MoWeatherguy Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Everybody get their fill of snow soon - looks like a big pattern change to milder coming after next week. Not saying we wont get any more snow just that we may end up in more of a battle zone here during the late winter between cold to the north and much milder air south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Everybody get their fill of snow soon - looks like a big pattern change to milder coming after next week. Not saying we wont get any more snow just that we may end up in more of a battle zone here during the late winter between cold to the north and much milder air south. Oh no worries Im satisfied for the season. Let others have it that havent gotten much is how i feel now. After 3 days of nonstop shoveling My back has had enough lol. I shoveled a 50x50 foot area for the dog to play in and then the whole 250x75 foot wide driveway....by hand of course. No easy task! I love snow but man the shoveling is killer lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 GGEM has a 546 500 MB contour dipping down across AZ and NM at that time (144). Looks like the energy is farther south and west. So it's possibly slower than the GFS but it does have a possible storm. Euro looks like it has a pretty decent storm that would probably be more across OK/AR. It's slower of course. Energy dropping into the SW at 144. Pushes east by 168. Looks like the surface low may track from S NM/TX border eastward to W Alabama. Looks like more of a neutral tilt with the trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
natecast Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Euro looks like it has a pretty decent storm that would probably be more across OK/AR. It's slower of course. Energy dropping into the SW at 144. Pushes east by 168. Looks like the surface low may track from S NM/TX border eastward to W Alabama. Looks like more of a neutral tilt with the trough. What kind of a swath of snow does the Euro lay down in OK? Oh, the people around here will love me with this news! It looked like the GFS wanted to spit out about 6 inches in the greater OKC metro. Amazingly, we may have some consensus forming 6-7 days out, just like the last storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
okie333 Posted February 3, 2011 Author Share Posted February 3, 2011 What kind of a swath of snow does the Euro lay down in OK? Oh, the people around here will love me with this news! It looked like the GFS wanted to spit out about 6 inches in the greater OKC metro. Amazingly, we may have some consensus forming 6-7 days out, just like the last storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
natecast Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 :lol: If that would verify, it would be unprecedented down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 What kind of a swath of snow does the Euro lay down in OK? Oh, the people around here will love me with this news! It looked like the GFS wanted to spit out about 6 inches in the greater OKC metro. Amazingly, we may have some consensus forming 6-7 days out, just like the last storm. No idea as I only use the free maps. It would probably be pretty big for down there based on track and intensity of just the surface low. 1002 over S NM/TX border, to 999 over W AL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valerie Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 ok went to my porch to get some snow for ice cream. its so soft and fluffy first time out. so pretty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 JB - The real storm of the century coming next week?? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 JB - The real storm of the century coming next week?? lol what's that mean, and how much precip OKC/Tulsa/ this area get? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wierdo Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 I believe it means Joe Bastardi has made yet another outlandish prediction that will probably not come true. I'm expecting up to 6 inches in the next week or so, personally, but it'll likely be less since some will probably be rain, freezing rain, or sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Some Euro totals for the next 2 events: The Wed/Thur system appears to be all snow everywhere. FAY: Sun - .40 (.25 snow); Wed/Thur - .56 FSM: Sun - .18 (.12 snow); Wed/Thur - .62 TUL: Sun - .35 (.29 snow); Wed/Thur - .37 OKC: Sun - .11 (.08 snow); Wed/Thur - .37 JLN: Sun - .16 snow; Wed/Thur - .40 SGF: Sun - .31 snow; Wed/Thur - .60 Kinda surprised by the lesser totals over OK but this may be indicative of the system really gaining steam as its passing S and E of this region. JMA looks more like the GFS with most precip over OK and AR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Thanks and yeah we're going to have to watch out for a more western track I think in future runs. No idea how much farther west though but it wouldn't be out of the realm of imagination that the same areas get hit again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 what's that mean, and how much precip OKC/Tulsa/ this area get? Just said he would explain later. Unlike the last blizzard this one would intensify northeast instead of weaken. Didnt elaborate on the path yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Thanks and yeah we're going to have to watch out for a more western track I think in future runs. No idea how much farther west though but it wouldn't be out of the realm of imagination that the same areas get hit again. I agree in that I would not be shocked to see this one end up in many of the same places. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 yeah HPC afternoon disco: THE NEW ECMWF HAS TRENDED STRONGLY NWWD WITH A MAJOR STORM MOVING ACROSS THE SERN STATES THU DAY 7. AMIDST HIGH UNCERTAINTY... I WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE SUBSEQUENT RUNS TREND EVEN FARTHER W WITH THIS STORM NEXT WEEK TOWARDS THE FAVORED LA NINA TRACK THRU THE OH VLY/WRN FOOTHILLS OF THE APPALACHIANS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 yeah HPC afternoon disco: THE NEW ECMWF HAS TRENDED STRONGLY NWWD WITH A MAJOR STORM MOVING ACROSS THE SERN STATES THU DAY 7. AMIDST HIGH UNCERTAINTY... I WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE SUBSEQUENT RUNS TREND EVEN FARTHER W WITH THIS STORM NEXT WEEK TOWARDS THE FAVORED LA NINA TRACK THRU THE OH VLY/WRN FOOTHILLS OF THE APPALACHIANS. SE Ridge?? The GFS did make a big jog N since yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 SE Ridge?? The GFS did make a big jog N since yesterday. No idea. I can't even get my driveway shoveled from the last storm though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 No idea. I can't even get my driveway shoveled from the last storm though. Yeah you're prolly ready for a break. SGF saying 2-4 inches for the Sun/Mon timeframe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Tulsa: ATTENTION THEN TURNS TO A POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM DURING THE MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK. 12Z MEDIUM RANGE MODELS HAVE COME INTO FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT BRINGING A POTENT SHORTWAVE FROM WESTERN CANADA...SOUTH THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN AND HEADING FOR THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...NOT UNLIKE THE TRACK OF OUR RECENT HISTORY- MAKING STORM. NOT SUGGESTING THAT A REPEAT IS IN STORE BY ANY MEANS...BUT LATER FORECASTS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED VERY CLOSELY FOR THE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY TIMEFRAME...AND WILL LIKELY CHANGE BETWEEN NOW AND THEN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 I'm not going to lie. I am going a bit stir crazy. haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valerie Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 im worried my wide broom wont clear my driveway getting worried alot wont melt saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 im worried my wide broom wont clear my driveway getting worried alot wont melt saturday. you don't have a snow shovel? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusfront Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 so next week does this mean so far we may get our butts handed top us again with a major storm like this one again ????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
okie333 Posted February 3, 2011 Author Share Posted February 3, 2011 you don't have a snow shovel? Wait... she lives in Oklahoma, where you can "just wait a minute" for the weather to change, and she doesn't even have a snow shovel? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spot Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Lol at the models showing more storms.. I'm sure they all miss me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valerie Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 you don't have a snow shovel? no friend i dont. never thought id ever see a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valerie Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Wait... she lives in Oklahoma, where you can "just wait a minute" for the weather to change, and she doesn't even have a snow shovel? ok why dont you bring your happy self over here and loan me your shovel? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 no friend i dont. never thought id ever see a foot. We have occasional big snowstorms. Some lady here used a rake to rake the snow out of the way but it wasn't working too well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
okie333 Posted February 3, 2011 Author Share Posted February 3, 2011 no friend i dont. never thought id ever see a foot. ...with more on the way! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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