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January 31-February 2 Potentially Historic Winter Storm


Hoosier

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Some of what I was referring to yesterday when I said ridiculously deep DGZs (OceanStWx pointed this out even earlier):

post-175-0-99547800-1296398044.jpg

DGZ is highlighted in yellow. White curved line is omega through the profile. Note the 50-55 kt winds right off the deck, and the steep low level lapse rates.

Yeah simply amazing, btw who still uses napster :arrowhead: j/k

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By 72 the low's occluding so any more warming has been shutoff but that dryslot does look like it's going to poke into the first row of counties in SE MI based on the H7 RH fields. Sorry Powerball. :( But even if that occurs there's a massive front end dump. Look at the QPF at 72 over SE MI.

How are things looking up this way?:unsure:

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If anything 850's are a little colder on the 12z NAM even though the track is a tad bit further North. Not sure without looking at soundings and bufkit, but still looks like plenty of ice for IND and most of Central Indiana.

Indy does go above freezing for several hours.. The amount of warm air aloft is pretty crazy (50's at 850)..

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