dsaur Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Yes, but it is near V-Day ****fwiw****. Thererfore, the threat needs to be taken extra seriously. Well, I have to admit these last few days have been nice for some of the things I needed to do, but after "a few" I start to begrudge lost days of winter, so I'm expecting the blocking to come back soon, and winter fun begin to ramp up again. I still have my major sleet storm to get, and a big snow in March that melts in an afternoon, is not what I'm wanting again this year. The last 2/3rds of Feb. is sleet time, so I'm way, way ready T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 V-Day is my soon to be 9 year old daughters birthday.I'm sure she would love to have a little white stuff on the ground to play with.As of right now all she cares about is going to Monkey Joe's.I remember last Feb. we had snow on the 12th I believe. Yeah, but it's Groundhog Day. How can you go against this guy: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Does anyone know of a good site to get forecasts and currents conditions for Snowshoe? I'm looking for something other than their the ski resort's website.... I'm going up there Feb. 13-16 and can't really find anything other than NWS and their site. Thanks guys! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBlade Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 It's only 11-13 days out. It will verify for sure. We need more FWIW. If it was an Apps runner or lake cutter it would verify! Seems to be the only thing the models can get a hold of. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 meh. While I admit this is gorgeous weather... How can you not envy this? Epic I've been watching this for the past few days, as I have family in Ohio, and it appears that my old back yard will have approx 1.00" ICE....Mom is not to happy Don't look now but the 0Z gfs has a major snowstorm for much of the SE including some of the deep south 2/11-12 *****fwiw******, which is mere entertainment that far out in time: 6-7" Charlotte, 5-6" CAE, 5" Augusta, 4-5" for N.O. and CHS among other cities, 4" MCN, 2" ATL, 1.5" SAV That brought back memories of last years system Gotta love the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Does anyone know of a good site to get forecasts and currents conditions for Snowshoe? I'm looking for something other than their the ski resort's website.... I'm going up there Feb. 13-16 and can't really find anything other than NWS and their site. Thanks guys! There used to be a website I visited years ago that had conditions for all the major ski resorts around here....but I think it's dead and gone. Sorry I couldn't be of any help. Since you're leaving it means we are a lock for that GFS fantasy storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Local Yokel Wx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Does anyone know of a good site to get forecasts and currents conditions for Snowshoe? I'm looking for something other than their the ski resort's website.... I'm going up there Feb. 13-16 and can't really find anything other than NWS and their site. Thanks guys! Check out skinc.com or skisoutheast.com... Mike Doble at appnet has put together an amazing site among others he has done (highcountrywebcams.com). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Burger, no doubt my absents will bring on an epic fantasy storm. I was out of town for the great 2005 ice storm and this past Christmas snow. So enjoy Localyokel, thanks for the tip. I'll check it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 yesterday, I was depressed because it looked like winter was about to take an extended vacation. now, it seems like winter is saying "not so fast, I ain't going nowhere!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I hear ya DC.... I'm feeling very pessimistic about the rest of winter even though the models are keeping hope alive. Guess its just fatigue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I hear ya DC.... I'm feeling very pessimistic about the rest of winter even though the models are keeping hope alive. Guess its just fatigue Yesterday really had me missing spring. It's been a good winter, but I'm ready to drive with the windows down and enjoy a nice hike. I was just telling the gf I want one more snow then bring on the warm air! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 The first week of February. One inch of QPF. All rain. Really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Don't look now (or ever as far as I'm concerned due to its horrible performance for late this week when it had KATL down to -21C at 850 on one run and solid to record cold on three runs last week), but the 12Z Euro is up to its dirty tricks of sending record breaking cold down into the SE again. It has KATL 850's down to a ridiculous -20C at hour 234 (6Z on 2/10). Folks, I've not at all about to believe this cr*p as I learned my lesson after last week's Euro debacle. The 12Z GFS' coldest for that period is down to only ~-9C. The Euro's accuracy has gone into the toilet. It is going to take some time to for it to mend itself. Also, I'm noticing a pattern that all of the very cold Euro runs since last week have been at 12Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 you know it's frustrating, but when we have cold it's like pulling teeth to get moisture and even when we get a perfect track it's just a little too warm for snow..........not to mention the models can predict with accuracy a lakes cutter from 5+ days out. it's hard to be a winter weather lover in the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Don't look now (or ever as far as I'm concerned due to its horrible performance for late this week when it had KATL down to -21C at 850 on one run and solid to record cold on three runs last week), but the 12Z Euro is up to its dirty tricks of sending record breaking cold down into the SE again. It has KATL 850's down to a ridiculous -20C at hour 234 (6Z on 2/10). Folks, I've not at all about to believe this cr*p as I learned my lesson after last week's Euro debacle. The 12Z GFS' coldest for that period is down to only ~-9C. The Euro's accuracy has gone into the toilet. It is going to take some time to for it to mend itself. Also, I'm noticing a pattern that all of the very cold Euro runs since last week have been at 12Z. Yea @240 the Euro is going bonkers with the cold in the deep south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Yea @240 the Euro is going bonkers with the cold in the deep south. I may do a contest to see who can guess how far off this Euro run will verify in terms of 850's for late next week. Keep in mind that the 12Z gfs is 11C warmer for its coldest late next week at KATL (-9C). This run is only 24C/43 F warmer at 850 at KATL for its coldest late this week vs. that -21C run from six days ago! If this keeps up, it is going to start to become a laughingstock. I've always had a lot of respect for it in the past and have defended its honor time and time again. If these false alarms for brutal SE cold continue, I'm liable to become reluctant to defend it as often in the future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Just found out today that I am going on a trip to Schofield, Wisconsin for a quick plant tour of Greenheck (fans) and to do some ice fishing. Have never been there before, but I expect I will see my fill of snow on the ground and cold temps. Does anyone know anything about Schofield, Wisconsin? Thanks in advance... