weathafella Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 FOX 25 is calling for 1"-3" on the Cape. 2"-4" on the South shore. 4"-7" N and W of Boston for Tuesday. Seems reasonable You will get 3-6 that day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I should have used Google Earth to more precisely guage coordinates. Uh, oh 101 kickin in Winter of your life is here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Wow. Use your imagination. The 0C 850 line never gets N of I-90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Looks like the 3-6 idea for Tuesday is still on the table. Nice burst of PM snows. Very nice burst of snow along the WAA...certainly looks like a widespread 3-6'' type deal...maybe even some spots getting close to 8'' or so...pretty solid front end thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 FOX 25 is calling for 1"-3" on the Cape. 2"-4" on the South shore. 4"-7" N and W of Boston for Tuesday. Seems reasonable Looks like the NAM drops a SNE wide swath of 3-5 with less north of RUT/EEN//PSM through 7:00p.m. Tues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Doesn't look dramatically different until 36-42 where it drops the second batch of energy into nm versus the earlier slow solution Only thing is that it's immediately faster with the SW energy, which is crucial Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I'm not sure it's a "phase shift" per se. 18z NAM was also further south with the PV. I mentioned earlier that the00z runs might trend north, and they just may. However, if you look at the big picture...it isn't that bad if you take a 2 steps cooler, one step warmer type approach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Wow. Use your imagination. The 0C 850 line never gets N of I-90. Now that is a huge weenie... extends to...Kansas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Gang, keep in on topic. This thread is getting awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 NAM is coming in substantially warmer from 18z. Shocker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Lots of kids will probably get out of school early on Tuesday (hell some may even close) and won't have school Wednesday or Thursday perhaps...incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Nice bounce back after the 18z hiccup. 00z NAM keeps the snow going for some in between the 2 systems like the other models. Maybe just a brief lull instead of the 15hr break 18z had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Now that is a huge weenie... extends to...Kansas? I could go visit my parents and never leave 20" of heavy heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mica Vim Toot Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 SREFs started. Dead zone finally over. Phew! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 60 hours colder vs 72 hours on the 12Z. Pretty cold solution actually and bringing heavier snow in a bit quicker Wed. Should be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Just AIT. Colder vs 12Z, warmer vs 18Z. I'm money. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I love the fact that we get an appetizer to replace any lost from melting\compaction this week, then get to start from from the peak for the big dog.....unreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 NAM is coming in substantially warmer from 18z. Shocker. That 50-65 kt LLJ is going to do it's best to bring in some warm low-level air...this is going to be some fight with the arctic in we will have in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 LOL at 63 hours the 00z NAM is like +6c warmer in HFD than the 18z run. What a disaster model the NAM is. About +4c warmer at BOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeanInWayland Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 The only major sleet event I remember is the infamous VD07. When I was at MIT in the early 80's (I think it was either winter of 80-81, or 81-82), I distinctly remember a 4-inch event that was essentially entirely sleet. I remember the TV mets commenting on it at the time, that such a prolonged sleet event was very unusual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 NAM is coming in substantially warmer from 18z. Shocker. When you compare it to 12z it isn't drastically different. A little colder/south to help out the MA folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 NAM is coming in substantially warmer from 18z. Shocker. But it is colder for your foecast area vs 12Z. Kevin would be mainly snow at least so far as we've seen out to 63 hours... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Still a lot of rain on the CT shore? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 NAM is coming in substantially warmer from 18z. Shocker. holy 850 collapse at 57 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Nice bounce back after the 18z hiccup. 00z NAM keeps the snow going for some in between the 2 systems like the other models. Maybe just a brief lull instead of the 15hr break 18z had. Dendrite, we keep ending up in the bullseye run after run.. is this too good to be true??? Are you scared of a shift north and stuck with pellets or south and stuck with less precip???? I'm close to locking in 16-24" possibly more if the first thump trends heavier I would have sexual intercourse with the 00z NAM FYI Edit: The NAM is significantly lighter with the precip in OH at 60... cause for concern? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 When you compare it to 12z it isn't drastically different. A little colder/south to help out the MA folks. Yeah, but how many in this thread locked in the 18z NAM as definitely the best solution!!! It made the most sense! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Nice bounce back after the 18z hiccup. 00z NAM keeps the snow going for some in between the 2 systems like the other models. Maybe just a brief lull instead of the 15hr break 18z had. Well, "keeps it going" might be a bit of an exaggeration per the qpf output. But, point taken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 The NAM tries to get the 850 WF going in se NY state, at hr 63. Hopefully it doesn't charge ne too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 66-72 is going to crush. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BDR Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 NAM is coming in substantially warmer from 18z. Shocker. Still looks like snow for us north of 84 though, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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