IsentropicLift Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 High pressure in perfect position. Epic storm. Not to be greedy but check out that leftover s/w at hr 168 near Chicago. Wonder if that's going to be a kicker or phase in on later runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 4:32 PM, dssbss said: A lot of discussion about next week....what's the latest on this weekend? Am I hearing rainy for eastern pa? Looks like a light mixed bag of precipitation for SE PA, a few slushy inches possible in NE PA, if you sort of combine the 12z NAM and GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 4:32 PM, TheTrials said: I would caution the wide spead thing, because every big storm this year modelled to be an expansive miller A this far out has not been as expansive when it hit. Yeah, they seem to lose the overrunning aspect. Hopefully, this one is different. The pattern seems to be different anyhow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dabiggiu Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 How about the brutal cold in the wake of the late week storm. Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isnice Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 12z GGEM at hour 60 is very pretty for those just to the north and west of the big cities. Any word on the UKMET? I would love to see if the Euro follows along... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 4:51 PM, isnice said: 12z GGEM at hour 60 is very pretty for those just to the north and west of the big cities. Any word on the UKMET? I would love to see if the Euro follows along... It looks very close for I95 as well. Need to see ewall to see details in half hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 can we please keep this discussion limited to the Feb 5-6 threat. I was going to participate, but I see that the discussion is not focused on any particular event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isnice Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/622_100.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJHurricane Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Please stay on topic of the feb 5-6 time frame..there is a medium range thread as well as a Feb9-11th time frame thread....posts in this thread that stray on to other storm threats are likely to be moved or deleted. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 5:05 PM, NJHurricane said: Please stay on topic of the feb 5-6 time frame..there is a medium range thread as well as a Feb9-11th time frame thread....posts in this thread that stray on to other storm threats are likely to be moved or deleted. Thanks. Thanks 12z NAM is showing a mixed bag up here 40 or so miles north of NYC http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/cobb/cobb.php?model=nam&site=kswf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 The nam is lost for this saturday. GGEM, GFS, Euro all show a colder more compact solution. GGEM is oh so close to being an all snow event for the city and is an all snow event just to the north and west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 does anyone know where to find the seasonal snowfall records for bdr.. or what it is? and season to date snow?? i can't find it on the upton climate site.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 5:36 PM, JGNYK03 said: does anyone know where to find the seasonal snowfall records for bdr.. or what it is? and season to date snow?? i can't find it on the upton climate site.. Go to the pull down menu and select BDR... http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/SnowClimo/SnowClimoMain1.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 hr 48 850's south of monmouth county and surface over nyc/i-95....starts as light snow/frozen mix on euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 hr 54 850's and surface nw of nj/nyc metro...rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 6:01 PM, Allsnow said: hr 54 850's and surface nw of nj/nyc metro...rain Yup. Hour 60 also, it appears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 hr 60 850's just west of nyc...surface in nw jersey.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 6:02 PM, ag3 said: Yup. Hour 60 also, it appears. yep..hr 66 the storm is over.....not much snow for anyone in the metro area.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 euro looks like the ukmet. Its the ukie/nam/euro vs cmc and gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 UKIE and NAM both bring low over NYC. NAM had this idea all along and now it appears the rest of the models are following. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Euro showing its warm bias once again.....GFS/GGEM the way to go at this range. Ukie has been all over the place this season, wouldn't put too much faith into its solution. NAM will be in its good range by the 2/4 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 6:04 PM, Allsnow said: yep..hr 66 the storm is over.....not much snow for anyone in the metro area.... How does the precip shield look into eastern PA? I'm going to be driving to a bit past Allentown on Saturday so just wondering. For our area seems just wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 5:54 PM, WeatherX said: Go to the pull down menu and select BDR... http://www.erh.noaa....ClimoMain1.html PERFECT!! thanks!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 6:11 PM, frankdp23 said: How does the precip shield look into eastern PA? I'm going to be driving to a bit past Allentown on Saturday so just wondering. For our area seems just wet. .50-.75 for them...its starts off frozen-then to perhaps rain-back to frozen.....just a mix bag of slop.....roads should not be that bad...being that its coming during the day saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Mecca Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Does anyone know where I can find the calander date that has the greatest amount of times it has snowed in NYC? Im thinking somewhere in the first week of Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 6:18 PM, Allsnow said: .50-.75 for them...its starts off frozen-then to perhaps rain-back to frozen.....just a mix bag of slop.....roads should not be that bad...being that its coming during the day saturday Thanks a lot, that was a big help Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 6:26 PM, frankdp23 said: Thanks a lot, that was a big help I'm not at all impressed with this threat at this time, but things could change. WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 6:06 PM, Noreaster85 said: Euro showing its warm bias once again.....GFS/GGEM the way to go at this range. Ukie has been all over the place this season, wouldn't put too much faith into its solution. NAM will be in its good range by the 2/4 12z run. The setup though is lousy if you want more snow in the NYC area. No high to the north to keep cold air in. This should be a mostly mix/rain event, unless we were to get lucky with a bombing low taking the perfect track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 6:33 PM, winterwx21 said: The setup though is lousy if you want more snow in the NYC area. No high to the north to keep cold air in. This should be a mostly mix/rain event, unless we were to get lucky with a bombing low taking the perfect track. well for the northern Mt. Holly zones I'm going with 3-7". A sloppy 2-5" near I-95, particullary just NW of that area and a sloppy 1-3" east of I-95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isnice Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 6:36 PM, Noreaster85 said: well for the northern Mt. Holly zones I'm going with 3-7". A sloppy 2-5" near I-95, particullary just NW of that area and a sloppy 1-3" east of I-95. Highly doubtful. This is pretty much a lost cause. I just hope it doesn't kill my snow pack too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.