RECENT NOV-16-17 EVENT.

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Digging through some pics yesterday at my Mom's and came across one of the Jan '88 snowstorm that ruined us. Probably never see this again in our area. Was taken at our pool which had pretty much frozen over. Measured 15.5" on our diving board over the water when all said and done. Good ol days!

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Digging through some pics yesterday at my Mom's and came across one of the Jan '88 snowstorm that ruined us. Probably never see this again in our area. Was taken at our pool which had pretty much frozen over. Measured 15.5" on our diving board over the water when all said and done. Good ol days!

What a great storm!wub.gifwub.gifhug.gif

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The easiest way to answer you is to tell you we're looking at computer generated weather models, not 7-15 day forecasts on news/weather sites such as your local news station or accuweather.com/weather.com...these are not reliable forecasts of what the weather will actually be, but more of a "guesstimate", if that. By looking at and analyzing the data/images these models put out at several times during the day, we can follow long-range weather more accurately (such as cold fronts) and try to determine if and when it will happen.

http://en.wikipedia....i/Weather_model

I suggest just read the forum, observe, and you'll learn a lot about how this is done!

Nice post to help a newbie. :thumbsup:

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I'm loving the big rain looks from the next front Tue/Wed. Could be a 2" rain here, even more in the mountains. Also, this one probably has the best chance for some snow behind it in the mtns primarily and east Tn/n. Ala/Ga. None east of the mtns with this setup, but a cold shot Wednesday for sure. This is the storm that is supposed to really pump the Greenland block and then from here on out, supposedly systems entering the west coast will begin diving further south as they approach the East Coast, and by then, there will be much colder air entrenched in the nation, pressing down continually from the north...so eventually it might get interesting on the northern edge of precip shield.

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I'm loving the big rain looks from the next front Tue/Wed. Could be a 2" rain here, even more in the mountains. Also, this one probably has the best chance for some snow behind it in the mtns primarily and east Tn/n. Ala/Ga. None east of the mtns with this setup, but a cold shot Wednesday for sure. This is the storm that is supposed to really pump the Greenland block and then from here on out, supposedly systems entering the west coast will begin diving further south as they approach the East Coast, and by then, there will be much colder air entrenched in the nation, pressing down continually from the north...so eventually it might get interesting on the northern edge of precip shield.

That sounds great....:snowman::snowman::snowman::pimp:

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Looks like the cold front is knocking on the doors of the mountains.

2lut2yg.jpg

Nice looking program, googled it, found out it's WeatherScope...never heard of it before, how do you get it looking like you have it? I guess I need a script, can you help me out?

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I'm loving the big rain looks from the next front Tue/Wed. Could be a 2" rain here, even more in the mountains. Also, this one probably has the best chance for some snow behind it in the mtns primarily and east Tn/n. Ala/Ga. None east of the mtns with this setup, but a cold shot Wednesday for sure. This is the storm that is supposed to really pump the Greenland block and then from here on out, supposedly systems entering the west coast will begin diving further south as they approach the East Coast, and by then, there will be much colder air entrenched in the nation, pressing down continually from the north...so eventually it might get interesting on the northern edge of precip shield.

I sure hope so. Should be interesting to see in a few days what the NAM has to say in regards to actual qpf. Even today was a nice little surprise.

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