chrisNJ Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 My neighborhood has all underground electric lines. But I still worry about the amount of freezing rain we could get. If anything close to the NAM verifies, I plan on working from home Wednesday..hell it is my birthday anyway. I am just curious about Tuesday. I hope the ice holds off until after the evening commute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
_AR_ Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 835 PM EST SUN JAN 30 2011 ...A LARGE WINTER STORM IS FORECAST TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST USA... .SNOW TUESDAY MORNING WILL TURN TO RAIN...SLEET AND FREEZING DRIZZLE SOMETIME TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND THEN RESUME AS HEAVY RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN EARLY WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF LATE WEDNESDAY. NJZ001-007>010-012-015-PAZ054-055-060>062-068-069-310945- /O.NEW.KPHI.WS.A.0004.110201T0800Z-110202T2200Z/ SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-CARBON- MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN... FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...TRENTON...JIM THORPE... STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON... NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN 835 PM EST SUN JAN 30 2011 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. * GEOGRAPHICAL COVERAGE: EAST CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AS WELL AS MUCH OF NORTHERN NEW JERSEY. * PRECIPITATION TYPE: SNOW TUESDAY MORNING CHANGES TO SLEET OR FREEZING DRIZZLE DURING THE AFTERNOON OR EVENING. PERIODS OF HEAVY SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN ARE EXPECTED LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. * ACCUMULATIONS: 2 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET TUESDAY. GLAZE MAY ACCUMULATE FROM ONE QUARTER TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH. * TIMING: SNOW BEGINS BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 4 AM TUESDAY. THE CHANGE TO SLEET OR FREEZING DRIZZLE SHOULD OCCUR BETWEEN NOON AND 6 PM TUESDAY. * IMPACTS: THE TUESDAY MORNING COMMUTE WILL LIKELY BE HAZARDOUS WITH AT LEAST SOME SNOW AND TEMPERATURES NEAR 20. THE WEDNESDAY MORNING COMMUTE IS ALSO LIKELY TO BE HAZARDOUS DUE TO ICE AND THE WEDNESDAY EVENING COMMUTE MAY STILL BE HAZARDOUS FOR ALL UNTREATED PAVEMENTS. IF GLAZE REACHES OR EXCEEDS ONE HALF INCH...POWER OUTAGES MAY OCCUR. ALSO...THE WATER EQUIVALENT PRECIPITATION FOR THIS STORM MAY EXCEED ONE INCH AND THIS ADDED TO SNOW LOADS ON SOME ROOFS AND ATTEMPTING TO RUN OFF INTO ICE ALREADY ICE CLOGGED ROOF GUTTERS MAY CONTRIBUTE TO STRUCTURE LEAKS. * CONFIDENCE: ABOVE AVERAGE ON BOTH SNOW AND GLAZE OCCURRING BUT TOP END AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET AND THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH OF GLAZE ARE BELOW AVERAGE CONFIDENCE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$ DRAGURGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 835 PM EST SUN JAN 30 2011 ...A LARGE WINTER STORM IS FORECAST TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST USA... .SNOW TUESDAY MORNING WILL TURN TO RAIN...SLEET AND FREEZING DRIZZLE SOMETIME TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND THEN RESUME AS HEAVY RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN EARLY WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF LATE WEDNESDAY. DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ013-014-016>020-026-027-PAZ067-070-071-310945- /O.NEW.KPHI.WS.A.0004.110201T0400Z-110202T1600Z/ NEW CASTLE-CECIL-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM- GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-COASTAL OCEAN- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CHESTER-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...FREEHOLD... SANDY HOOK...PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL... MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...LONG BEACH ISLAND... WHARTON STATE FOREST...WEST CHESTER...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA 835 PM EST SUN JAN 30 2011 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. * GEOGRAPHICAL COVERAGE: EXTREME NORTHEAST MARYLAND...SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND EAST COASTAL NEW JERSEY. * PRECIPITATION TYPE: SNOW TUESDAY MORNING CHANGES TO SLEET...RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON THEN TO PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN EARLY WEDNESDAY. * ACCUMULATIONS: 1 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET... THEN POSSIBLY A QUARTER TO ONE HALF INCH OF GLAZE LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. * TIMING: SNOW BEGINS BETWEEN 9 PM MONDAY AND 2 AM TUESDAY. MIXED WINTRY ELEMENTS DEVELOP BETWEEN 10 AM AND 4 PM TUESDAY. * IMPACTS: THE TUESDAY MORNING COMMUTE IS LIKELY TO BE HAZARDOUS. ALL UNTREATED PAVEMENTS SHOULD BE SNOW COVERED WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 20S. THE WEDNESDAY MORNING COMMUTE SHOULD BE ADVERSELY IMPACTED WITH EITHER PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN OR HEAVY FREEZING RAIN. * CONFIDENCE; ABOVE AVERAGE FOR SNOW EARLY TUESDAY THOUGH CONFIDENCE ON AMOUNTS REACHING 3 OR 4 INCHES IS BELOW AVERAGE. CONFIDENCE ON SOME GLAZING LATE TUESDAY INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY IS ABOVE AVERAGE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 From NWS Bing--who seem to not want to issue watches at this time...even though Mt Holly and State College already have... FURTHER SOUTH IN THE WYOMING VALLEY SNOWFALL MAY BE LIMITED TO ONLY A COUPLE OF INCHES FOLLOWED BY POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT ICING. BY LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING AS COASTAL DEEPENS STRONG CAA WILL RAPIDLY CHANGE BACK ALL PRECIP TYPES TO SNOW. If I lived anywhere north of the PA Turnpike East/West extension and south of I-84 i would seriously consider stocking up on batteries and flashlights--especially berks/lehigh/northampton/carbon/schuylkill county areas.... I am hoping we up here are far enough north to escape the worst of the icing and have a more snowy solution... I talked to folks who were without power for over a week in Carbon County from a few years ago and if you could imagine living in hell, a frozen hell, that's what they described... