cyclone77 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 0z NMM at 48hrs: What are the odds! LOL. You beat me dammit! Looks pretty sweet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Below zero temps Thursday morning to boot, for a good chunk of IA, MO, and IL via the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Dare I say this could be one of the best weeks of your life? At minimum 15" of snow and a GB SB victory? Wow, man...wow. You have no idea lolll.. Sad part is I'm missing all of the Packer hype and reads because of this storm. This is a disease worse than any drug.. I should not be up right now but yet I am at least half of the nights this winter waiting for the euro. Yes I'm suckered into its cult. I wanted to drop for summer but the superstion in me said that could be bad luck going into a favorable Nina and whats an extra 240 bucks to keep it all spring, summer and fall right!!! then it got to watching it way to much in the off season.. Euro in itself is a drug. Gl man! This is the Hoosier storm and I would love if you guys cashed in all snow even if it takes a lot from me.. Hoosier was waiting for go time for his thread start and if he got dinked over I would be pretty upset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 If everything goes as progged, after this storm, Lafayette will be placing 2010/2011 on a Top 10, and we still have much of Feb/March to go! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 What are the odds! LOL. You beat me dammit! Looks pretty sweet! Pure luck. Looks awesome though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 You have no idea lolll.. Sad part is I'm missing all of the Packer hype and reads because of this storm. This is a disease worse than any drug.. I should not be up right now but yet I am at least half of the nights this winter waiting for the euro. Yes I'm suckered into its cult. I wanted to drop for summer but the superstion in me said that could be bad luck going into a favorable Nina and whats an extra 240 bucks to keep it all spring, summer and fall right!!! then it got to watching it way to much in the off season.. Euro in itself is a drug. Gl man! This is the Hoosier storm and I would love if you guys cashed in all snow even if it takes a lot from me.. Hoosier was waiting for go time for his thread start and if he got dinked over I would be pretty upset. I'm excited for you man. Good luck with both the storm and the SB. Hoosier is going to have to pull some real good juju to make this a predominantly all snow event here. I can hear those pingers already...but we'll hope for the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 I'm excited for you man. Good luck with both the storm and the SB. Hoosier is going to have to pull some real good juju to make this a predominantly all snow event here. I can hear those pingers already...but we'll hope for the best. Might be time to fire up Prince. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 If everything goes as progged, after this storm, Lafayette will be placing 2010/2011 on a Top 10, and we still have much of Feb/March to go! Heh, we're going to need everything to break right for that to happen. But sleet counts as snow, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justin Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 If everything goes as progged, after this storm, Lafayette will be placing 2010/2011 on a Top 10, and we still have much of Feb/March to go! Just think if that system next weekend/early following week were to back up a bit and nail you guys... wow. I wouldn't put it past happening. To the other poster re: CID getting more precip than DVN... CID should get more WAA snow tomorrow and tomorrow night than we do and that likely is the big difference. New QPF from Euro would be getting us on the doorstep if not over 20" mark... I just can't buy it. I just can't, its just the part of me that always see these type's of storms in other parts of the country and I've never seen anything like this in my life right here. I didn't know about these forums until a few years ago. And technology is so much better now than it was back when some of our biggest storms have occurred here. Of course in 1987 with that big storm I was only 11 years old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Might be time to fire up Prince. Fill up the tank and drive around until you hear it. Please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlord81 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Not to bother you LAF guys or anything, but what do you think of the ice potential? Im alittle worried about it. The models show atleast an inch of ice. With strong winds that could be bad. I dont like where Im sitting because a shift north would mean more ZR than IP. BTW, good luck to you guys. Right on the razors edge. I still think we will get ours later this month or MAR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 0z GFS Ensemble Mean... Looks north of the OP during/after occlusion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Just think if that system next weekend/early following week were to back up a bit and nail you guys... wow. I wouldn't put it past happening. To the other poster re: CID getting more precip than DVN... CID should get more WAA snow tomorrow and tomorrow night than we do and that likely is the big difference. New QPF from Euro would be getting us on the doorstep if not over 20" mark... I just can't buy it. I just can't, its just the part of me that always see these type's of storms in other parts of the country and I've never seen anything like this in my life right here. I didn't know about these forums until a few years ago. And technology is so much better now than it was back when some of our biggest storms have occurred here. Of course in 1987 with that big storm I was only 11 years old. If that (or any) QPF were to verify verbatim, we would set a new snowfall record for the Quad Cities. That is one of the interesting aspects of this storm. Do you outright forecast something that has never happened in the last 150 some odd years of record? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Just think if that system next weekend/early following week were to back up a bit and nail you guys... wow. I wouldn't put it past happening. To the other poster re: CID getting more precip than DVN... CID should get more WAA snow tomorrow and tomorrow night than we do and that likely is the big difference. New QPF from Euro would be getting us on the doorstep if not over 20" mark... I just can't buy it. I just can't, its just the part of me that always see these type's of storms in other parts of the country and I've never seen anything like this in my life right here. I didn't know about these forums until a few years ago. And technology is so much better now than it was back when some of our biggest storms have occurred here. Of course in 1987 with that big storm I was only 11 years old. lol go look at the long range ecmwf 192-216 blows up another huge storm. edit: oops i misread you said next weekend/early next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I really think the dynamic cooling part of this is being