CAD_Wedge_NC Posted November 22, 2010 Share Posted November 22, 2010 Are you suprised by this? Perfect golfing and biking weather. It's the curse of the blue bouncing turd! It is bad luck man. Get rid of that thing before Foothills realizes that it is killing our rain chances too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted November 22, 2010 Share Posted November 22, 2010 That has sig written all over it. nice... It's the curse of the blue bouncing turd! It is bad luck man. Get rid of that thing before Foothills realizes that it is killing our rain chances too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted November 22, 2010 Share Posted November 22, 2010 I have -10F in the forecast for thursday AM. Wouldn't be surprised if that was like -15F or so. Depends on snowcover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted November 22, 2010 Share Posted November 22, 2010 Look forward to any and all photos and or stories about how cold it gets out in WY!!!! I have -10F in the forecast for thursday AM. Wouldn't be surprised if that was like -15F or so. Depends on snowcover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian Posted November 22, 2010 Share Posted November 22, 2010 Are you suprised by this? Perfect golfing and biking weather. We have plenty of time for that in the Summer, Spring, and what is now late Fall.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msuwx Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 We evidently didn't learn our lesson from the 12+ hours of non-accumulating snow last season. The blue thing must be sacrificed. It must be sacrificed for the greater good while there is still time. . . P.S. If the owner of said blue thing is offended, please don't be....just some joking around. That has sig written all over it. nice... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 We evidently didn't learn our lesson from the 12+ hours of non-accumulating snow last season. The blue thing must be sacrificed. It must be sacrificed for the greater good while there is still time. . . P.S. If the owner of said blue thing is offended, please don't be....just some joking around. Sacrificed? Bloo Q Kazoo is a good luck charm though. You sacrifice him and it will never snow here again. Oh and no offense here. I know it's all joking...well some of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 Sacrificed? Bloo Q Kazoo is a good luck charm though. You sacrifice him and it will never snow here again. Oh and no offense here. I know it's all joking...well some of it. I'll take my chances! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 well yes on this run its shows that. but right now we just want the storm to continue to show up. just way too early for specifics. but right now you gotta like the chances, for a possible major storm sometime near the beginning of december. with the possibility of a very -NAO and -AO if we could get -NAO west based it would help our chances for wintry precip. but any precip whether its rain or snow would be great. Oh yes. I agree with ya about the rain and all, and we need it. It's just I hate to think if it shows this, that it may trend warmer and drier like previous runs. We'll take what we can get to at least get out of this low precipitation issue. We evidently didn't learn our lesson from the 12+ hours of non-accumulating snow last season. The blue thing must be sacrificed. It must be sacrificed for the greater good while there is still time. . . P.S. If the owner of said blue thing is offended, please don't be....just some joking around. Man that gave me a good laugh when I saw this post. I remember seeing that thing last winter, and I have to say, he was kind of a lucky little dude. Every time bad mojo arose, the little guy someone brought good mojo back into the situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 We have plenty of time for that in the Summer, Spring, and what is now late Fall.... The only time I don't cycle is when it's raining or snowing. I will admit it is a little more comfortable in the summer and spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 Makes you wish for a storm, doesnt it? http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/getobext.php?wfo=sew&sid=SEA&num=48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 Temp - 49.6 Wind - calm Skies - clear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 Dear baby jesus Can I please lock in the 0z GFS? I dont think it's too much to ask. Thanks in advance, Jeremy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 Dear baby jesus Can I please lock in the 0z GFS? I dont think it's too much to ask. Thanks in advance, Jeremy Would you care to elaborate, Ricky Bobby ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 Would you care to elaborate, Ricky Bobby ? This this will not happen like this haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 Would you care to elaborate, Ricky Bobby ? it only buries us in a foot and half of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 This this will not happen like this haha I haven't checked the soundings but it is hard to imagine it being good and cold down here with the low so close. I'll live to see a storm like that one out at 312, with the low in Fla. instead, ...just hope I'm not drooling and nodding when I do The last monster I got was an ice storm..I'm wanting a 3 inch liquid sleet storm next... Joe's promised sleetacane! Complete with fridgiclastic flows. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 I'm going to attempt at an objective scientific analysis of the 0z GFS for those of us in the Western Carolinas: = (actual scene from charlotte during the '04 storm) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bozart Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 Bring that 0c line down to the surface from 850mb and you'll be cooking with gas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 The 0z even looks good for MBY, loving these fantasy storms 300 hours out...can't wait to see what the models show this weekend. I kinda hate being on the edge of that 0c line though...it always happens for central NC, so I'm used to it...If the GFS doesn't have anything verified for the east coast in early December, I won't look at it again all winter...I'll just use the NAM and ignore all posts that have the letters G, F, and S in them maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 *Drools at the sight of the 0z GFS* *Slaps himself in the face, realizing this is the 300+ hour GooFuS we're talking about* Back to reality! