LVblizzard Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 How is QPF for areas farther west? Looks like maybe .25" in Harrisburg. Does NEPA stay snow? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 What are temps like? low to mid 30's for the event do we go back to cold after next week and any storms on the horizon after saturday? Rossi after the costal saturday we get cold again...then the cutter which looks further east then the track we have today....but still same result...after that the cold shifts east...but looks to move out by hr 240...getting out in fantasy land by then edit: we also get a clipper around the mon-tue time-frame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 12z GGEM ensemble mean has the low offshore and well to the south and east . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 12z GGEM ensemble mean has the low offshore and well to the south and east . Can you post the gefs...i heard they where pretty sweet for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 Can you post the gefs...i heard they where pretty sweet for us Looks like a solid hit from PHL-NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Looks like a solid hit from PHL-NYC. Nice...yeah the euro def made a big jump towards the gfs at 12z.....it look nothing like what it was showing the last few days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 And then we have the DGEX lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I hope that trends west a bit. I'd hate to be fighting yet another sharp cutoff and be on the outside looking in once again. Looks like a solid hit from PHL-NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 18z gfs takes the low over nj...we start has frozen...but then go to rain by hr 96....cpa and ne pa get a good hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 takes a 996 inside the benchmark...we prob go back over to snow....but not like the 12z gfs..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Tim, thanks for you PBP, we still got some time left for this one, which we will follow after the Ice Storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 18z GFS shows what happens when no cold anticyclone in place... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 How were the GFS ensembles? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 How were the GFS ensembles? Here you go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 thats a good amount of snow or sleet for NW LA.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yes_Probably_Maybe_No Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Through 75 with deep neutral trough and phasing in Louisiana...if the storm doesn't ride up I-95 I'd be very surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yes_Probably_Maybe_No Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Hour 87..storm is located in E Va (erh, Chesepeake Bay)...850 line NW of ABE-Harrisburg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yes_Probably_Maybe_No Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Hour 90 passes just to the SE of Philly...I don't think anyone is snow near the big cities maybe some light snow between 93 and 96 in ABE, but that's as about it nice hit for N C PA and C NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 GFS is a lot of sleet/freezing rain for NE PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted February 2, 2011 Author Share Posted February 2, 2011 Runs right up 95 haha. Sitll a ton of time left with this, all we need is a slight shift east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 GGEM looks similar to 12z based on those crappy B/W maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 GGEM looks similar to 12z based on those crappy B/W maps. What did the GGEM show for NE PA at 12z? GFS starts out as sleet and zr but goes over to snow with a pretty good hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 What did the GGEM show for NE PA at 12z? GFS starts out as sleet and zr but goes over to snow with a pretty good hit. 12z GGEM showed a good 4-6" event for NE PA with some sleet closer to the NJ border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 It's looking more and more like a thread the needle event for I-95, but better for that NE PA screwzone that has been complaining all winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted February 2, 2011 Author Share Posted February 2, 2011 Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 euro brings the low just east of nyc...ne pa get a nice snowstorm...rain for i-95...perhaps back to some light snow at the tail end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 euro brings the low just east of nyc...ne pa get a nice snowstorm...rain for i-95...perhaps back to some light snow at the tail end there is just enough cold air, so if the low slips east 50-100 miles, philly and nyc are game. We'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 euro at 00z does not have a cutter anymore...its a artic front...similar to the gfs.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Looks like all the models are basically on the same page for this event.. Doesn't look like a lot of QPF for whoever gets the 'heaviest' snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 hr 162 the euro develops a low off hse along the artic front...850's plenty cold...surface back in central pa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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