RCNYILWX Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 09Z SREF mean for ORD taken from the plumes is 19". By my count 9 members are greater than the 19" mean, some significantly so. The max output is 33". Most of the members lower than the mean are still 9" or greater. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 hope for Izzi AFD.... Gino is working the winter desk the next 3 nights. 9pm-5am tonight....I might be going to the office to shadow him for a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 hope for Izzi AFD.... It's his brithday weekend break. He is at the Casino so no Izzi AFD will be forthcoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Gino is working the winter desk the next 3 nights. 9pm-5am tonight....I might be going to the office to shadow him for a few hours. sweet, we should get a good one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 12z NAM = 3" sleet for Kokomo. Dammit. Trade ya! Looking at .75" or 1" of ice ice.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 09Z SREF mean for ORD taken from the plumes is 19". By my count 9 members are greater than the 19" mean, some significantly so. The max output is 33". Most of the members lower than the mean are still 9" or greater. absolute madness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Through 30hrs the GFS looks like it may come NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Paul Kocin is on TWC right now SKYPE. Bullseye from St. Louis-Chicago-Detroit, he said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 You still get 15-20cm based on that map. I hope you're right canuck. This may be like January 23,1966. Toronto got about 39cm, while Ottawa got 21cm. Ottawa: http://www.climate.weatheroffice.gc.ca/climateData/dailydata_e.html?Prov=XX&timeframe=2&StationID=4337&Day=1&Month=1&Year=1966&cmdB1=Go Toronto: http://www.climate.weatheroffice.gc.ca/climateData/dailydata_e.html?timeframe=2&Prov=XX&StationID=5097&Year=1966&Month=1&Day=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoar_Frost Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I've set the happiness bar at 12" for this storm, which is pretty damn high from a climo standpoint and 60hrs out. I'll refrain from making a call until after the 0z guidance tonight but it does look like 20"+ amounts will at least be considered. Another thing of note is that even an 8-10 inch snowfall with the kind of winds forecasted will push things to blizzard conditions along the lakefront and in open areas. LOT's overnight was kind of lame all things considered, this afternoons should be a good one. I'd agree that LOT's morning AFD was weak compared to those of surrounding WFOs. However, this morning's is not as bad as the one written on Friday morning, when there was no mention of anything past Sunday, let alone this storm. At that point on Friday, it was obvious that this system was something to be watched. It is to be noted that "TRS" wrote both AFDs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Upgrade to blizzard watches for LOT this afternoon barring any major upsets on the remaining 12z guidance? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Trade ya! Looking at .75" or 1" of ice ice.. This damn NW trend has got to stop. I'll take SE for a thousand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Upgrade to blizzard watches for LOT this afternoon barring any major upsets on the remaining 12z guidance? I think them and several other offices. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Upgrade to blizzard watches for LOT this afternoon barring any major upsets on the remaining 12z guidance? Maybe. I'd be all over it. I know Blizz Watches/Warnings are hard to verify here, but this looks line of of those scenarios where it won't be terribly tough to do so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Through 30hrs the GFS looks like it may come NW. Little further west with the northern s/w, little more amped with the southern s/w. I concur. At least a little bit NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Starting to get into the RGEM's range, this should give you a clue which way the GGEM will be going, and it is not SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Upgrade to blizzard watches for LOT this afternoon barring any major upsets on the remaining 12z guidance? I would think they would wait till monday morning. the WSW already came out for a 5th-7th period event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 12Z GFS not looking different at 36. Neutral over NM at 36, pretty much what we had before. It should look pretty similar downstream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I would think they would wait till monday morning. the WSW already came out for a 5th-7th period event. that's why i'm thinking the rarely used blizzard watch, not a warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Wow, NAM even gives me nearly 14 inches. Bowme gets 18+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHSnow Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Accuweather forecasting up to 34" here in Toledo... Monday night Cold with 1-3 inches of snow. Low 13. NE 8 mph gusting to 11. Tuesday Cloudy, breezy and cold with a little snow, accumulating up to an additional inch. High 22. NE 14 mph gusting to 29. Tuesday night Blizzard conditions with strong winds, low visibility and heavy snow, accumulating 1-2 feet. Low 16. NNE 29 mph gusting to 48. Wednesday Windy with snow, accumulating an additional 3-6 inches. High 23. N 18 mph gusting to 35. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Unless it shiits the bed, 12z GFS will be a slightly amped up version of 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I would think they would wait till monday morning. the WSW already came out for a 5th-7th period event. Actually being considered right now, stay tuned for update over the next couple of hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 1004mb closed off in SE TX at 48 vs. 1008 open wave valid the same time at 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Unless it shiits the bed, 12z GFS will be a slightly amped up version of 6z. Will be close. High over Montana is a few mb stronger, but the S/W is slightly stronger. Relative intensity of the gradient is up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Actually being considered right now, stay tuned for update over the next couple of hours. you're an intern with LOT right, or am i pulling that out of my ass? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Actually being considered right now, stay tuned for update over the next couple of hours. you work for the NWS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Unless it shiits the bed, 12z GFS will be a slightly amped up version of 6z. A bit farther north and stronger through 54hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Actually being considered right now, stay tuned for update over the next couple of hours. You should post more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 IWX has portions pinpointed for 12-17" and that doesn't even include anything to fall Wednesday. Monday Night: Snow. Low around 14. East wind around 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Tuesday: Areas of blowing snow and a chance of snow before 1pm, then snow likely and areas of blowing snow after 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 22. Northeast wind between 15 and 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Tuesday Night: Snow and widespread blowing snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 19. Windy. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 8 to 12 inches possible. Wednesday: Snow and widespread blowing snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 21. Blustery. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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