smokeybandit Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 WWA for "a few hundredths of an inch"? Isnt that basically what's on the roads every morning as the snow melts during the day and re-freezes at night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 WWA for "a few hundredths of an inch"? Isnt that basically what's on the roads every morning as the snow melts during the day and re-freezes at night? Yeah but that's spotty. Not to mention that you only really need a trace to get a WWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 New WWA here has 0.1-0.2" of ice tonight. WSW for tomorrow night into Wednesday morning for an additional ice accumulation of 0.25"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redskinsnut Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 LOL @ "few hundredths of an inch" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 LOL @ "few hundredths of an inch" The criteria for an advisory for fzra is only a trace.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Agreed 100%. I usually ignore the Monday Morning Quarterbacks in here. uhh.. do you even know what monday morning quarterbacking is? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redskinsnut Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 The criteria for an advisory for fzra is only a trace.... This is special "CYA" frozen precipitation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
haudidoody Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Despite what you might think, this area cannot afford to have another fiasco like last week. Sure it can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 uhh.. do you even know what monday morning quarterbacking is? I'm glad it was you who asked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 any word on 18z nam temps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Ji, looks warm at 24 compared to last run of nam. Only out to 24. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 any word on 18z nam temps? http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/nam/18znampmsl10mwinds2mtemps024.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Ji, looks warm at 24 compared to last run of nam. Only out to 24. of course:( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Agreed 100%. I usually ignore the Monday Morning Quarterbacks in here. Yeah, who needs some of the best mets and forecasters in the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 of course:( No precip here through 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 No precip here through 30. all he!! breaks loose after 36 hrs here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 42 we get pounded with some type of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Yeah, on 36 hour panel, plenty of rain and temps back to being really on edge for a shot of ice, particularly along m/d line and even down to BWI areas. At 42 when the deluge arrives, looks like rain for all in our area, no ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 they might be but it's not over yet so who knows This. See more below. Yeah, who needs some of the best mets and forecasters in the area. And this. But, there is a difference. Our mets don't come in here and criticize the NWS. That's done by our resident "expert amatuer mets". I wouldn't dare predict what this might do, but these experts who have no problem in being critical of the NWS will be nowhere to be found if this turns out messy. They'll just hide out for a few days and then slink back in when the next threat shows up so they can demonstrate more of their prognosticating prowess. I hate ice, but I'd like to see this be a doozy just so I could multi-quote about 10 or 15 of these gems just to see their replies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 .TONIGHT...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW OR SLEET IN THE EVENING...THEN SNOW OR SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. LITTLE OR NO SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION. ICE ACCUMULATION AROUND A TRACE. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT. .TUESDAY...FREEZING RAIN...SNOW AND SLEET IN THE MORNING...THEN FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION UP TO 1 INCH. ICE ACCUMULATION OF UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT. http://weather.noaa....e/md/mdz006.txt Yea - not even the over the top experimental map on LWX has 0.5 in Baltimore Co. Maybe up near HGR along the PA border, but def not Baltimore Co. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I'm so over this "threat". Ugh. I guess folks N and W have reason to pay attention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Where is OEM1 getting his information? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 42 we get pounded with some type of rain. wet rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Yea - not even the over the top experimental map on LWX has 0.5 in Baltimore Co. Maybe up near HGR along the PA border, but def not Baltimore Co. not to give oem room to thump himself but the tues night period says freezing rain so im sure there would be more there if they had a forecast for that period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 .TONIGHT...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW OR SLEET IN THE EVENING...THEN SNOW OR SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. LITTLE OR NO SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION. ICE ACCUMULATION AROUND A TRACE. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT. .TUESDAY...FREEZING RAIN...SNOW AND SLEET IN THE MORNING...THEN FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION UP TO 1 INCH. ICE ACCUMULATION OF UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT. http://weather.noaa....e/md/mdz006.txt There's still more after the day Tuesday .TUESDAY NIGHT...FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR 100 PERCENT. .WEDNESDAY...FREEZING RAIN OR RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR 100 PERCENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 not to give oem room to thump himself but the tues night period says freezing rain so im sure there would be more there if they had a forecast for that period But not .5 worth of ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 NAM is like 60 degrees warmer than 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 NAM gets up to to like 35 though, so its close, but defiantly rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainstorm Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 DT gracious: Wxrisk.com *** ALERT *** Folks I have to take time out to say... BEFORE the Midwest event actually begins... that Meteorologist Larry Cosgrove's forecast for this Midwest Blizzard has been stellar!! My ORIGINAL idea was more of Ohio valley storm with the NEXT one being a more classic Midwest track. L...arry argued otherwise and he will be 100% correct... FABULOUS forecast LC !!!!!!!!!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 And this. But, there is a difference. Our mets don't come in here and criticize the NWS. That's done by our resident "expert amatuer mets". I wouldn't dare predict what this might do, but these experts who have no problem in being critical of the NWS will be nowhere to be found if this turns out messy. They'll just hide out for a few days and then slink back in when the next threat shows up so they can demonstrate more of their prognosticating prowess. I hate ice, but I'd like to see this be a doozy just so I could multi-quote about 10 or 15 of these gems just to see their replies. Good statement in the bold right there. The reason why mets don't really criticize the NWS is because we've all been there before. Yeah I agree that the NWS dropped the ball on the last storm, but everything that needed to be said was said and the NWS is actually a department of the government that DOES QC their forecasts and holds people accountable. Ultimately what we say here will have very little or no effect on how the NWS runs anyway, so there really isn't any reason to go into it at length (i.e. a 4 page + thread). All that aside, it appears as though they're going a bit overboard on the southern extent of the watches, but at the same time just a little ice can cause a very, very big mess, and with the potential for another catastrophe I think it's better for them to have put up the watches where they did now instead of not doing so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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