Big Jims Videos Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Figure I would start the second part as we draw nearer to the biggest threat of the season. This morning I was doing a home show with Tom and Noreen Clark and had a few hours to chat with them about tuesday-wednesday. Noreen concerned! Tom was calming all the visitors to our WNEP booth saying he expects a change to rain in the Valley Cities with highs approaching 35-36 degrees Wednesday afternoon..he expects early dismissals tuesday and closings/delays wednesday. That's the latest. Chime in here folks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I find myself leaning more towards Mrs. Clark. Models want to rush the precip out of here before temps get above freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted January 30, 2011 Author Share Posted January 30, 2011 Oh Tom expects a mess too! Don't get me wrong! It was an honor to be surrounded by so many years of knowledge and talking with them about their thoughts too with this upcoming system. Your soundings showed over a foot of snow for AVP...Granted it's the 18Z Nam but anything over 6 inches for us here in the Valley would give us our biggest storm of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Oh Tom expects a mess too! Don't get me wrong! It was an honor to be surrounded by so many years of knowledge and talking with them about their thoughts too with this upcoming system. Your soundings showed over a foot of snow for AVP...Granted it's the 18Z Nam but anything over 6 inches for us here in the Valley would give us our biggest storm of the year. Same in Hazy -- my top event is 5.4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PoconoSnow Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Same in Hazy -- my top event is 5.4". Biggest event here in Pike County, 5.0 inches.. I would be looking forward to see if the nam is onto something! haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted January 30, 2011 Author Share Posted January 30, 2011 Biggest event here in Pike County, 5.0 inches.. I would be looking forward to see if the nam is onto something! haha Well you know even if it's not we are still looking at a big ole two day mess. It's either gonna trend more snow, or more ice. I think any plain rain will be severely limited... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
_AR_ Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 4:30pm latest briefing from Mt Holly mentioning risk of "Catastrophic Ice Event" http://www.erh.noaa....nt_briefing.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PoconoSnow Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Well you know even if it's not we are still looking at a big ole two day mess. It's either gonna trend more snow, or more ice. I think any plain rain will be severely limited... Yea, i think the rain idea in Nepa is a no go.. I like the idea of all snow with the initial over running. The nam and gfs atleast give parts of Nepa up to .75 qpf, models usually tend to under forecast over running. I like how all those highs in southeast Canada are showing up, maybe the models are latching onto their true strength with the potential outcome with this system? Walking a fine line here in Nepa.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Same in Hazy -- my top event is 5.4". You've done better than me. My highest was 4.75", so we haven't even crested the 5 inch threshold yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ej257 snow lover Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 nice to see part two thread. I am glued to this site for the next few days, as it seems to be more of a threat as we move closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chrisNJ Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I just wish these events could happen toward the end of the week or even better the weekend. With a long commute each day to NW NJ, this is not ideal timing. Tuesday morning is one thing with a few inches of snow, Tuesday evening and all day Wednesday could be brutal. Ice is not meant to be driven on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Ugh, 18z GFS not looking good. I'd much rather have some snow/ice over to rain than a "catastrophic" ice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted January 30, 2011 Author Share Posted January 30, 2011 Any way you look at it, this is going to be a high impact event for lots of folks who have not had anything to worry about yet this year. For me, it's going to test my nerves as being the Luzerne County reporter for wnep, I think I may be putting in some overtime in the next few days @ work... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noreaster07 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 4:30pm latest briefing from Mt Holly mentioning risk of "Catastrophic Ice Event" http://www.erh.noaa....nt_briefing.pdf where are these found on NWS webiste? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eastonwx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 where are these found on NWS webiste? upper left hand side below zip code: "weather briefing" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Ugh, 18z GFS not looking good. I'd much rather have some snow/ice over to rain than a "catastrophic" ice storm. it's trended colder as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boreal Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 nice to see part two thread. I am glued to this site for the next few days, as it seems to be more of a threat as we move closer. Yup. Let's roll! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcgin Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Yup. Let's roll! Lets get this thread rollin' I am getting a little nervous about some serious ice. I have some white pines that sit along a busy street. I hope they hold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ej257 snow lover Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 did anyone see the clown map in the PHL thread?....almost a mother of god for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PoconoSnow Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 did anyone see the clown map in the PHL thread?....almost a mother of god for me How could i miss a map that has me in 18 inches of snow? If only.... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 State College just hoisted the watches. I'd guess that Mt Holly won't be too far behind, at least for the northwest counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 you guys are going to get crushed with ice, its going to be very bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redbanknjandbigbasslakepa Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Was wondering if anyone could give some insight. I just bought a house in Big Bass Lake, which is in Gouldsboro. Elevation ofthe house is just over 2k ft. Was up there this weekend. Over a foot on the ground up there, but some smaller storms this year. We had one storm about 2-3 weeks ago of close to a foot. I am not that familiar with the nuances of these types of winter storms where my main home in Monmouth Co. NJ at sea level gets slop and rain a lot. Anyone know what I might be looking at in Big Bass Lake for this storm? How about the weather in general in that area? Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
_AR_ Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 you guys are going to get crushed with ice, its going to be very bad. People need to be aware of the threat and stay at home during this event. Enjoy watching the power of nature unfold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eastonwx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 you guys are going to get crushed with ice, its going to be very bad. might be a good idea to start checking flashlights, charge devices, etc. It's been a while since we've had crippling ice storm. It's not definite we'll get one, but potential is enough to get my attention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 the only thing that will slow the ice accreaton is the intensity of the precip. Hopefully the nam is correct and your mainly sleet after a good front end dump of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blinkers88 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Man I'd rather have 33 and rain... not lookin forward to this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 the only thing that will slow the ice accreaton is the intensity of the precip. Hopefully the nam is correct and your mainly sleet after a good front end dump of snow. Yeah Im hoping its moderate enough freezing rain to maybe counter the freezing a little if that makes any sense, it seems when its not that heavy it acc. faster I hope things change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PoconoD Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 the only thing that will slow the ice accreaton is the intensity of the precip. Hopefully the nam is correct and your mainly sleet after a good front end dump of snow. Sleet is easier to deal with than ZR. Hope we stay in the sleet zone longer. D Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eastonwx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 per Mt Holly AFD, watches coming after 8PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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