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Epic winter signal continues to beam, part III


Typhoon Tip

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I have to agree with you Messenger, I think in the end based on the season so far and overall storm track this year, the colder solution seems to be the way to go these days than the warmer rain or mix type of storms other than for the Cape and islands.

We just have to wait and see over the next 12-18 hours. I suspect the trend continues but wouldn't be surprised if we come back a bit from the 18z as that's often the case. Ie the 0z is slightly colder than the 12z, not as cold as the 18, 6z is a lot colder than the 0z but the 12z not as much. Long as the on hour consistency is there....

What really surprises me is that nobody is mentioning the gradual step down in temps after the first pulse especially from here west. Sets the table for storm two. Look around Ohio and Illinois at hour 60 on the 18z gfs. Look at the temp difference/timing difference at 8h in one run.

Like I said the nam idea of a more prominent first system seems reasonable which drops the cold air further south and sets the table for the track of storm two to be further south.

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i want you guys to know that i have been hanging out in the Central forum.....i gotcha your back over there LOL

i think i just shocked the crap out of everyone when i told them parts of new england will see 2 feet :whistle:

im pretty sure DT has been posting ridic comments about how the east coast will get a rude awakening with this next storm.....yeah maybe the MA gets more rain lol, but not new england

he is fueling up the weennies, little does he seem to realize that new england is about to be buried again

ohhhhh DT, so bitter, lol

I think DT never understands that our climate here in New England is not quite the same as south of New York City.:snowman:

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That stuff is terrible. Every met cringes when it's posted here.

They have Cobb Method, straight Algo, compaction method etc, not so bad last 5 storms either. IDK what to say, been following it this winter not bad, if you check all the methods out. I see the the poor snow growth ala 12/13/07 sugar pouring accumulation very fast type snow for sure.

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My 29" peak depth is probably down to about 25"...maybe even 2'...so considering compaction, I'd probably need at least an 18" SF to rival FEB 1969 for my greatest depth in recorded history.....more likely about 20".

looking at the lates trends, you could pull it off.

my depth is up to 15 inches now, maybe 16 after today ill have to check in the AM.

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My 29" peak depth is probably down to about 25"...maybe even 2'...so considering compaction, I'd probably need at least an 18" SF to rival FEB 1969 for my greatest depth in recorded history.....more likely about 20".

We'll, to get '69 you would need to be at the 36-40" area simliar to post Blizzard of 1978 at 37" not 30" 30" resulted from the Big Snow of 1969, resulting in 36-40" on ground here in Wilmington locally. After the Infamous Blizzard of 1978 32" came down on top of a 5" base resulting in 37" total on ground. At this stage we would need about 15-20" by Saturday to be around those levels. Again, we'll see.

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I just knocked down some icicles in the rear of the house that were about 8' long. Ice dams are terrible this year. I'm installing a metal roof when we build the addition. Fook this shyt.

I'm going to have to paint my dining room ceiling again this Spring. 8'' water spot thanks to the damn ice dams.

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People are talking about 1717 snow depths. In 1978 we had a huge storm in late January then the blizzard at the end of the first week of Feb. The snowdepths must have been incrediable after the blizzard.

The "White Out" of 1978 January 19-20, put down 18"-30" here in Eastern Mass. Then the Blizzard of 1978 in the Mid-West gave us an ice like rain melting accumulations. Then the "East Coast Blizzard of 1978" February 6-7 1978, hit and we got 27"-44" resulting in 29-54" old snow and new snow on the ground.:snowman:

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Get out there and snap that **** off. That's a lot of weight on the end of your roof.

I went and bought an adapter for the sink and blasted the drains clear with hot water before I left the other day. The 2" of ice under the snow and then 5" of snow on top set the stage for some bad ice flooding. There's also roof tabs you can buy that'll help.

One thing an old roofer told me is to buy some nylons....cut at the top of the leg and fill with calcium chloride and lay vertically on your roof to create drainage channels. Worked like a charm in 05.

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Looking at the 18z NAM BUFKIT soundings even if the super cold setup verifies it's still pretty close to sleet at HFD (warm from 725mb to 825mb) with 850mb temperatures quite a bit colder than in the layer above that.

Also poor dedritic growth with warm mid levels. 700 mb temp at height of storm is -2c!

That to me screams sleet when even the coldest possible solution is tenuous.

Ryan help me learn, where is the sleet layer

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Vim toot you start planting for the harvest? Might as well.

The ground is available, yes.

Gonna need sharper harrow blades though.

My 42 acres- 30 of which are field- have been set aside as my personal Yuppie Conservancy zone.

I don't plant those fields. I cultivate them annually with my 72" bush hog (Please Mahk, control yourself) so to create a birch and blue spruce meadow.

Vim Toot!

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