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NE OK/ NW AR/ SE KS/ SW MO Winter 2011 Part 2


okie333

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Last night at 10 I said there could be a dusting upwards to an inch. Then I got home and saw the snow increasing in Texas and was thinking oh sh*t, this is coming farther north, lol.

Dang Doug, you chased another Fox 14 anchor off. tongue.gif

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I think I am going to try to venture out to work at my PT job tomorrow. We'll see how far I get. I'm kinda hoping this storm on Sunday misses Tulsa so we can have a few days to clear the roads before the Tues/Wed storm, which looks to be doozie. BTW, I was able to go 1 mile south to Walmart tonight, and the roads are horrendous! I work for OSU-Tulsa, and who knows when they will open again. At least I'm getting paid to stay home:)

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Good morning. I measured just a touch over 3" here in on the NW side of Monett this early morning. Roads are back to square one. Temps look borderline with tomorrow's system. Will keep an eye on it. Now, I need to get my morning model perusal finished so I can go out and shovel the walk after the "sun" comes up.

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At least I'm getting paid to stay home:)

That reminds me of the economic hardship this situation has created for many, many people.

1. Hourly workers who can't get to their jobs.

2. Hourly workers whose businesses are shut down or on reduced staffing.

3. Businesses owners who have to pay salaried workers.

4. Business owners who have few or no customers - almost anyone in retail. Worse in things like construction and auto sales.

5. Commissioned sales reps. (Short month to begin with, now the first week largely a wipe-out and perhaps the second as well.)

6. All of us - Tax revenues (income, sales, fuel taxes) down expenses the same or higher across the board.

7. Insurance companies and indirectly us when they raise the rates to cover all the auto claims.

Granted if you are in the towing, plowing or auto body business this is a windfall, but for the general economy, a prolonged impairment of commerce due to weather is not a good thing for an economy that is not so hot to begin with.

Bear in mind all this disclocation is happening here not with a record snowfall, or even the snowfall of the decade, but with a moderate storm followed by cold temps (i.e. a fairly normal event). I have been here almost 10 years, and I have never seen snow removal done worse in the country than in rural Arkansas. It seems part tradition to be snowbound and part about a mentality that we can't afford to clear the roads well. But I think that if an analysis were done, it might be found that given all the various costs of a crippled county, it might be cost effective to treat the roads in a more aggressive manner (i.e. particularly using subcontractors). If I were a major employer, there would be no way I would want to relocate to an area where one inch snowfalls effectively put me out of business for 2-3 days and a 6" snow on a Monday shuts me down for a week.

And yes, the snow is awesomely pretty and great fun to play in, just get it off the roads.

END RANT.

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Unexpected 3" of snow overnight. No wind so it is very pretty out. 22" of snow in the last 5 days.

Missouri had made mention earlier in the season that they were not going to plow secondary state highways with snowfalls under 4". I think they will be persuaded to find the money. EMS personel are not happy trying to respond on hazardous roads. Rural citizens are not going to be happy with the damage to their cars with increasing numbers of slide offs.

This a primary reason we have governments. Roads, bridges, schools.

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Sat AM and looks like we picked up another solid 3" here last evening. Tomorrow looks to add maybe another inch or so - maybe more if it outperforms like our system did yesterday. The midweek system continues to look impressive, though probably not another 15-20" storm lol. Based on 0z runs it looks kinda like the Euro/GGEM vs. the GFS. Euro paints out roughly .55-.65 liquid for this entire region, all snow. GGEM looked similar. GFS continues to be faster and dryer. SGF hinting at the Euro being somewhat of the outlier when compared to even the GFS ensembles. 06z GFS came in wetter so we may be seeing the beginnings of a shift on that model WRT to QPF. Euro is fairly dry for places from Columbia over to STL so this one appears to be on a much more southern route.

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12Z GFS continues to have the massive pure overrunning snow event days 4-5 for OK/AR and extreme southern KS and S MO...basically a repeat of 1/27/00 or 1/6/88...not sure I buy it in a NW flow setup and the ridge out west ...most overrunning events in this region occur when there is flat flow across the Rockies and SW.

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GGEM looks to be going crazy with QPF again - midweek system.

Edit - Reading legends wrong again, but irregardless looks to be a potent system.

Yea springfields writeup saying 4-7" allready with it. Sounds like its going to be one of those long drawn out events? Not like the last big system that dumped on us very fast

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