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bozart Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 No it isn't. The reply button works with the same degree of effectiveness regardless of the season... Happy to find you here, William. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 I'm going to attempt at an objective scientific analysis of the 0z GFS for those of us in the Western Carolinas: (actual scene from charlotte during the '04 storm) Fun times back then. I was only 13 when that happened. I remember never wanting to come inside after receiving such a large amount of accumulation. That was the night that I went out to town, got a cup of coffee, and walked around for a bit before heading back home to rest. This is probably my best memory of a snow day I have at this time. Speaking of that, Fantasy Land of the 0z GFS snowfall totals amount to this: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevDodd Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 I believe that would be about the prettiest early Christmas must of us could as for! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 That's 3-4" IMBY once you account for sfc temps and p-type issues...a very nice event. Way out in weenie land but the GFS has been trying to pop something in this timeframe for a while now. Of course the 6Z takes all the cold air away... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted November 23, 2010 Author Share Posted November 23, 2010 I had to change the title of the thread....its very apparent now this change isn't going to be much of one, especially east of the Mountains. West of the Apps get a quick cool down, but we all warm up over the weekend very quickly and the Euro next week has a strong Southeast Ridge. This will end November on a warm note, as well as very dry for the Carolinas. I haven't had a substantial rain event here since August now, around 2" total over the last 3 months. Here is the 00z GFS for Saturday morning. The cold air quickly lifts north and east, bypassing the Carolinas totally now, and likely this will continue to get warmer as time draws near. Somewhere in this thread is another version of the GFS when it had -12 in NC,not too long ago, so this is a classic case of cold bias and also the models missing the pattern. (also, shame on me for thinking Arctic air starting in the Northwest could translate to the other coast)--it did only once, in Dec 1989) The Pacific is still dominating, so take any storms beyond 3 days shown on both GFS and EURO with a grain of salt, same for the Ensembles, they've been missing the overall pattern, especially here and the north Atlantic, and until they get it right in the short term , the long term is probably totally bogus, until the pattern gets more stable. We need a strong PNA ridge out west to really change our pattern--its stil way too early in the year to have help with cold air, without the PNA ridging along the West Coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 You know it is bad when Jeremy makes this statements. However, it would be awesome!! 06Z says, up yours QC..... Dear baby jesus Can I please lock in the 0z GFS? I dont think it's too much to ask. Thanks in advance, Jeremy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 You know it is bad when Jeremy makes this statements. However, it would be awesome!! 06Z says, up yours QC..... lol I was just about to post something along those lines about the 6z. It says, "cold? HA!". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 57 this morning, off and on showers during the commute into the office. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UNCCmetgrad Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 I had to change the title of the thread....its very apparent now this change isn't going to be much of one, especially east of the Mountains. West of the Apps get a quick cool down, but we all warm up over the weekend very quickly and the Euro next week has a strong Southeast Ridge. This will end November on a warm note, as well as very dry for the Carolinas. I haven't had a substantial rain event here since August now, around 2" total over the last 3 months. Here is the 00z GFS for Saturday morning. The cold air quickly lifts north and east, bypassing the Carolinas totally now, and likely this will continue to get warmer as time draws near. Somewhere in this thread is another version of the GFS when it had -12 in NC,not too long ago, so this is a classic case of cold bias and also the models missing the pattern. (also, shame on me for thinking Arctic air starting in the Northwest could translate to the other coast)--it did only once, in Dec 1989) The Pacific is still dominating, so take any storms beyond 3 days shown on both GFS and EURO with a grain of salt, same for the Ensembles, they've been missing the overall pattern, especially here and the north Atlantic, and until they get it right in the short term , the long term is probably totally bogus, until the pattern gets more stable. We need a strong PNA ridge out west to really change our pattern--its stil way too early in the year to have help with cold air, without the PNA ridging along the West Coast. Your dead on about models getting warmer. I think this will be the rule rather than the exception this winter as models seem to be too quick in breaking down the se ridge, especially in a la nina patterns. I know you probably don't want to think about this yet but the dry weather we have been having and the fact that we are entering a strong la nina winter could have bad implications on next summer. It is quite possible for much of us in the Carolinas and the Southeast will be entering spring and summer in a moderate to severe drought. The last time that happened was in 2007 and we all know what happened that summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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