LocoAko Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 31F/31F here with what appears to be freezing drizzle/fog. We really need the temperature to drop a bit for our ice storm to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Few flakes of snow starting to fall here in NW Chesco (850s must still be below 0c) Temp 24.9 Win NE 3 mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 It's still 30 here in Ardmore so it's not as warm as I thought it would by now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Echo Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 right at freezing in New Castle County. Drive to work was uneventfull for me, but I drove like Grandma cuz I hate ice and when it's ZR it's hard to tell if the road is wet or icy. On weather underground ILG is at 31 where other areas are around 32. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 31F/31F here with what appears to be freezing drizzle/fog. We really need the temperature to drop a bit for our ice storm to happen. Cool, thanks for posting that. I'm at work and was wondering what it was doing back near home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Sparta, NW NJ 11:00AM Intermittent Light Sleet ~2" snow/sleet Temp: 17 DP: 14 Wind: N @ 2 Pressure: 1026.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Snow forecast for southern Montco was overdone but I had no trouble falling on my arse from the Frizzle Me too, I am ok, but I almost broke leg and arm. I put one foot on my porch and I was down, very deceptive. The Ironic part was I had a bucket of ice melt in my hand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 temps havent topped 30 in my section of drexel hill, and certainly not 32-33. drexel hill obs- 29.7 ( so we'll say 30?) UV influnces doing it's job though and helping a bit Going by truck thermometer, so you are likely more accurate. I'll drop 2 degrees off of that then assuming you are correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 6z GFS had me progged at 32 for 15z (PNE). PNE is currently reporting 30. I have a running spreadhseet of the forecast 2m temps from 21z Tue thru 18z Wed to compare to the actual tonight. Anyone know where I can find archived NAM data (actual 2m temps, like from WxCaster)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab94 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Sparta, NW NJ 11:00AM Intermittent Light Sleet ~2" snow/sleet Temp: 17DP: 14 Wind: N @ 2 Pressure: 1026.2 wow, 23.9 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Notice on the 12z NAM that our temps drop fast tonight after 21z. The 3z temp for PNE is 25.6! Yesterday's 18z GFS, the coldest of the past 4 runs, was 30. This morning's 6z has a 3z Wed temp of 33. 7.4-degree spread doesn't make me happy. Also of note, the 12z NAM is colder at 0z, 3z, 6z and 9z Wed. Then it's warmer at 12z. Anyone care to comment on that rather drastic drop in temps tonight per the NAM? What's especially odd is how fast temps recover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCT777 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Had 0.1" of snow/graupel overnight and of course some freezing frizzle and mist this morning to make the sidewalk and driveway a skating rink. Thankfully, the roads were pretty well treated and I had no issues driving to work. Just a light mist now with a temp of 27 near Lansdale, PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Notice on the 12z NAM that our temps drop fast tonight after 21z. The 3z temp for PNE is 25.6! Yesterday's 18z GFS, the coldest of the past 4 runs, was 30. This morning's 6z has a 3z Wed temp of 33. 7.4-degree spread doesn't make me happy. Also of note, the 12z NAM is colder at 0z, 3z, 6z and 9z Wed. Then it's warmer at 12z. Anyone care to comment on that rather drastic drop in temps tonight per the NAM? What's especially odd is how fast temps recover. On the Nam, it has to do with the arrival of the heavy precip. Through 9z PNE has next to nothing , then from 9z-12z heavy precip. moves in and temps. jump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Anyone care to comment on that rather drastic drop in temps tonight per the NAM? What's especially odd is how fast temps recover. Probably due to a slight wind shift as the first system moves out (more easterly than SErly) allowing for cold air from high up north to drain in more cold at the surface. Once the larger system moves in and wind get strong from the S/SE, temps rise quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 On the Nam, it has to do with the arrival of the heavy precip. Through 9z PNE has next to nothing , then from 9z-12z heavy precip. moves in and temps. jump If we really fall to 26 tonight, I have a hrd time believing we get above freezing before 12z. Although I also have a hard time believing we get to 26 tonight in the first place.