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NYC Tuesday Overunning Event Discussion


Zelocita Weather

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Looks like there will be 2 distinct impulses over the first part of next week.

The first coming on Tuesday looks to be mainly snow. (2-4") looks to be a reasonable guess looking at all models. GFS/EURO/GEM/NAM all reflect this potential for light to moderate snows (possibly ending as sleet) for the NYC Metro and N/C NJ.

Latest GFS total QPF output for the 1st event: 850s below 0 entire time this QPF is falling and should be all snow.

post-852-0-96757600-1296339412.jpg

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Sorry about that. I will delete it.

NAM has come way south and more impressive with the 1st overunning wave.

QPF through hour 54 (80-100% of this QPF would be snow across the area).

post-852-0-14086300-1296400403.jpg

Clown maps from the NAM....Looks like 3-5" from around rt. 78 North

http://wxcaster.com/gis-snow-overlays.php3?STATIONID=DIX

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