_AR_ Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 WAA pumping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noreaster07 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 TTN- .4" Frz Rain, .08" sleet, .78" rain closest I have to sussex is MMU MMU- .64 Frz Rain, .24" sleet, 1.43" rain thru WXcaster KFWN- Total precip 1.49 / .45 precip through 18 hrs (850's jump to 1.6, only .08 falls during this period) 1.09 falls with 850's above 0 and surface temps < 32, basically precip is over at this point, less.03 while 850's crash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noreaster07 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 00z WRF NMM 00z WRF ARW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Midnight Obs Light Snow Temp 25.7 RH 70% DP 17.3 Wind NNE 2 - 4 mph radar filling in a bit to the west in Lancaster County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 TTN- .4" Frz Rain, .08" sleet, .78" rain closest I have to sussex is MMU MMU- .64 Frz Rain, .24" sleet, 1.43" rain Is that MMU number for rain (1.43") correct? Would be surprised they'd get 2.41" total precip, including that much rain - and that much more rain than TTN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noreaster07 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Is that MMU number for rain (1.43") correct? Would be surprised they'd get 2.41" total precip, including that much rain - and that much more rain than TTN. the 1 is a typo, its .43 rain sorry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM22 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Anybody have input on what the Euro showed/is showing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jgir Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Tombo has that crystal ball ... things are very calm here tonight. Looks like phase 2 of this event may be more interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJHurricane Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 If you are getting freezing rain/ice...feel free to post obs in this thread....if you have detailed analysis of an analog to this storm, do so here. If you just want to shoot the breeze about past ice storms/memories...please post here.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnc Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 we're all sleet down here at the moment... but it's light. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dosh Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 under that fat band of 30+ DbZ's, I'm getting a mixture of snow grains, light snowflakes, and mega-flakes. the columns saturating nicely down to the ground, allowing the bigger flakes. Maybe I can get a nice burst of big heavy flakes befoer the sleet/zr-fest tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Meso discussion out for you guys up north, ya'll better wake up, lol. MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0063 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0142 AM CST TUE FEB 01 2011 AREAS AFFECTED...SRN TIER OF NY...CNTRL/NRN PA...NRN NJ AND WRN NEW ENGLAND CONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION VALID 010742Z - 011145Z MID-LEVEL IMPULSE CONTINUES TO ADVANCE QUICKLY EWD INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION THIS MORNING. SSWLY LLJ ATTENDANT TO THIS SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP EWD FROM THE OH VLY INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION...ENHANCING A BROAD BAND OF PCPN. THIS PCPN SHIELD SHOULD INTENSIFY FROM CNTRL/NRN PA ENE TOWARD SRN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH 12Z. 21Z SREF/05Z RUC APPEAR TO IDENTIFY THE DEVELOPING PCPN WELL. WHILE MESOSCALE BANDING POTENTIAL IS LOW WITH THIS EVENT...THE NRN EDGE OF PCPN...LIKELY ALL SNOW WITH 15-12:1 RATIOS...WILL FALL AT RATES AROUND 1 INCH PER HOUR WITHIN 40-45 NM OF THE PA/NY BORDER INTO WRN NEW ENGLAND. MOST INTENSE SNOWFALL RATES SHOULD PEAK 12-15Z AND DIMINISH BY 18Z. MEANWHILE...SNOW WILL LIKELY MIX WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN FARTHER TO THE SOUTH FROM CNTRL PA EWD INTO NWRN NJ AND THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY THROUGH MID-MORNING AS 800-850 MB TEMPERATURES RISE TO 2-3 DEG C WHILE MAINTAINING SUB-FREEZING NEAR-SURFACE LAYER WITHIN COLD WEDGE. 21Z SREF INDICATES A HIGH PROBABILITY OF GREATER THAN 0.05" OF WATER EQUIV IN 3-HOURS WITHIN A 60 MILE CORRIDOR CENTERED 30 SE KDJU-40 WNW KABE-NEAR KPOU. RUC GUIDANCE SUGGESTS HOURLY RATES COULD EASILY EXCEED A TENTH OF AN INCH PER HOUR...ESP AFTER 12Z. ..RACY.. 02/01/2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 If you are getting freezing rain/ice...feel free to post obs in this thread....if you have detailed analysis of an analog to this storm, do so here. If you just want to shoot the breeze about past ice storms/memories...please post here.... http://www.americanw...-points-nearby/ Edited thread title to include obs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 PTW reporting freezing rain now... anyone out there to confirm if its freezing rain or sleet? (given ASOS, it could be either) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 One inch as of 5:00AM. All snow at the moment, but it must have been a decent mix of sleet and snow overnight as the consistancy of the accumulation is that of granulated sugar. 