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Feb 5-6 Threat


jrodd321

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This event has become the middle child that nobody pays attention to haha.

Yea exactly, new NAM is pretty much all rain for NYC. I would say even areas to the N and W might have trouble achieving advisory criteria.

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is it ok with you if some of us can still track this?

Relax dude, I was not implying that. You can do whatever you want, I was simply stating that this event is a big nothing for NYC, pretty much all rain. Doesn't mean you can't track it, you are entitled to do whatever you so desire.

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take it on the chin to get an event at 84 and 150.

Agreed, pattern much better for following two events. I am not complaining, can't win every single storm. Very grateful for what we have already accomplished.

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Agreed, pattern much better for following two events. I am not complaining, can't win every single storm. Very grateful for what we have already accomplished.

yip. Plus, if it snows tomorrow, it doesnt cause any havoc. I like the weekday events that screw up traffic etc etc. I am all about the mayhem. :devilsmiley:

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Don't get me wrong, I don't want anyone hurt, but to me, a snowstorm is only a snowstorm if it messes everything up. Nothing like sitting on the couch, downing a few beers while watchign the snow fall and people freak out on TV.

So true, I have to hold off on the beers until I am done plowing. :drunk:

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Relax dude, I was not implying that. You can do whatever you want, I was simply stating that this event is a big nothing for NYC, pretty much all rain. Doesn't mean you can't track it, you are entitled to do whatever you so desire.

all is good man.

you just sounded like you were calling, those that are still interested in the storm, out.

no biggie...

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.SHORT TERM /MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...

H5 LOW WAS CENTERED IN THE TX RAOB NETWORK AT 12Z AND ALL MODELS

ARE CONVERGING ON A TRACK JUST SE OF LONG ISLAND. THIS TRACK WAS

THE BASIS FOR THE FCST.

This is AFD from Upton, can someone tell me which models are showing this? From what I've seen most have a track right over the area at best. I mean I saw something like this on SREF's but I don't know if I would say all models. If it were to take this track then I could see some more frozen precip over some of the area. Either way, I have 10mph S wind at the moment so I don't think anyone needs to get excited.

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Yeah question for us out here is how high will the temps get...mid 40's, fog and rain sounds like the snowpack is going to take quite a hit. I'll miss this icy glazed snow, it has a very cool look to it.

If the 00Z NAM verifies it looks like everyone will take a hit with the only savior being not much in the way of precip. for this area. The only real snow in that solution is if you go north of albany.

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topic seems dead, but I think there should be more discussion about Upton's forecast.

around 1" of snow and up to 0.2" of icing for northern Fairfield County?

there's a complete possibility that nothing except RA falls, but we'll see.

I seem to favor some spotty PL/ZL from mid/late morning, but mostly just rain showers through the day.

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topic seems dead, but I think there should be more discussion about Upton's forecast.

around 1" of snow and up to 0.2" of icing for northern Fairfield County?

there's a complete possibility that nothing except RA falls, but we'll see.

I seem to favor some spotty PL/ZL from mid/late morning, but mostly just rain showers through the day.

It almost sounds like one of those early-mid fall storms where you'd be glad to see a flake or pellet or two. Sort of like what we had in early November.... probably even less than that.

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If the 00Z NAM verifies it looks like everyone will take a hit with the only savior being not much in the way of precip. for this area. The only real snow in that solution is if you go north of albany.

It looks like the rain never goes beyond "light"

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