KAOS Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 weather is the new sex I think It's about to get a cold shower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JeanineJ Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Just grab a couple of chili cheese dogs from 7-11 I'm so kidding... but i knew a couple of guys who would do that on travel. Quality meal is priority. geesh. I'll come along, but I'm low on cash. Whole Foods per diem? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 06Z GFS really pulls the warm air in. Has the surface freezing line all the way up into central NY state with 50's into central MD. With what it is showing at this point the next batch of moisture would be all rain with no frozen except for the mountains in western MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 06Z GFS really pulls the warm air in. Has the surface freezing line all the way up into central NY state with 50's into central MD. With what it is showing at this point the next batch of moisture would be all rain with no frozen except for the mountains in western MD. I'm not sure I believe that will be the case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 06Z Nam is much colder then the GFS. It shows at this point roughly .10 for most of northern MD before it warms enough for plain rain. Just a little north of the Mason Dixon line in central PA is very close an all frozen event. Unlike the GFS Baltimore struggles to get to 40 for a high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I'm not sure I believe that will be the case. I agree. Think the NAM is probably more realistic. Though to be honest I would rather have the GFS verify because I really hate dealing with the ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I agree. Think the NAM is probably more realistic. Though to be honest I would rather have the GFS verify because I really hate dealing with the ice. This may be somewhat personal bias/weenieness on my part, but I don't think any of the models are "realistic". All models were Much too warm at the surface with the last Ice event...heck, GFS had me at 44 degrees for the high...the actual temp ended up at 31. NAM was 38. The storm ended up cutting my power. Not saying the same rules apply here, but models tend to erode the cold air much too quickly at the surface. There being light winds during the timeframe of interest also play into my skeptical view of the "warm" idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 03Z SREF is warm. Basically all rain with highs hitting close to 50 up to Baltimore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 This may be somewhat personal bias/weenieness on my part, but I don't think any of the models are "realistic". All models were Much too warm at the surface with the last Ice event...heck, GFS had me at 44 degrees for the high...the actual temp ended up at 31. NAM was 38. The storm ended up cutting my power. Not saying the same rules apply here, but models tend to erode the cold air much too quickly at the surface. Models do have a habit of underestimating CAD. I think the one thing we should be looking at is how warm it gets today. If we go above freezing that probably will mean we don't see frozen precip. because I don't see the temps dropping tonight that much if at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 This storm sucks. Had to ice scrape my car, and no work delay. Fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowguy Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 i still have no idea why people root for freezing rain, it is the worst kind of weather to have. If it is going to remain liquid, I hope the temperature never makes it to freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 i still have no idea why people root for freezing rain, it is the worst kind of weather to have. If it is going to remain liquid, I hope the temperature never makes it to freezing. Cause it's different and cool to look at Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowguy Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Cause it's different and cool to look at Maybe if it forms icicles on trees, but how does black ice look cool? It is just a travel headache and makes it hard for people like myself to get around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I know I don't want freezing rain/ice. My knee is throbbing from falling on a patch of black ice in front of my house this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Maybe if it forms icicles on trees, but how does black ice look cool? It is just a travel headache and makes it hard for people like myself to get around. you would rather have plain rain over this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
agordon5 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 you would rather have plain rain over this? yes, very much so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dalfy Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 you would rather have plain rain over this? Looks pretty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Finding it hard to image Wed morning will be worse than Tues morning along the I-95 corridor DC-Balto. Got down to 26 IMBY Tues morning. With a mostly dry daytime progged for Tuesday, temps would get a chance to rise and they will likely go above freezing along the I-95 corridor. Will be hard for them to get back to the 26-29 range Tues nite with heavier precip moving in and SW-ly flow aloft increasing. Low temps along I-95 DC-Balto are forecasted to be more like 30-32 as opposed to 26-29 from what I’ve read. That may cause a little icing but as ground surface temps eventually warms just enuf, I would think the icing will cease well before morning. Guess they’re relying on the alleged weak coastal low bringing a more NE-ly flow during Tues evening (?) – otherwise, don’t see where the cold-for-icing temps are coming from for a widespread icing – again – for the I-95 corridor DC-Balto. Other possibility is that it stays damp all day and temps don’t get much more than a degree or so above 32. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 NAM just took ALOT of QPF away for tomorrow. Shows .25 though with temps at 32.1 at Leesburg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Symblized Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Wow. http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=ILZ014&warncounty=ILC031&firewxzone=ILZ014&local_place1=Cicero+IL&product1=Lakeshore+Flood+Warning Up to 25 foot waves on Lake Michigan with this storm: NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH THIS EVENING WITHGUSTS OF 50 TO 60 MPH. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY RESULT INWAVES BUILDING TO 14 TO 18 FT...WITH OCCASIONAL WAVES UP TO 25 FT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Wow. http://forecast.weat...e+Flood+Warning Up to 25 foot waves on Lake Michigan with this storm: NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH THIS EVENING WITHGUSTS OF 50 TO 60 MPH. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY RESULT INWAVES BUILDING TO 14 TO 18 FT...WITH OCCASIONAL WAVES UP TO 25 FT. so jealous. If we had any blocking, this owuld of been our storm. A long duration monster like last years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeannapolis Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 so jealous. If we had any blocking, this owuld of been our storm. A long duration monster like last years I'm not jealous of the folks who are going to get ice from this storm. I think the residents of Indianapolis would gladly trade places with you. A good chunk of them are going to be without power for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 It's impressive that New England is on the (relatively) warm side of the storm, yet they'll get pummeled with snow/sleet. We in the mid-Atl almost never enjoy that scenario with such heavy accums as they're seeing in ALB, ORF, etc. in this type of set-up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dobie Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Don't want to talk about ICE! I'm wishing this storm was taking dead aim at us! I was just looking at the dynamics of the beast. WOW!! Some areas of the country are going to unloaded upon. A 2100 mile path of a foot or more, 33 states effected, 9 Blizzard Warnings and a 100 million people under the gun. It's beautiful!! I love of a snow storm of this magnitude ...it is awesome. I guess if your here you do too. I suppose we can take solace in our winter last year. The rest of the country watched US! Just looking back at the pictures of my wife and kids having so much fun playing and enjoying the white that fell all over our area are sweet memories. Good times. Our time will come again. In a way, the challenge of forecasting in the DC metro area is half the fun. Keep the faith. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 so jealous. If we had any blocking, this owuld of been our storm. A long duration monster like last years Absolutely. If there was a block, then WE would be the ones getting 18"+ with a blizzard, and last week accuwx was hyping that possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Absolutely. If there was a block, then WE would be the ones getting 18"+ with a blizzard, and last week accuwx was hyping that possibility. Are you kidding? Accuweather doesn't hype anything. I hope we can get at least one more shot of big snow soon... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I would like to nominate myself as the biggest snow weenie. Going on a snow chase to upstate New York with my family. Leaving this afternoon. I know we've gotten close to 150" so far this year, but I can't stand to stay and watch our snow widdle away with heavy rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Don Cherry's Jacket Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 you would rather have plain rain over this? Yes, because my power lines and Internet connections are usually underneath the tree. Not trying to be a killjoy, but the 3 days without power and the continuing outage of all com services is kind of craptastic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Maybe I am sicko, but I'd want the ice to an extent. I'd take being in my apartment without power anyday over being at work with power. Breaks up the montony of everyday living. Dec 26th storm up in Jersey we got 30 inches of snow, were stranded for 4 days. It was fun. Beats work anyday. This is a sad turn of events. Rain and warmth for the awhile. Winter seems to be taking a break just in time for Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Unscheduled leave for Feds tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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