23.4 is the current temp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Freezing drizzle at PHL and McGuire... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Besides the fact that it's nowcasting time, at least for part one of the storm today, which model lends more credence, the 6z GFS or NAM? Per the TwisterData soundings, the GFS warms my doorstep to 33 degrees at the surface sometime tomorrow morning around roughly 7:00AM, while the NAM never gets the surface over freezing at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 There's been 0.3" of snow and sleet back home in Ewing thus far... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Ray, it's been more drizzly and less rainy near KPTW. It's freezing mist for the most part IMBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scottium Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 24.6 with Light freezing rain/mist cars and roads have a light coating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Desnowlover Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Dover, DE Pup woke me up at 4 once again thought all was wet freezing rain! Schools delayed 2 hours this morning Current Obs Dover Air Force Base Lat: 39.14 Lon: -75.47 Elev: 23 Last Update on Feb 1, 5:55 am EST Fog/Mist 30 °F (-1 °C) Humidity: 99 % Wind Speed: N 8 MPH Barometer: 30.26" (1024.8 mb) Dewpoint: 30 °F (-1 °C) Wind Chill: 22 °F (-6 °C) Visibility: 5.00 mi. Special Weather Statement SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 457 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011 DEZ001-002-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ016>019-021-027-PAZ067-070- 071-011200- NEW CASTLE-KENT-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SALEM- GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-CUMBERLAND- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CHESTER-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...ELKTON... CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...DENTON...PENNSVILLE... GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY... MILLVILLE...WHARTON STATE FOREST...WEST CHESTER...MEDIA... PHILADELPHIA 457 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE CAN BE EXPECTED HEADED INTO THE MORNING COMMUTE... LOOK FOR LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE THIS MORNING TO BECOME A STEADIER LIGHT FREEZING RAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST MARYLAND...NORTHERN AND CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHWEST NEW JERSEY THROUGH 700 AM. WHILE THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE LIGHT... TEMPERATURES BELOW THE FREEZING MARK WILL ENSURE THAT THE FREEZING RAIN COATS ALL COLDER SURFACES...SUCH AS ROADS...SIDEWALKS AND PARKING LOTS. IF YOU PLAN TO TRAVEL THIS MORNING...BE ON THE ALERT FOR SLICK SPOTS ON ROADS. EVEN THOUGH PRECIPITATION WILL BE LIGHT...IT ONLY TAKES A SMALL AMOUNT OF ICE TO RESULT IN SLICK TRAVEL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 22.0f flurries dusting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Part 1 = fizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Part 1 = fizzle. It hasn't looked good for a while, so I'm not surprised. I haven't mentioned significant snow accumulations to anyone back home since Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isnice Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Nothing on radar but definitely sleet/freezing rain mix here. Temp is 24.0...temperature is much warmer than forecast aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 That finger of precip hanging back through the Lehigh Valley is giving us moderate snow right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Nothing on radar but definitely sleet/freezing rain mix here. Temp is 24.0...temperature is much warmer than forecast aloft. No it isn't. The precipitation is light, so you're getting freezing drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kpantz Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 That finger of precip hanging back through the Lehigh Valley is giving us moderate snow right now.The Lehigh Valley Redemption Band. Training echoes FTW. Temp here down to 18. All area schools closed today. I imagine they're taking the threat of freezing drizzle all day seriously. I'm also sure, in everyone's minds, tomorrow is a done deal as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kpantz Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 00z WRF ARW Not saying the amounts are going to be correct, but radar says 00Z ARW wins for depicting better precip IMBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tcutter Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 just woke up...............everything outside is glazed over (cars, sidewalks, wild animals)..............maybe light frizzle too......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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