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Mid week storm talk continued


mitchnick

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Looks like LWX is being overwhelmed...

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC

1238 PM EST MON JAN 31 2011

.SYNOPSIS...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST STATES THROUGH

TONIGHT. MEANWHILE...A STORM SYSTEM OVER THE PLAINS TONIGHT WILL

MOVE EAST INTO THE OHIO VALLEY ON TUESDAY BEFORE CROSSING THE MID

ATLANTIC TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS FOR

THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK. LOW PRESSURE MAY AFFECT THE REGION BY

SATURDAY OF NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...

-- Changed Discussion --SO SORRY - IN THE MENTAL COMMMOTION OF TRYING TO DECIDE WHAT TO DO

W/ TNGT AND TUE NGT EVENTS PLUS BRIEFINGS DSCN FELL THRU THE CRACKS.

WE HV UPDATED THE WINT STORM WTCH TO INCLUDE COUNTIES FM HOWARD MD

TO GRANT WV. THAT WL BE IN EFFECT FOR TUE NGT. EARLIER ISSUED

WATCH FOR THE PA BORDER COUNTIES RMNS IN EFFECT. WE THINK THERE WL

BE FZRA TNGT..BUT NOT ENOUGH TO WARRANT A WRNG. PLAN WL LKLY BE TO

ISSUE AN ADVSRY FOR TNGT AND CONT W/ THE WTCH FOR TUE NGT. AS TUE

NGT PCPN AMTS WL BE GRTR THERE IS A CHC THAT WRNGS MAY NEED TO BE

ISSUED FOR TMRW NGT - PRBLY AS THE 1ST EVENT IS WINDING DOWN. WE

THINK IT WOULD BE LESS CONFUSING TO ISSUE THESE AS 2 SEPARATE

PRODUCTS AS OPPOSED TO 1 LENGTHY WRNG.-- End Changed Discussion --

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The chances of the Euro being right on temps is like my waistline very slim.

i suppose tho in the last ice storm we got coastal development not a big low running just to our west. i think we're more likely to underperform than overperform on this one...

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no wonder I had so many disapointments as a kid listening to radio and tv braodcasts of the NWS forecast. This has almost no chance to be anything more then a neusance level event yet the way the news and NWS are still headlining this would have goten me excited if I was 10 and did not know any better. I just heard a radio forecast for "snow developing tonight, mixing with sleet towards morning" then "snow, sleet, and freezing rain in the morning possibly becoming rain later in the day and that there is a winter storm watch in effect through Wednesday" The people here are convinced we will have off tomorrow. They are totally neglegent. The "snow" they talk about is flurries, the sleet and freezing rain is freezing drizzle. I have stayed out of the whole NWS sucks talk until now but really its no wonder the general public thinks meterologists suck. They do not know any better, this is the stuff they hear and react too and its completely unnacceptable. Just listening to that forecast I would expect a major event tomorrow and when it doesnt happen the general public is going to think forecasts are a joke again.

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Am I missing something, or not reading between the lines properly? In reading this thread, I've been getting the feeling that this is not likely to be much of an event other than well N/W. But now Feds are doing unscheduled leave, and I have friends in close-in MoCo panicking after seeing the Winter Storm Watch and the latest CWG post?

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no wonder I had so many disapointments as a kid listening to radio and tv braodcasts of the NWS forecast. This has almost no chance to be anything more then a neusance level event yet the way the news and NWS are still headlining this would have goten me excited if I was 10 and did not know any better. I just heard a radio forecast for "snow developing tonight, mixing with sleet towards morning" then "snow, sleet, and freezing rain in the morning possibly becoming rain later in the day and that there is a winter storm watch in effect through Wednesday" The people here are convinced we will have off tomorrow. They are totally neglegent. The "snow" they talk about is flurries, the sleet and freezing rain is freezing drizzle. I have stayed out of the whole NWS sucks talk until now but really its no wonder the general public thinks meterologists suck. They do not know any better, this is the stuff they hear and react too and its completely unnacceptable. Just listening to that forecast I would expect a major event tomorrow and when it doesnt happen the general public is going to think forecasts are a joke again.

If this does indeed turn out to be a non event, it is VERY misleading. The NWS makes it sound like a prolonged and dangerous freezing rain event is coming.

