weathervswife Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Unnamed storm, we hardly knew ye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 This is all happening because Ian wouldn't allow this threat to be named. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 here comes a monster AND with a cold HI hr 228 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 This storm wont work out...Henry M is already talking about it when he should be focused on a midwest blizzard...IMO its going to be another tight consolidated low that passes off to our east...We'll see though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Ugh... storm misses mostly to the east AND it's too warm. MDstorm The set-up does not look good for snow here. No high pressure to be found except for off of the east coast. Also, having the GFS too warm at this time frame doesn't make me feel too confident (how often does the GFS trend colder for storms?). MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Preach it Midlo!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 here comes a monster AND with a cold HI hr 228 even with a classic hi it gives us snow to rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Looks like all southern stream and no cold air whatsoever for it to work with. Jeez. Then southwest flow and continued warm look even after it's gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 It wouldn't be the GFS without a fantasyland storm. Always 10 days from goodness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Phin, you will be happy to know it is wanting to make it cold/dry following the warm/wet... oh and then back to warm/wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 even with a classic hi it gives us snow to rain Actually, that fantasy storm looks more like snow to ice if you take the GFS at face value. 2-m temperatures are well enough below freezing, 850 is marginal, and the thickness is above 540. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 That day 10 storm has a lot going for it. Let's keep an eye on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Ian's favorite met is saying this weekend's storm is a Midwest storm I would have to agree with that setup. No block and no high to the north. If it gets wound up at all it will be west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 The set-up does not look good for snow here. No high pressure to be found except for off of the east coast. Also, having the GFS too warm at this time frame doesn't make me feel too confident (how often does the GFS trend colder for storms?). MDstorm On the other hand the H5 vort passes to our south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On the other hand the H5 vort passes to our south. You still need something to bring down the cold air. And it aint gonna happen with the setup shown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 And...say hello to the southeast ridge as we approach 348-h. If there were good blocking with a well-placed -NAO around this time, a broad flow like what the GFS indicates might not be too bad, would possibly be good for an overrunning snow in that case. But alas, not quite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redskinsnut Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 That day 10 storm has a lot going for it. Let's keep an eye on this one. If it continues to show potential for 18z runs it could probably even use it's own thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 If it continues to show potential for 18z runs it could probably even use it's own thread. Even more importantly, what should we name that fantasy storm?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 30, 2011 Author Share Posted January 30, 2011 i said y-day it looked like another thread the needle but the 500 maps on the gfs look pretty good.. better than yesterday by a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 i said y-day it looked like another thread the needle but the 500 maps on the gfs look pretty good.. better than yesterday by a lot. High sliding east and the event gets delayed, allowing for some more cold to seep down and keep it just cold enough for a nasty H5 to go slightly negative to the south of us? I'll take my chances with that scenario again, even if it's like lightning striking twice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 EUro is giving snow then a decent amount of Ice for Tues morning over .3" for all 3 airports Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJ3 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 What a difference a year makes. A year ago we were thrilled over a storm we thought might miss us more to the south than it did. We had the hopes of a major storm to come later in the week with more on the horizon. All of which verified. Now, we lost what would have been another first week of Feb. biggie and we are hoping for miracles beyond. I do like the optimism though. I think most of us thought this would be the case as these big anniversaries neared. It still doesn't make is any easier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 What a difference a year makes. A year ago we were thrilled over a storm we thought might miss us more to the south than it did. We had the hopes of a major storm to come later in the week with more on the horizon. All of which verified. Now, we lost what would have been another first week of Feb. biggie and we are hoping for miracles beyond. I do like the optimism though. I think most of us thought this would be the case as these big anniversaries neared. It still doesn't make is any easier. let me express this statement a little differently....this winter sux compared to last Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 30, 2011 Author Share Posted January 30, 2011 High sliding east and the event gets delayed, allowing for some more cold to seep down and keep it just cold enough for a nasty H5 to go slightly negative to the south of us? I'll take my chances with that scenario again, even if it's like lightning striking twice. Right now it looks kind of similar to Wed. I guess id have to logically bet against a repeat but it's worth watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 let me express this statement a little differently....this winter sux compared to last It's still been a good winter in northern MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 It's still been a good winter in northern MD. my statement was "compared to last" tell me don't dispute that? as for this winter on its own, there are a lot of similarities to 00/01 when N MD did well and BWI did not this year is one tick better than 00/01 at BWI time will tell whether it moves up or stinks as much as 00/01 did for BWI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 my statement was "compared to last" tell me don't dispute that? as for this winter on its own, there are a lot of similarities to 00/01 when N MD did well and BWI did not this year is one tick better than 00/01 at BWI time will tell whether it moves up or stinks as much as 00/01 did for BWI I think this will end up being a 1960s type Nina with near-average snowfall at BWI. But that's just me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 my statement was "compared to last" tell me don't dispute that? as for this winter on its own, there are a lot of similarities to 00/01 when N MD did well and BWI did not this year is one tick better than 00/01 at BWI time will tell whether it moves up or stinks as much as 00/01 did for BWI I think BWI is above average for snowfall for this point in the season, and we know how cold its been. Not a bad winter, really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 this run of the Euro is as warm, if not a hair warmer in some respects, to last night's run through Wed eve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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