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February General Banter Thread I


jrips27

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I know I was being sarcastic in expression of my frustration with the current setup.

Oh... sorry! smile.gif I've been reading in the Midwestern forum, just crazy conditions. Someday I might see that.

On a side note, I saw this about South Dakota on my CoCoRaHS page today:

The state is home to several well known extremes. In the town of Spearfish (located on the edge of the Black Hills in western South Dakota), a back and forth battle of warm and cold air masses led to the greatest temperature change ever recorded in North America. On January 22, 1943, the temperature at 7:30 a.m. was -4F. Two minutes later, the temperature shot up to 45F. By 8:45 a.m., the temperature reached at 55F - before plummeting back to 0F forty-five minutes later. The wild temperature swing presented motorists with visibility problems as their windshields instantly frosted when they drove into the cold zone. Plate glass windows cracked, and many pine trees were damaged by the rapid freezing and thawing.

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I know this is outside the SE region, but how do the models look for snowfall amounts in East/SE Texas Late Thursday into Friday morning? Local mets here forecasting 1-3" with possibly 6-8" and up to a foot in meso banding.

What do the experts here think? :)

Lol well I guess it is the banter thread..what part of SE TX do you live in?

Lufkin to Huntsville have the best shot...on the 18z NAM snow map it has them in 2-4 the border of LA is in 4-8 north of Beaumont. I would say 2-4 is a safe bet. Interestingly enough it looks like San Antonio might get a flurry.

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Can someone tell me why the SE is in storm mode ? ;).

100% chance of WAA tonight... Love going to bed knowing it will be warmer when I wake up compared to right now. If it were not for being knee deep in school I would have chased this storm to IN or IL, I kicked the idea around with the wife on Saturday, but I have so much crap going on this week there is no way I could have. Looking forward, big storm coming for those who take up residence in the Hudson Straight around day 8-9. GFS has it <940 and Euro is around 950, may chase that one :arrowhead: For us, we have about another 5 weeks than probability really tanks thereafter. I have seen it SN here in April, with a frontal passage no less, but after the first week of March that precip type becomes much harder to come by. Honestly, I think we are done here in the Coastal Plain. I see no indication the blocking will return over the next several weeks, and while it could flip during the second half of the month, even that is no guarantee we get another widespread sn storm. I am almost at 300% my seasonal avg, and statistics alone would argue thats about it, considering we were close to 300% last year. Hopefully we can get this kind of setup in March or April as my forecast for tomorrow would likely have more than a slgt chance of thunder. :thumbsup:

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Brownsville, TX's forecast:

Thursday: A 20 percent chance of rain. Cloudy and cold, with a high near 37. Wind chill values as low as 14. Breezy, with a north northwest wind between 15 and 20 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.

Thursday Night: Snow and sleet likely, mainly after midnight. Cloudy, with a low around 28. Blustery, with a north northwest wind between 15 and 22 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Friday: A chance of rain, snow, and sleet before noon. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny and cold, with a high near 44. Breezy, with a north northwest wind between 13 and 22 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Meanwhile, way up north at 36N, we get cold rain. axesmiley.pnggun_bandana.gifSnowman.gif

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still waiting on the rain to arrive. I see there's already been some good amounts in Ga , but so far nothing but sprinkles here. The models dropped from 1" to .50" here now and looking at the convection developing in Southeast Alabama, a prime robbery spot for my area, I'm going to strongly doubt .50" here now.

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100% chance of WAA tonight... Love going to bed knowing it will be warmer when I wake up compared to right now. If it were not for being knee deep in school I would have chased this storm to IN or IL, I kicked the idea around with the wife on Saturday, but I have so much crap going on this week there is no way I could have. Looking forward, big storm coming for those who take up residence in the Hudson Straight around day 8-9. GFS has it <940 and Euro is around 950, may chase that one :arrowhead: For us, we have about another 5 weeks than probability really tanks thereafter. I have seen it SN here in April, with a frontal passage no less, but after the first week of March that precip type becomes much harder to come by. Honestly, I think we are done here in the Coastal Plain. I see no indication the blocking will return over the next several weeks, and while it could flip during the second half of the month, even that is no guarantee we get another widespread sn storm. I am almost at 300% my seasonal avg, and statistics alone would argue thats about it, considering we were close to 300% last year. Hopefully we can get this kind of setup in March or April as my forecast for tomorrow would likely have more than a slgt chance of thunder. :thumbsup:

Yeah, we are done here for winter weather. RDU finished at 100% for the winter, kind Of blows considering a lot of people finished much better. I hope we don't get snow in March! I want an early spring. What ORD is experiencing is what I consider the perfect snow storm, and not because of the amounts. The models had this progged for a week now, it never really wavered for them, it started at a perfect time, they got to watch it occur.

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still waiting on the rain to arrive. I see there's already been some good amounts in Ga , but so far nothing but sprinkles here. The models dropped from 1" to .50" here now and looking at the convection developing in Southeast Alabama, a prime robbery spot for my area, I'm going to strongly doubt .50" here now.

it really surprises me (well i guess it shouldnt anymore) how the rain can just disappear when it heads your way. its been pouring here and 1.25" so far (over 2" the last couple of days). its the proverbial brick wall :huh:

i am trying to send it up your way :drunk:

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