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Am I missing something, or not reading between the lines properly? In reading this thread, I've been getting the feeling that this is not likely to be much of an event other than well N/W. But now Feds are doing unscheduled leave, and I have friends in close-in MoCo panicking after seeing the Winter Storm Watch and the latest CWG post?

In DC it looks like this event will be minor unless the forecast models are drastically wrong. The Feds are just trying to be super careful because people left 2 hours early last week and ended up getting home 11 hours late and were pretty mad about it.

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Am I missing something, or not reading between the lines properly? In reading this thread, I've been getting the feeling that this is not likely to be much of an event other than well N/W. But now Feds are doing unscheduled leave, and I have friends in close-in MoCo panicking after seeing the Winter Storm Watch and the latest CWG post?

i think ppl are just being cautious. i could be wrong but this is not a favorable setup for a big freezing rain event.

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What the hell is going on out there?!?!?

> From: xxxxxxx

> To: Randylegetxxxxx

> Date: Mon, 31 Jan 2011 13:16:25 -0500

> Subject: What's up with the freezing rain?

>

> Randy,

>

> I'm starting to hear significant weather developments from colleagues, not you. What's up with that????

>

> Seriously, do I need to leave early today? (I'm in NoVA). Am I likely to make it to work tomorrow? People are starting to freak out and buy every loaf of bread, carton of milk, etc., in the store. (I shopped Sat., so am set!)

>

> Thanks in advance!

>

> Bxxxx

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The following message applies only to Tuesday, February 1, 2011

A storm system approaching the National Capital Region later this evening is not expected to affect evening commutes, but will continue through Wednesday. Conditions will be highly variable and may include ice, sleet, and freezing rain. To protect the safety of Federal workers and our community, maintain continuity of operations and assist employees in planning accordingly, we are announcing for Tuesday, February 1 the option for unscheduled leave/telework.

Now is the time for managers and employees to discuss the possibility of working from home tomorrow. Uncertain weather conditions could extend through Wednesday. OPM will update the operating status as needed and appropriate. This may include a delayed arrival on Tuesday morning. OPM will continue to monitor conditions closely and will make that decision as soon as possible. Please follow your local news and www.opm.gov/status closely for updates.

"The safety of Federal employees and our community is our top priority," said OPM Director John Berry. "This early announcement gives employees and managers the flexibility to stay safe and keep our government working."

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The following message applies only to Tuesday, February 1, 2011

A storm system approaching the National Capital Region later this evening is not expected to affect evening commutes, but will continue through Wednesday. Conditions will be highly variable and may include ice, sleet, and freezing rain. To protect the safety of Federal workers and our community, maintain continuity of operations and assist employees in planning accordingly, we are announcing for Tuesday, February 1 the option for unscheduled leave/telework.

Now is the time for managers and employees to discuss the possibility of working from home tomorrow. Uncertain weather conditions could extend through Wednesday. OPM will update the operating status as needed and appropriate. This may include a delayed arrival on Tuesday morning. OPM will continue to monitor conditions closely and will make that decision as soon as possible. Please follow your local news and www.opm.gov/status closely for updates.

"The safety of Federal employees and our community is our top priority," said OPM Director John Berry. "This early announcement gives employees and managers the flexibility to stay safe and keep our government working."

This even caught me off guard. What a difference a 7" snowstorm can make on how people plan for things.

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AmericanWx News Update

[bREAKING NEWS]

January 31, 2011

Washington DC -

Residents in the Washington area, as well as government officials are bracing for what could be the most devastating invasion of freezing drizzle to ever impact the Mid-Atlantic. Trace amounts of wintry precipitation are expected in Washington DC tonight (with slightly higher amounts north). These trace amounts may result in a zombie apocalypse. Residents are urged to empty all store shelves of bread, milk, and toilet paper. Extra supplies of toilet paper are recommended for those who cannot handle the sound of rainfall on your roof.

Pay no attention to the rational meteorologists - they know nothing of the impending doom. Come tomorrow morning we will all cease to exist underneath a trace of ice accumulation. Good luck to everyone and we hope everyone fares well. See you after the end.

UPDATE: Third party sources have told us that not only may the trace amounts of ice bring a zombie apocalypse, but they may also bring a massive invasion of Ian clones.

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