mitchnick Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 You must have the wrong map. nah, I think he has a point actually at least at 850 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 You must have the wrong map. Perhaps. Will clear my cache and see if that helps. If it's better than what I am looking at, that would be good news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Perhaps. Will clear my cache and see if that helps. If it's better than what I am looking at, that would be good news. The surface freezing line at 36HR is not in PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 nah, I think he has a point actually at least at 850 Yeah its in PA at 36 -- the 850 line that is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 no precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Yeah its in PA at 36 -- the 850 line that is I wasn't aware we were tracking that. This won't be snow of any consequence, IMO. It is either FZRA or RA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJField Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 It looks more cold on the first part, then trends warmer for the second. At least to my comparison of 18z and 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I wasn't aware we were tracking that. This won't be snow of any consequence, IMO. It is either FZRA or RA. Looks like mostly rain. Torching at 42HR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 My bad if I misspoke, the 850 is what I was looking at. And it is even further north at 42. Unless I am completely misreading that map, I sure am not seeing WSW criteria for York, PA like they have currently hoisted, and nothing to look twice at for us, at least on this run. Am I wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 It looks more cold on the first part, then trends warmer for the second. At least to my comparison of 18z and 12z The first part being the partly cloudy phase? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 To me this looks like basically a non event for MD VA area. maybe maybe a little snow sleet dusting type stuff then rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dalfy Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 This run looks warmer than 18z at first glance. At 36 freezing line already up into PA with light precip around. Nope its actually very similar at 36.. The temps actually lower a bit after this on 18z and will (if this run is similar to it) on 0z as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 NAM still bouncing around....not that it matters here but the model is not stable yet. Euro seems to have been the steady model... Maybe we can go the whole week without any precip...it is NINA after all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dalfy Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Looks like mostly rain. Torching at 42HR. No surface cools slightly as no precip falls.. Same thing happened @ 18z ( this is on surface) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 This run at 54 will make the people in Chicago less than thrilled I think. The heaviest precip off to their south when on previous runs it was over them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dalfy Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 @ 54 upper to mid 20s are back in northern MD.. freezing line dropps further south as well and precip from the west is moving in. Looks really similar to 18z.. slightly warmer though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 This run at 54 will make the people in Chicago less than thrilled I think. The heaviest precip off to their south when on previous runs it was over them. Pretty nasty dryslot in southern Illinois Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dalfy Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 @ 54 upper to mid 20s are back in northern MD.. freezing line dropps further south as well and precip from the west is moving in. Looks really similar to 18z.. slightly warmer though. 60 is definately warmer than 18z.. Still just above freezing here but if you compare the images the reason is because in the 18z run there is a High pressure just north of detroit where as 0z doesnt have the high pressure there... It can easily change back at 6z.. http://raleighwx.ame...s2mtemps060.gif http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/nam/18znampmsl10mwinds2mtemps066.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I believe Wes said with a low passing so far to the West that these things tend to get drier closer to game time... I guess we will see what the gfs does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I believe Wes said with a low passing so far to the West that these things tend to get drier closer to game time... I guess we will see what the gfs does optimal would be a huge screaming dry slot headed for your house Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 The rain finally arrives at 66, but now plenty warm. But, hey, cross your fingers, those crazy kids in NE might pull this out yet with what looks like a low that develops off the coast of PA and a ton of precip and borderline cold enough temps over them. And, hey, they really need this to work out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 The rain finally arrives at 66, but now plenty warm. But, hey, cross your fingers, those crazy kids in NE might pull this out yet with what looks like a low that develops off the coast of PA and a ton of precip and borderline cold enough temps over them. And, hey, they really need this to work out... northern sne into ne should get rocked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 optimal would be a huge screaming dry slot headed for your house true...would allow me to continue to use my old and tired out material for another week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Pretty boring run around these parts. It spits for a while and then we get a "grand finale" of a few hours of moderate rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 northern sne into ne should get rocked Ray and Will look to get clocked from both ends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Pretty boring run around these parts. It spits for a while and then we get a "grand finale" of a few hours of moderate rain. Succinct. And accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Ray and Will look to get clocked from both ends it'll trend colder up there too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 it'll trend colder up there too. Don't be a hater it is so unbecoming . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 This sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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