A-L-E-K Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 This thread is case in point, it has been going for 10 days, if not more, now. Hoosier is going to go done in history if his day 10 call ends up being a blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnchaser Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 You guys deserve a good storm! Hopefully it pans out. Everyone is getting a little something this week, even here with good ratios its looking like a solid 5-9 inches, maybe 10. Lets break that 70 inch mark! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Hoosier is going to go done in history if his day 10 call ends up being a blizzard. If I get 18"+ I will call it the Hoosier storm lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Everything's on shore as of 12z today. Probably the first model suite run where I'm pretty confident nothing's going to go wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Everything's on shore as of 12z today. Probably the first model suite run where I'm pretty confident nothing's going to go wrong. I remember something about extra recon or something for this storm, you know anything about that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Was watching TV this morning, the general forecast from TV is 2-4" for Monday night, followed by a lull Tuesday, and then the heavy snow Tuesday in to Wednesday, and Ch 7 used the "B" word for conditions Tues night. We are either going to go big on this storm, or go home. When to the 12z runs start rolling out? I am hoping they all stick to what they have forecast so far. I hope there are no major hiccups in the works. But, we are still 72 hours out, with the energy just now being fully sampled. If everything holds together in the next run... I am going to officially freak out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Was watching TV this morning, the general forecast from TV is 2-4" for Monday night, followed by a lull Tuesday, and then the heavy snow Tuesday in to Wednesday, and Ch 7 used the "B" word for conditions Tues night. We are either going to go big on this storm, or go home. When to the 12z runs start rolling out? I am hoping the all stick to what they have forecast so far. I hope there are no major hiccups in the works. But, we are still 72 hours out, with the energy just now being fully sampled. If everything holds together in the next run... I am going to officially freak out... 12z NAM starting now, no major issues through 24 hrs (almost identical) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Portion of the IWX AFD concerning recon flights HWVR KEPT W/OVERALL CONSERVATIVE SNOW AMTS ATTM GIVEN PRIOR GUIDANCE AND FACT THAT DVLPG DEEP ERLY FLW WILL TAKE SOME TIME TO SATURATE. 12Z GUIDANCE SHLD PROVE PIVOTAL HERE ESP IN LIGHT OF WINTER RECON FLIGHTS PLANNED ACRS THE ERN PAC. SHLD 12Z GUIDANCE CONT TREND HIGHER...HEADLINES WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE BACKED UP TO INCLUDE MON NIGHT/EARLY TUE MORNING FOR MORE SIG SNOWFALL AS INDICATED IN WIDESPREAD SWATCH OF 4-8 INCHES SEEN IN SOME 00Z HIGHRES GUIDANCE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I remember something about extra recon or something for this storm, you know anything about that? Just from what I read in the thread. Apparently the additional recon data was incorporated into the models as of the 0z Sunday runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Just from what I read in the thread. Apparently the additional recon data was incorporated into the models as of the 0z Sunday runs. thanks and good news then. I missed a huge chunk and was too lazy to dig through all that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Only difference I see through 42 is that the NAM's a little slower with the main piece of southern energy over NM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 It's going to come NW again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Only difference I see through 42 is that the NAM's a little slower with the main piece of southern energy over NM. Unless something funky happens, this should still be a good run...i think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 It's going to come NW again. Digging more at 48 with the sfc low a little stronger. Maybe, but I don't think enough to really screw with us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 It's going to come NW again. heights are a little more amped, but it's not going to be anything radical. add your location to your profile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 It's going to come NW again. Maybe you'll get a crippling ice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 heights are a little more amped, but it's not going to be anything radical. add your location to your profile Yeah, nothing axe in head worthy I don't think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 850 map stunningly similar to 6z by 48 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 They could of waited until the afternoon package to issue the watch. It's becoming very apparent that things are shifting NW, why raise everyone's awareness if there really ends up not being a threat.. I think Indpls will be crippled by a devastating ice storm. NE and E flow at low levels...temps in the 20's...I don't think WAA will change this to rain in your area. Would be greatly surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 At 60 hours has there been a move N and W? Looks like it, to a small degree. 850 line seems farther north? Doesn't look like it can come much farther NW, that high in Canada is at 1056mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 850mb low a tad west at 48hr along the red river. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 At 60 hours has there been a move N and W? Looks like it, to a small degree. 850 line seems farther north? Doesn't look like it can come much farther NW, that high in Canada is at 1056mb. H5 s/w slower and digging more and sfc low about 50 miles west of the 6z run placement but at roughly the same latitude. This'll be NW a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 At 60 hours has there been a move N and W? Looks like it, to a small degree. 850 line seems farther north? Doesn't look like it can come much farther NW, that high in Canada is at 1056mb. yeah maybe a little bit, and I agree running into a 1056mb high it almost can't go any further NW than this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 it's going to be a beast HOT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Sub 1000mb in the MO bootheel at 60. Again, a little further west than 6z but nothing killer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 850mb low is stronger on the 12z run at 54hr.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Some of what I was referring to yesterday when I said ridiculously deep DGZs (OceanStWx pointed this out even earlier): DGZ is highlighted in yellow. White curved line is omega through the profile. Note the 50-55 kt winds right off the deck, and the steep low level lapse rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 holy **** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hoosierwx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 thanks Going to try and find the best snow tires I can for our truck today. We have to be able to make it to the hospital sometime in the next 3 days for a baby delivery. You might want to get some chains. The best tires in the world won't go on 1-2 inches of ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Who will be first to pull Blizzard watches or will it be a big collaboration? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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