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PoconoD Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 From NWS Bing--who seem to not want to issue watches at this time...even though Mt Holly and State College already have... FURTHER SOUTH IN THE WYOMING VALLEY SNOWFALL MAY BE LIMITED TO ONLY A COUPLE OF INCHES FOLLOWED BY POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT ICING. BY LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING AS COASTAL DEEPENS STRONG CAA WILL RAPIDLY CHANGE BACK ALL PRECIP TYPES TO SNOW. If I lived anywhere north of the PA Turnpike East/West extension and south of I-84 i would seriously consider stocking up on batteries and flashlights--especially berks/lehigh/northampton/carbon/schuylkill county areas.... I am hoping we up here are far enough north to escape the worst of the icing and have a more snowy solution... I talked to folks who were without power for over a week in Carbon County from a few years ago and if you could imagine living in hell, a frozen hell, that's what they described... It was like that and I would not wish it upon anyone! My wife and I learned alot from that 6 days without power. Plenty of gas for the chainsaw, bottled water, 2 5 gallon buckets to melt snow for the toilet, batteries, big cooler to put outside for frozen food and in our case make sure we have 200 gallon propane tank is topped off for gas fireplaces. I fear this has similar potential. Hopefully the models will trend a little colder to keep more snow in the forecast. D Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcgin Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I love this thread and thanks to Big Jim for starting round # 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 The temp is 1.0F at my house as I type, and dropping. This is gonna be fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wederwarrior Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Low of 6.1 here.... Supermarkets may be on th crowded side today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I got my bags packed ready for looooooong couple days, I just hope it changes to plain rain. This is not a situation we should be hoping for. Ive been down this road before. I will try and keep everyone updated on road cond. when possible. Stay Safe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boreal Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I got my bags packed ready for looooooong couple days, I just hope it changes to plain rain. This is not a situation we should be hoping for. Ive been down this road before. I will try and keep everyone updated on road cond. when possible. Stay Safe Thanks, and good luck. Chilly start today. 14° in Bangor, PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boreal Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 9z SREF showing 1.5" liquid throughout LV/S.Poconos/NW NJ and little, if any, precip. falling when some southern area temperatures rise above 32. Not sure if its IP-fest (which is safer but boring IMO) or ZR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rickrd Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 ABE 12Z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 ABE 12Z NAM Here is the latest from Mt. Holly. Please note the warnings come out this afternoon. Personally , I would issue them now to get more of the public prepared for what could be a catastrophic event. Why they are waiting? I do not know. Its funny, if it was a 12 inch snow, they would have issued them already. Sorry Mike, but thats how I feel. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/phi/briefing/packages/current_briefing.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 17.0*F in Hazleton. I said this in the C PA thread and I'll say it here...if we break 32 here, I will eat a shoe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goombatommy Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Anyone else having issues getting to Mt Holly's P+C forecast? I've been trying the past few hours and it's....just not working right. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Anyone else having issues getting to Mt Holly's P+C forecast? I've been trying the past few hours and it's....just not working right. lol Its down on my end as well. I would suspect they are having troubles with matching the winter storm warning areas up with the model runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldstar Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Can anyone post the Soundings for Quakertown? