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NE OK/ NW AR/ SE KS/ SW MO Winter 2011 Part 2


okie333

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Blizzard warning here as well now. I think we were in one during that 2006 snowstorm but I cant remember now for sure....not this past xmas but the one before that when I lived in lowry city that was a blizzard warning as well during that xmas snow if memory serves me right

12/24/09 you mean? That one was my favorite of all the snowstorms I've ever been in. (possible double meaning for was)

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URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
315 PM CST MON JAN 31 2011

OKZ054>064-011100-
/O.CAN.KTSA.WS.W.0003.110201T0000Z-110202T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KTSA.BZ.W.0001.110201T0000Z-110202T0600Z/
OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-
DELAWARE-CREEK-
315 PM CST MON JAN 31 2011

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT CST
TUESDAY NIGHT...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT CST
TUESDAY NIGHT...

FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...
* IN OKLAHOMA...CREEK...TULSA...ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...
  PAWNEE...OTTAWA...WASHINGTON...OSAGE...CRAIG AND NOWATA.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
* A MIXTURE OF SLEET AND SNOW WILL SPREAD INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
  LATE THIS EVENING...AND INCREASE IN INTENSITY IN THE EARLY
  MORNING HOURS. HEAVY SNOW AND SLEET...ALONG WITH WIND GUSTS OF
  35 TO 40 MPH WILL OCCUR AFTER SUNRISE AND CONTINUE INTO THE
  AFTERNOON HOURS. SNOWFALL WILL LESSEN BY LATE AFTERNOON...AND
  DIMINISH BY MIDNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT.

* 6 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS NEAR 18
  INCHES...ARE EXPECTED ACROSS AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF
  INTERSTATE 44. ADDITIONALLY...UP TO ONE INCH OF SLEET IS ALSO
  POSSIBLE. THE STRONG WINDS WILL PRODUCE SNOW DRIFTS OF 2 TO 4
  FEET.

* WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WILL BE COMMON DURING THE DAY
  TUESDAY...WITH AREAS OF HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW REDUCING
  VISIBILITIES TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES PRODUCING WHITEOUT
  CONDITIONS. DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS WILL DEVELOP DURING THE DAY
  TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

IMPACTS...
* TRAVEL WILL BECOME NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE EVEN ON TREATED SURFACES.
  THIS INCLUDES THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR THROUGH NORTHEAST
  OKLAHOMA. ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES WILL ALSO REMAIN POSSIBLE.

* ANY LOSS OF POWER WILL RESULT IN A HUMANITARIAN CRISIS...AS
  TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND RESCUE EFFORTS ARE
  HAMPERED BY THE ROAD CONDITIONS.

DEFINITION...
* A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS HEAVY SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND
  EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES ARE EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
* EXPECT HOME-BOUND CONDITIONS. TRAVEL TO BECOME NEAR IMPOSSIBLE...WITH
  WHITEOUT CONDITIONS EXPECTED.

* ANY PRE-STORM PREPAREDNESS ACTIVITIES SHOULD HAVE BEEN
  COMPLETED...INCLUDING ENSURING ADEQUATE FOOD AND MEDICAL
  SUPPLIES.

* STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR
  TELEVISION FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS WEATHER
  EVENT. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT:
  WEATHER.GOV/TULSA.

&&

$$

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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSIONNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO342 PM CST MON JAN 31 2011.DISCUSSION.../340 PM CST MON JAN 31 2011/NOT MUCH CHANGE TO PREVIOUS THINKING AS THIS WILL BE A CRIPPLINGSTORM FOR MUCH OF THE AREA WITH BETWEEN 1/2 AND 1 INCH OF ICE INTHE SOUTHEAST AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WITH 1 TO 2 FEET OF SNOW INTHE NORTWEST WITH WARNING CRITERIA OF BOTH ICE AND SNOW IN BETWEEN.AREA OF SHRA PRODUCING A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET CONTINUESTO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD IN BAND OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCETHAT HAS PERSISTED THROUGH THE DAY. THE LATEST RUNS OF RUC AND NAMSHOW THIS BAND OF FORCING MOVING NEWD THIS EVENING AS WEAKSHORTWAVE TROUGH LIFTS NEWD OF THE AREA. CHANCES OF MEASUREABLEWILL LOWER EXCEPT FOR THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PARTS OF THE CWA ASFRONTOGENESIS INCREASES OVER SOUTHERN MISSOURI IN ADVANCE OF MAINSYSTEM.MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE PATH OF THIS HISTORIC STORMSYSTEM THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.LARGE SCALE ASCENT WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY AHEAD OF NEGATIVELYTILTED TROUGH. IDEAS FROM PREVIOUS DISCUSSIONS STILL STAND THATTHERE WILL BE VERY STRONG LOW-MID LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS AND LOWLEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE FEEDING INTO THE SYSTEM THAT WILLPRODUCE AROUND 2 INCHES OF QPF OVER THE CWA THROUGH EARLYWEDNESDAY. THERE WILL BE ENOUGH NEGATIVE EPV AND OUTRIGHTINSTABILITY TO CAUSE HIGHER AMOUNTS IN MESOSCALE BANDS AND WITHTHUNDERSTORMS. COBB METHOD SUGGEST UP TO 1:15 SLRS WITH THE SNOWBANDS.

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Just looked at the updated zones for this area:

Joplin: Total snow accumulation 17 to 20 inches.

Monett: TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION 11 TO 18 INCHES.

Something has to go horribly wrong.... it just has to.......

If they bust, they are going to look like such arses. Businesses closing, people buying twelve loves of bread. ten gallons of milk.

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Just looked at the updated zones for this area:

Joplin: Total snow accumulation 17 to 20 inches.

Monett: TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION 11 TO 18 INCHES.

Something has to go horribly wrong.... it just has to.......

Good news is it looks like they are backing off of the ice predictions for Joplin and Springfield.

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One of the Hospitals is in an emergency plan and all non-essential departments are closed. Wal-Mart supercenter reminded me of a jungle or something. It was like super panic mode with people buying tons of food. All the bottled water was sold out. Bread isle was mostly depleted. Got the last bag of hamburger buns.

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One of the Hospitals is in an emergency plan and all non-essential departments are closed. Wal-Mart supercenter reminded me of a jungle or something. It was like super panic mode with people buying tons of food. All the bottled water was sold out. Bread isle was mostly depleted. Got the last bag of hamburger buns.

Thats how ours was in bolivar lol. The shelves were completely bare and depleted of everything. We got one of the few remaining loafs of bread lol. Temp is starting to slowly drop now back down to 35.8

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One of the Hospitals is in an emergency plan and all non-essential departments are closed. Wal-Mart supercenter reminded me of a jungle or something. It was like super panic mode with people buying tons of food. All the bottled water was sold out. Bread isle was mostly depleted. Got the last bag of hamburger buns.

Ha, that's funny. We did our shopping at the W. Walmart yesterday and I told my wife then that their shelves would be bare within 24 hours. People here are in panic mode.

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If they bust, they are going to look like such arses. Businesses closing, people buying twelve loves of bread. ten gallons of milk.

Never say never but, you guys are so close to this it looks like a bust would be less than a foot! :lmao: This is really a nowcast situation at this stage....(The RUC and Radar returns.) Really hoping you guys get an epic storm with low hassles & no loss of life. I will be watching closely & rooting you on. Good luck and thoughts of safety to all of you!

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