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January 31-February 2 Historic Winter Storm part 6


Hoosier

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Thanks. A monster snowstorm would be great, but I will gladly take 8-10" considering what happened last winter.

Yeah, I feel embarrassed to scoff at 8-10" but considering what'll be happening to our SW and how if the storm just developed more gradually we could get into the better action, it's tough not get a little wistful.

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I'm just a little more than worried, because most people I talked to today weren't even aware of it. We've had so many smaller snowstorms this year that it doesn't seem to phase them in the slightest. Going to be a rude awakening for quite a few folks on Tuesday and Wednesday morning, I'm afraid.

It drives me crazy that people treat serious weather with such a cavalier attitude. When I was out today talking to people, it was either "I had no idea" or "The weatherman is always wrong" or, something similarly irreverent. I see the same thing when severe weather threatens during the summer. The line I heard several times today was "Being a weatherman is the only job where you get paid to be wrong all the time".

I don't know where that attitude comes from. I finally asked one person to tell me why he thought the weatherman was wrong all the time. To which he said, something like. "Look, all they do is look at maps, read a computer printout, and try to tell us what the weather is going to be. They have no idea what they are talking about." When I queried him about the coming blizzard, he said. "I'll believe it when I see it." ...

You are right ,there is going to be a rude awakening for some people come Wednesday morning.

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Here Sunday morning, Walmart was dead. There were two other folks stocking up on bread/essentials.

Sunday afternoon/evening was packed. But most everyone I talked to had no idea we were likely getting a major ice storm. Anyone who tries to go to to work Tuesday morning, if they are lucky enough to get into their frozen vehicle, is going to have a real bad day.

Went to Walmart after church today and it was packed. Ran into a few people I knew that saw the news and they were stocking up just in case. Hopefully most people will realize this is a serious storm. Most people I know just think the weather forecasters are wrong and it will miss us. I realize anything can change, but I really hope people heed the advice and are prepared,

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Here how it is looking outside of Chicago in Des Plaines, IL. I just took this 30 seconds ago. Will be posting periodic snapshots literally live during the height of the storm. I put my cheap USB web-cam outside but it comes with a very strong small white light above the lens and you can see it clearly a block away. I hope it doesent like scare someone.

post-5511-0-30823800-1296448456.jpg

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Yeah, I was saying split the difference between the RGEM and the NAM earlier, but it looks like the NAM's the one on crack. RGEM though looks like it's still too far NW though (even comparing the 48 RGEM with the 48 GGEM/GFS).

Agreed...nonetheless, DVN/ORD/MKE/DET would all get hammered.

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0Z NAM was junk. Typically this type of storm is exactly what the NAM was made for--but it had a poor run. 0Z GFS and now finally the GEM are much more realistic in terms of a NW curving track and rapid occlusion.

That be better for Chicago. Maybe GFS/NAM will creep those 2.00+QPF back into majority of NE IL tomorow if it continues to deepen more rapidily with a stronger surface low. Looks like besides NAM the 00z models are coming into a agreement for a slight furthur NW track and tad stronger and more rapid/windier blizzard than earlier projected.

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