CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 We look pretty good this run. 69 hours we're getting very heavy snow. H85 line down to the S coast. Yeah it is a nice run for us, even a bit to our south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 well for us in north of the pike.. NAM holds, I'm happy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I think you and Ryan better have a tete-a-tete. No need. His area is a different climo zone with this. We're both right for our respective areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Do you cry out "QPF! QPF!" when you have nightmares? LMAO. I actually have dreams of getting a 7 foot snowstorm, the modles give me the nightmares. Not this one, though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Just a freaking wall of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Yeah it is a nice run for us, even a bit to our south. We're 12+ this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 850 WF hangs near Pike. That's a good thing because you never want that north of you. Shocking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 The Wednesday evening commute looks to be non-existent... at least I hope it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 No need. His area is a different climo zone with this. We're both right for our respective areas. Yeah BOS is in good shape based on the 00z NAM. Game on for snow up there. As expected looks sleety for us but such is life in SWFEs in CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Guys....especially newer posters....keep the IMBY (in my backyard) questions out of the thread. Read the analysis and use common sense to extrapolate. The last thing we need is IMBY questions cluttering up a thread that is already moving at a lightning fast pace. Asking multiple IMBY questions is a nice way to get restricted posting abilities. We should almost make a "how much for my back yard?" thread where they can just go to town. Then we can keep the general analysis in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Nice temp. gradient! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Shocking. But the sleet line is 30 miles further south. The H85 line stays 40 miles S of the Pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Is this a little faster than earlier today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Compared to 12z it's colder but this is certainly a close run to 12z than the 18z snow bomb. BOS is pretty close to all snow still on 00z. Most of CT/RI/SE Mass get a lot of sleet 100% agree, this has sleet fest written all over it, all you really have to do is look at the synoptics here and how things look aloft, this setup is going to do anything in it's power to lift that warm front northward, a screaming LL/ML jet from a southerly direction and there really isn't much sign if this system occluding which would help to prevent the northward lift of the front...although by HR 66 this might change a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I have no words watching this NAM run come in. No words. Just one of these. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 dude... its between 4c and 6c warmer at 850mb than 18z. Dude I just ran soundings for N Ct, it NEVER gets warmer than -2 across the column, it is cold thruout and definetly snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Shocking. It was north on prior runs. If you want the good banding and frontogenesis, you want to see that further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Dude I just ran soundings for N Ct, it NEVER gets warmer than -2 across the column, it is cold thruout and definetly snow. You're not getting what I'm saying. It's substantially warmer than 18z here. That is fact. Whether or not it's still snow on the Mass line is beside the point. For 90% of my forecast area in CT the NAM is a lot of sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 northern ct north look to be mostly snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 There are flakes flying from Noon Tuesday to early morning Thursday. How can you beat that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 notably more progressive. s/w isn't as sharp. Vorticity is mainly speed shear versus curvature in the 12z run. Little bit less lift Wednesday evening, and the whole thing sweeps east quicker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Even if we were to stay mostly all snow here in CT snowgrowth would be pretty horrible...700mb temps are rather warm, they finally "cool" to below -5C by 72HR but by then the best part of the storm is just about past us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Lingering erly flow aloft may help prolong light snow for many, Wednesday Night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 We should almost make a "how much for my back yard?" thread where they can just go to town. Then we can keep the general analysis in here. except nobody will answer them... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I'm locking in something. But I can't find the keys. Seriously though, if I were forecasting for Boston metro, I'd say 6-12+. 6 further south and 12+ further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Yeah it is a nice run for us, even a bit to our south. Looks great to me. Two things continue...main runs shift the 0c se each run closer to the low in Illinois and Ohio - dynamics move of course and the end result qpf shows this. At the same time 12z to 0z is colder. Not as cold as the over corrected 18z yet but it's going to keep trending I think. At this rate sleet won't be an issue for ray will Scott and fella. IMO very good trend for many of you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 You're not getting what I'm saying. It's substantially warmer than 18z here. That is fact. Whether or not it's still snow on the Mass line is beside the point. For 90% of my forecast area in CT the NAM is a lot of sleet. Oh my bad you said Kev was sleeting, not true and it is colder than 12 Z, ice storm cancel in NCT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 There are flakes flying from Noon Tuesday to early morning Thursday. How can you beat that? Yeah--it's a nice run with a broad swath of heavy qpf. Looks like wide-spread 12+ for the untainted areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 notably more progressive. s/w isn't as sharp. Vorticity is mainly speed shear versus curvature in the 12z run. Little bit less lift Wednesday evening, and the whole thing sweeps east quicker sounds bad... anything positive on this run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Still a long way to go folks. Just be glad it is colder than 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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