Chrisrotary12 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 When should we expect a NAM clown map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 The NAM clown map is going to be ridiculous up this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 sounding freaks. Can I get an explanation of this. Looks like sleet to me. This was the warmest sounding I could get out of the NAM for the area. It's isothermal near 0C..maybe like 0.2C or so. Probably some pingers mixed with snow imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 LOL that would be something if we can squeeze out a 10" snow bomb Being east might be better for me but that colder trend needs to keep going. I really do not want any ice issues, whatever falls is frozen, sick LL temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 sounding freaks. Can I get an explanation of this. Looks like sleet to me. This was the warmest sounding I could get out of the NAM for the area. Walking the line with a hell of an isothermal 0C layer from H7 to H85. If that's the warmest then that's not too bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Being east might be better for me but that colder trend needs to keep going. I really do not want any ice issues, whatever falls is frozen, sick LL temps I'm interested to see what the globals have. The 00z NAM has me and you straddling the snow/sleet line but the sleet probably winning out. Definitely not much ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I mean people are disappointed with 10" nowadays. Do you know what I would have done to see 10" of snow back in 80's or early 90's??? The fact anyone is expecting 18"+ out of a SWFE is enough to make me want to gouge my eyes out. This particular one might be special enough to do the trick, but the simple climo argues STRONGLY against those amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I will take shi tty snowgrowth to my grave and love it 12/13/07 Like I told Will this afternoon, the setup Wed reminds me of 19-20 Dec 2008. I mean, not every intimate detail is a match but it's strikingly similar...just more juiced up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 The fact anyone is expecting 18"+ out of a SWFE is enough to make me want to gouge my eyes out. This particular one might be special enough to do the trick, but the simple climo argues STRONGLY against those amounts. what do i always say to kevin? never bank on 12"+ amounts when the 700mb/850mb lows aren't underneath you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I mean people are disappointed with 10" nowadays. Do you know what I would have done to see 10" of snow back in 80's or early 90's??? It took me nearly 5 years to see 10'' (from Feb 2006 to Jan 2011)...now I've seen 2 in less than a month It's not like this is going to be the end result so I think some people just need to relax, the only thing the NAM does (for us down here in CT at least) is back off on any wording locking in a major snow producing event, it very well could still happen here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 The fact anyone is expecting 18"+ out of a SWFE is enough to make me want to gouge my eyes out. This particular one might be special enough to do the trick, but the simple climo argues STRONGLY against those amounts. Self enucleation FTL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 It's isothermal near 0C..maybe line 0.2C or so. Probably some pingers mixed with snow imo. Tkx. I have the text output as well but that is 6hr intervals and my 800mb temp is the only one to go above 0C and that was at 66h, surface temps not withstanding, and they only hit 32-33F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 The fact anyone is expecting 18"+ out of a SWFE is enough to make me want to gouge my eyes out. This particular one might be special enough to do the trick, but the simple climo argues STRONGLY against those amounts. I would agree, but a couple of broadcast mets are putting that out there... Hoping for 10-13" total here between the two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Walking the line with a hell of an isothermal 0C layer from H7 to H85. If that's the warmest then that's not too bad. Thx. See my post above. http://www.americanw...post__p__400814 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 The fact anyone is expecting 18"+ out of a SWFE is enough to make me want to gouge my eyes out. This particular one might be special enough to do the trick, but the simple climo argues STRONGLY against those amounts. I guess I'm confused. Didn't we have a picture of a Boston TV met predicting 20" in some spots? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simpsonsbuff Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Clown through 78... a little more falls after that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Clown through 78... a little more falls after that... Haha, yes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 The fact anyone is expecting 18"+ out of a SWFE is enough to make me want to gouge my eyes out. This particular one might be special enough to do the trick, but the simple climo argues STRONGLY against those amounts. I agree...it's very hard to get a foot and a half out of one storm without some sort of decent banding. SWFE's usually don't have sustained banding...more or less just a large blob of S/S+ that's in and out and doesn't last crazy long...much like 12/13/07 and 12/19/08. The difference here is that we have a bit of a front runner that I'm not sure should be lumped in with the bigger wave that comes after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 The fact anyone is expecting 18"+ out of a SWFE is enough to make me want to gouge my eyes out. This particular one might be special enough to do the trick, but the simple climo argues STRONGLY against those amounts. I don't really see this as a southwes what IS a southwest flow event then? I don't consider a low going to Dayton Ohio then squeezed underneath us a southwest flow event, but maybe I don't know how we are defining that. also, i don't think that event would produce that either way; this is actually the combination of a 4-6" deal, followed by a foot - no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monadnocks Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I guess I'm confused. Didn't we have a picture of a Boston TV met predicting 20" in some spots? WHDH has a map showing a 20-25" area. - monadnocks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 It's not people, it's snowNH Sam, When are you going to do a 1st call map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I guess I'm confused. Didn't we have a picture of a Boston TV met predicting 20" in some spots? If you are north of the ML center in CNE, its not out of the question. Its not impossible to see some spot 18" amounts in SWFE...January 1994 has a few lollis like that, but overall its silly to expect it, especially 2 days before it starts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SC48 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Ok guys the NECP site has the NAM through 84 Hours Press Total.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I agree...it's very hard to get a foot and a half out of one storm without some sort of decent banding. SWFE's usually don't have sustained banding...more or less just a large blob of S/S+ that's in and out and doesn't last crazy long...much like 12/13/07 and 12/19/08. The difference here is that we have a bit of a front runner that I'm not sure should be lumped in with the bigger wave that comes after. The main blob seems to be in and out in about 9 hrs. The goodies before and after could add up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 If you are north of the ML center in CNE, its not out of the question. Its not impossible to see some spot 18" amounts in SWFE...January 1994 has a few lollis like that, but overall its silly to expect it, especially 2 days before it starts. Ok. I get what you're saying now. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Haha, yes! Love it! lol Whenever we get a big storm my father always reminds me of '78. Now this storm isn't going to be that. But overall this year is turning into my '78 just getting there in a different way. Gradually over time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 Clown through 78... a little more falls after that... ... I love how that product punches a hole in the 18-20" for less right over Ray's house - probably as punishment for being a non-believer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 If you are north of the ML center in CNE, its not out of the question. Its not impossible to see some spot 18" amounts in SWFE...January 1994 has a few lollis like that, but overall its silly to expect it, especially 2 days before it starts. It's a bit asinine to expect 18''+ in any storm 2 days out, though I'd have to think our odds of 12'' are decently high and 18''+ is not impossible as you said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I mean people are disappointed with 10" nowadays. Do you know what I would have done to see 10" back in 80's or early 90's??? Tell us, but you might want to tell Alison first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Like I told Will this afternoon, the setup Wed reminds me of 19-20 Dec 2008. I mean, not every intimate detail is a match but it's strikingly similar...just more juiced up. I agree. Actually Dec 19-21. The appetizer up here was 12 inches and the main course was 14. There was continuous light snow in between the events. Exactly the one I was thinking this sounded similar to. SWFE first event and then as Will told me at the GTG, something on the coast for event 2. It was preceded by 5 inches on the 17th. This was my introduction to winter in New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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