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Probably due to a slight wind shift as the first system moves out (more easterly than SErly) allowing for cold air from high up north to drain in more cold at the surface. Once the larger system moves in and wind get strong from the S/SE, temps rise quickly. good point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 If anyone is curious NWS Upton just went to ice storm warnings for the NW portion of its CWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Had 0.3" of snow/IP this morning Current obs Freezing Fog Temp 25.6 RH 93% Wind NNE at 2mph Current snow depth 16.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 If anyone is curious NWS Upton just went to ice storm warnings for the NW portion of its CWA. I expect PHL will also. This is one of those times that it would really help to split Bucks & Montgomery into N & S, like Burlington. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 down to 28.3 here...can anyone confirm this temp drop in the middelsex county area? we have a few burst of steady frz rain...sidewalks and elevated surfaces icey...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Can you please take a chill pill? I like you, but sometimes you are Hazleton's version of Colin. You may be right, but then again who actually knows what the end result will be? Why not just let the storm play itself out and see what we finish with? I don't know why he's rooting for ICE anyway. I'd rather plain rain if it can't be a full blown snowstorm. Measured 3" of snow at my house. Temps risen from 17 to 22 in the past 3 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Freezing drizzle, 23F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hip2 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I have a question..below is the AFD for the Quad cities and the NAM forecast vs/ realtime..will this strengthening affect our snow/ice/rain forecast? AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL 704 AM CST TUE FEB 1 2011 .UPDATE... VERIFICATION AT 12Z INDICATES STORM SYSTEM IS RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING AT A RATE AS FAST OR FASTER THAN PROJECTIONS. COMPARING DATA...PLUS USING NUMEROUS TECHNIQUES SUGGESTS THE SYSTEM MAY NOT ONLY BE STRONGER...BUT COULD OCCLUDE OR WRAP UP MORE THAN PLANNED BACK TOWARD OUR AREA. IF THIS OCCURS...THIS COULD RESULT IN EVEN HIGHER SNOW TOTALS...SNOW-FALL RATES AND POSSIBLE THUNDER-SNOW OVER AT LEAST THE SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE AREA. IT ALSO MAY RESULT IN SLIGHTLY HIGHER WIND SPEEDS FOR MORE SEVERE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. THIS RISK SHOULD BE CONFIRMED IN THE NEXT 3 TO 6 HOURS. NO CHANGES ARE PLANNED...BUT INDICATIONS CLEARLY SUPPORT THIS WILL NOT ONLY BE A MAJOR STORM OF NEAR HISTORIC PROPORTIONS...BUT MAY BE A BIT STRONGER FOR AT LEAST OUR SE 1/2 LOCATIONS THAN IS CURRENTLY FORECASTED. http://www.nws.noaa.gov/view/validProds.php?prod=AFD&node=KDVN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
unknown Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 12z NAM, Compare temps for 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 27.0 here at work in wayne with frz drizzle...29 back home in dhizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackhound Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 27.9 F in Glen Mills with a light drizzle/mist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Sparta, NW NJ 12PM Temp: 18 DP 15 Wind: NE @ 2 Pressure: 1025.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldstar Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Anyone have news out of mount holly? NOAA is running real slow, not at all, wondering if they decided on Ice storm warnings, or if anyone has link for updated discussions? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goombatommy Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Anyone have news out of mount holly? NOAA is running real slow, not at all, wondering if they decided on Ice storm warnings, or if anyone has link for updated discussions? Theres actually an outage at some of the major internet backbones this morning; Verizon, NTT, Qwuest, etc. all experiencing outages due to the massive storm. A lot of sites on the internet are slow, unresponsive, etc. But to answer your question - I have not seen any updates, P+C forecasts are also N/A. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikerep Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Anyone have news out of mount holly? NOAA is running real slow, not at all, wondering if they decided on Ice storm warnings, or if anyone has link for updated discussions? www.uswx.com has new winter storm warnings out as of 11:32, if that helps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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