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dssbss Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Can anyone post the Soundings for Quakertown? Can anyone post the soundings for KRDG and KMDT.....curious to see the differences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I've never seen this before...a WWA and WSW at the same time. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 307 PM EST MON JAN 31 2011 PAZ043-044-047-048-072-012015- /O.UPG.KBGM.WS.A.0003.110201T0600Z-110203T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KBGM.WW.Y.0006.110201T0500Z-110201T2200Z/ /O.NEW.KBGM.WS.W.0003.110202T0500Z-110202T2200Z/ WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE-SOUTHERN WAYNE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TUNKHANNOCK...SCRANTON...WILKES-BARRE... HAZLETON...MILFORD...HONESDALE 307 PM EST MON JAN 31 2011 WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 5 PM EST TUESDAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR A MIX OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 5 PM EST TUESDAY. * LOCATIONS: WYOMING AND LACKAWANNA VALLEYS AND THE POCONOS INCLUDING THE GREATER SCRANTON WILKES BARRE AREA. * HAZARDS: SNOW TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. A MIX OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. * ACCUMULATIONS: 4 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW WITH ICE ACCUMULATION OF UP TO ONE HALF INCH EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. * TIMING: SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...AND TAPER OFF TUESDAY AFTERNOON. A MIX OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL DEVELOP LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY...BEFORE TAPERING OFF LATE IN THE DAY. THE FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO BE THE HEAVIEST WEDNESDAY MORNING. * WINDS: LIGHT EASTERLY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH TUESDAY NIGHT TURNING TO THE NORTHWEST LATE WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT AT 10 TO 15 MPH. * IMPACTS: TRAVEL WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY DUE TO SNOW. SIGNIFICANT ICING WEDNESDAY WILL LIKELY BRING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND RESULT IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. TRAVEL WILL ALSO BECOME VERY DIFFICULT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I don't know about anyone else, but I am currently 8 degrees warmer than the forecast high for today. It was supposed to be in the low 20's and I sit at 30.2 at the moment after a high of 30.7 earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dssbss Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Uh oh....It will just be a total rain storm now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I don't know about anyone else, but I am currently 8 degrees warmer than the forecast high for today. It was supposed to be in the low 20's and I sit at 30.2 at the moment after a high of 30.7 earlier. Wow...I went over as well but only by 3 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boreal Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 This map looks a little more climatological, no? By the way, FWIW, though it is in the nether reaches of their range, both NMM and ARF have colder 850's than all of today's GFS and NAM model runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pohopoco Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I think we were 'cast as mid 20's and we topped at 24.4,now down 23.1...We had more sun here than I thought we would today,probably end up helping to cool back tonight...it's above that really matters... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boreal Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I don't know about anyone else, but I am currently 8 degrees warmer than the forecast high for today. It was supposed to be in the low 20's and I sit at 30.2 at the moment after a high of 30.7 earlier. Might be time to check the batteries on that remote sensor, ABE is only 25. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 The high here is what was originally forecasted, give or take a degree or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Might be time to check the batteries on that remote sensor, ABE is only 25. They were changed 2 weeks ago, and the local guy in town who has his station on Wunderground was at 33 for a bit. Also, the old standby mercury thermometer in the backyard was at 32, so I don't know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 i have been working outside all day in Kingston covering a triple fatal fire and let me tell you it did not warm up signifigantly at all today. Feet are numb, hands are cold, ears are red...and even in the full sunshine it was bitter out there today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 They were changed 2 weeks ago, and the local guy in town who has his station on Wunderground was at 33 for a bit. Also, the old standby mercury thermometer in the backyard was at 32, so I don't know. i as well got above forecasted high which was upper 20's, hit 35. what arctic air Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 i have been working outside all day in Kingston covering a triple fatal fire and let me tell you it did not warm up signifigantly at all today. Feet are numb, hands are cold, ears are red...and even in the full sunshine it was bitter out there today. Are you going to be on at 5 Jim? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Here is to the snowier/sleetier solution for the higher elevations Hope the valleys north and south fair well too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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