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Hopefully the euro will at least be close in the long range this go around. I would love some epic cold while I'm at snowshoe on v-day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I may do a contest to see who can guess how far off this Euro run will verify in terms of 850's for late next week. Keep in mind that the 12Z gfs is 11C warmer for its coldest late next week at KATL (-9C). This run is only 24C/43 F warmer at 850 at KATL for its coldest late this week vs. that -21C run from six days ago! If this keeps up, it is going to start to become a laughingstock. I've always had a lot of respect for it in the past and have defended its honor time and time again. If these false alarms for brutal SE cold continue, I'm liable to become reluctant to defend it as often in the future. If you do that contest, put me down for +4 on the actual for RDU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tazaroo Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 It seems to me the models could be missing some of the code coming east after the departing midwest storm. The storm is going to be very intense and the cold coming east could be mishandled currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Don't look now (or ever as far as I'm concerned due to its horrible performance for late this week when it had KATL down to -21C at 850 on one run and solid to record cold on three runs last week), but the 12Z Euro is up to its dirty tricks of sending record breaking cold down into the SE again. It has KATL 850's down to a ridiculous -20C at hour 234 (6Z on 2/10). Folks, I've not at all about to believe this cr*p as I learned my lesson after last week's Euro debacle. The 12Z GFS' coldest for that period is down to only ~-9C. The Euro's accuracy has gone into the toilet. It is going to take some time to for it to mend itself. Also, I'm noticing a pattern that all of the very cold Euro runs since last week have been at 12Z. Agreed, the euro has been pretty awful in the long range. Not only do the solutions not verify, it shows large flip flops from one run to the next. AS for the cold it's showing, it has showed this a lot of times this winter only for it to not verify so I'm selling grains of salt for those who don't have any. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfide Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Just found out today that I am going on a trip to Schofield, Wisconsin for a quick plant tour of Greenheck (fans) and to do some ice fishing. Have never been there before, but I expect I will see my fill of snow on the ground and cold temps. Does anyone know anything about Schofield, Wisconsin? Thanks in advance... I don't know about Schofield, but I see the Greenheck exhuast fans often. I have to quote roof flashings for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Just totally anecdote but it would be funny if this weekend was a nice surprise in the snow department. Seems most of our good storms in the past have been the sneaky variety. Usually how it works, we are looking so far in the long range the out of nowhere a storm starts showing up and things get a smidge colder and bam! You're in business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Just found out today that I am going on a trip to Schofield, Wisconsin for a quick plant tour of Greenheck (fans) and to do some ice fishing. Have never been there before, but I expect I will see my fill of snow on the ground and cold temps. Does anyone know anything about Schofield, Wisconsin? Thanks in advance... sweet! i dont know about shofield (think its like in the middle of the state maybe?) but lived in MN for a while (frequent trips to WI due to their drinking age at the time lol). winter sports are awesome - except cross country skiing (the most work i have ever done ugh) - and its beautiful up there. i think they have had a lot of snow too this year, so you should see plenty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterhawk Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 cpc's updated 6-10 & 8-14 day forecasts look good for us (for now..) http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/ http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Agreed, the euro has been pretty awful in the long range. Not only do the solutions not verify, it shows large flip flops from one run to the next. AS for the cold it's showing, it has showed this a lot of times this winter only for it to not verify so I'm selling grains of salt for those who don't have any. when it is consistent for a fairly long period its pretty good. but otherwise its just like a lot of the others. how they can flip so much between runs (12 hours apart or less) is amazing Just totally anecdote but it would be funny if this weekend was a nice surprise in the snow department. Seems most of our good storms in the past have been the sneaky variety. Usually how it works, we are looking so far in the long range the out of nowhere a storm starts showing up and things get a smidge colder and bam! You're in business. i wish - this used to happen, but doesnt seem to any more. sniff sniff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 The F in February stands for FAIL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern Foothills Snowman Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Some ,last week, were talking about some comments that JB was making about a false spring in the southeast.Anyone read anything else on this .I may not be wording it exactly right . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 when it is consistent for a fairly long period its pretty good. but otherwise its just like a lot of the others. how they can flip so much between runs (12 hours apart or less) is amazing i wish - this used to happen, but doesnt seem to any more. sniff sniff. It did February 12 & 13, 1899: Rain changes to sleet and later turns to snow during the "Great Blizzard of 1899", with the snow falling for about 8 hours. With temperatures of about 10°F (−12°C), the snow accumulates to 2 inches (51mm) near Jacksonville and 4 inches (102mm) at Lake Butler (between Jacksonville and Gainesville). In some locations, it was reported that the snow remains on the ground for several days. Who knows ... But my guess is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Where's burger? The DGEX just gave him 10-12 inches of snow!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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