underdone...somewhere from STL to LAF as of now with that conveyor belt might stay heavy snow and get a foot. who knows..this will def be a nowcast. There is potential for 20 inches in STL if this ends up snow..and models keep slightly trending colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Just think if that system next weekend/early following week were to back up a bit and nail you guys... wow. I wouldn't put it past happening. To the other poster re: CID getting more precip than DVN... CID should get more WAA snow tomorrow and tomorrow night than we do and that likely is the big difference. New QPF from Euro would be getting us on the doorstep if not over 20" mark... I just can't buy it. I just can't, its just the part of me that always see these type's of storms in other parts of the country and I've never seen anything like this in my life right here. I didn't know about these forums until a few years ago. And technology is so much better now than it was back when some of our biggest storms have occurred here. Of course in 1987 with that big storm I was only 11 years old. I think your 1/3 rule is pretty applicable here. 20" would be nice, but just seems so outrageous considering past events and climo. 10-15" is a safe bet, and more specifically 12-14" will probably be my final call tomorrow for the QC unless there's some major changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Might be time to fire up Prince. Prince? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Not to bother you LAF guys or anything, but what do you think of the ice potential? Im alittle worried about it. The models show atleast an inch of ice. With strong winds that could be bad. I dont like where Im sitting because a shift north would mean more ZR than IP. BTW, good luck to you guys. Right on the razors edge. I still think we will get ours later this month or MAR. It's a tough call right now for you. Just as we're riding the sn/pl line right now, you're probably riding the zr/pl line. Small shifts are going to make a relatively large difference it seems. Wish there was a clearer answer right now. I'm not sure we get any definitive answers soon either. Stay tuned my friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 lol go look at the long range ecmwf 192-216 blows up another huge storm. edit: oops i misread you said next weekend/early next week. Could it be possible that DTW has back to back epic months of February? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Heh, we're going to need everything to break right for that to happen. But sleet counts as snow, right? To get 40.3" and sneak into 10th place on the list, we would only need 6.6" of snow from this puppy. I think 6-7" is very realistic at this point. At least IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dscullom Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 0z GFS Ensemble Mean... Looks north of the OP during/after occlusion. Yeah it does. How about 66hr? Whats total QPF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I'm excited for you man. Good luck with both the storm and the SB. Hoosier is going to have to pull some real good juju to make this a predominantly all snow event here. I can hear those pingers already...but we'll hope for the best. Thanks so much man.. I feel pretty guilty ever time that NW trend starts rearing its head and that's why I have been awful quiet in the thread... I hate when the NW trends shoots others down from something we all can't get enough of and the thread shrinks to nothing almost in the past.. Hope to hell LAF and me can find a happy medium at worst.. All I wanted is 6-8" and I'll take that like a ma if it helps others and the Hoosier crew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlord81 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 It's a tough call right now for you. Just as we're riding the sn/pl line right now, you're probably riding the zr/pl line. Small shifts are going to make a relatively large difference it seems. Wish there was a clearer answer right now. I'm not sure we get any definitive answers soon either. Stay tuned my friend. We shall see then. I appreciate the response. Whatever occurs I plan on enjoying it thourghly. Some of the solutions are just extreme! Good luck up your way. Hope you get a foot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paul Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 No one really seems to be interested in the severe convective potential in the SE quad of the low as it blasts to the northeast? With the LLJ at 70+ kts and some minor amounts of upright instability available I'd expect to see a severe squall line develop with the FROPA. Maybe even some low-topped super cells in the WAA ahead of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Don't think there is a hr 66 ens mean. Either 12 or 24 hrs it goes by. Usually when a ens. mean is farther north then the OP, is a red flag. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 Prince? "1999" came on the radio on New Years eve in 1998...it is one of those weird memories that sticks with me. I ended up getting blasted with the biggest blizzard of my life right after that. Fast forward to 2/12/2007. I'm in the car and the song comes on the radio. I got hammered with the second biggest blizzard the next day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 To get 40.3" and sneak into 10th place on the list, we would only need 6.6" of snow from this puppy. I think 6-7" is very realistic at this point. At least IMO. Well don't forgot about the frontrunner tomorrow night. If we can stay all snow, that could put down 3-5". If that would pan out, we just need another 1-2" after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Yeah it does. How about 66hr? Whats total QPF? 72hr QPF: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Well don't forgot about the frontrunner tomorrow night. If we can stay all snow, that could put down 3-5". If that would pan out, we just need another 1-2" after that. We're set! Remember our conversation earlier in the winter when we were getting the December blitz? The sky is the limit at this point. With that said, I am going to head back to the hometown Tuesday morning after class. Hopefully we stay all snow up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Thanks so much man.. I feel pretty guilty ever time that NW trend starts rearing its head and that's why I have been awful quiet in the thread... I hate when the NW trends shoots others down from something we all can't get enough of and the thread shrinks to nothing almost in the past.. Hope to hell LAF and me can find a happy medium at worst.. All I wanted is 6-8" and I'll take that like a ma if it helps others and the Hoosier crew. Unfortunately everybody can't win, that's just the nature of the beast. Reality is the jackpot will be north and west of here, and I'm cool with that. I'd be happy with at least 6" of snow after seeing all the flips and flops on the models. This storm has probably taken a few months off my life. At this point I just want it to get underway, you know? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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