stormtracker Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Anybody want to break down the nam other than saying it's horrible? It's really horrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 It's really horrible. why does everything always trend in the wrong direction for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 2, 2011 Author Share Posted February 2, 2011 wow the nam is pretty bad. heh it could become an ohio valley low at this rate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 9.4 7.3 in Jan, 2.1 in Dec i guess the fear is ... right now is sorta how nina should look. Well, NYC's max-out-every-storm fortune has hit a wall. Even Boston looks to come in somewhat less than forecast by the end of this storm... so the focus has shifted away from the urban northeast for the time being. But, I do like where we stand, even if we revert back to Nina climo. Because our seasonal average is low enough, it really just takes one more good (even fluke) snow to get us to a decent total-- and we have a month and a half for that to happen. I guess the 04/05 through 08/09 season was just such a long period of ugh that this winter so far really seems pretty good to me. Frequent accumulating snows with one big one this winter has been much better than three accumulating snows the entire winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 wow the nam is pretty bad. heh it could become an ohio valley low at this rate. its the nam at 84. the joke is it cant even nail it from 6. Toss it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Symblized Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 I am at almost 20" for the season and my seasonal average is 24" so i am almost there. I am sure by the time the season is over i will either be at or over my average, so for a La Nina winter it is pretty damn good. Your tag says Baltimore. Where in the Baltimore area are you? KBWI is only at 11.9 inches total on the year. That's a pretty significant difference unless you're pretty far north or west of the city, I would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Your tag says Baltimore. Where in the Baltimore area are you? KBWI is only at 11.9 inches total on the year. That's a pretty significant difference unless you're pretty far north or west of the city, I would think. He said he's 25 miles north of BWI, so for all I know he could live around Sparks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Your tag says Baltimore. Where in the Baltimore area are you? KBWI is only at 11.9 inches total on the year. That's a pretty significant difference unless you're pretty far north or west of the city, I would think. The tarmac at BWI doesn't really reflect most of the greater Baltimore area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 The tarmac at BWI doesn't really reflect most of the greater Baltimore area. BWI's snow totals are usually pretty reasonable for where it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 BWI's snow totals are usually pretty reasonable for where it is. Fuzz, I wasn't commenting on that concept at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 He said he's 25 miles north of BWI, so for all I know he could live around Sparks. Dundalk or Essex, I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 The snowfall ranges in Baltimore actually do vary greatly. Not sure if its still the case, but one point Baltimore County Schools had two different zones when determining whether to close or delay school because the weather in Northern Baltimore County was often vastly different than near the Baltimore Beltway. One of the only school systems I have ever heard of that was so large they had to have to two different zones for snow days cause it, literally, spans two different microclimates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 The snowfall ranges in Baltimore actually do vary greatly. Not sure if its still the case, but one point Baltimore County Schools had two different zones when determining whether to close or delay school because the weather in Northern Baltimore County was often vastly different than near the Baltimore Beltway. One of the only school systems I have ever heard of that was so large they had to have to two different zones for snow days cause it, literally, spans two different microclimates. Yes, I remember that. They called it the "Hereford zone", which would sometimes have a snow day while the rest of us had a 2 hr delay. Baltimore county averages anywhere from 15 to 35 inches of snow. Not to mention, LWX splits it into Northern and Southern sections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Dundalk or Essex, I think. I don't think so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 The snowfall ranges in Baltimore actually do vary greatly. Not sure if its still the case, but one point Baltimore County Schools had two different zones when determining whether to close or delay school because the weather in Northern Baltimore County was often vastly different than near the Baltimore Beltway. One of the only school systems I have ever heard of that was so large they had to have to two different zones for snow days cause it, literally, spans two different microclimates. Loudoun county VA is the same way. They do not have 2 declared zones but the western half of the county is completely different than the Eastern half. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 2, 2011 Author Share Posted February 2, 2011 vort looks pretty good http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/00/images/gfs_500_090m.gif for western pa and central ny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Winter over. Cya guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 The snowfall ranges in Baltimore actually do vary greatly. Not sure if its still the case, but one point Baltimore County Schools had two different zones when determining whether to close or delay school because the weather in Northern Baltimore County was often vastly different than near the Baltimore Beltway. One of the only school systems I have ever heard of that was so large they had to have to two different zones for snow days cause it, literally, spans two different microclimates. They still do the infamous "Hereford Zone" thing as far as I know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Winter over. Cya guys Well according to the 0z GFS there is still atleast 2 weeks of winter like weather left. No warm up through hr 300. It's not over yet guys by a long shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 This February will be very stingy here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobk Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 They still do the infamous "Hereford Zone" thing as far as I know. I do believe the Hereford Zone still exists - I went to school in Essex back in the early 70s before the zone thing and remember two times getting off early with one with partly cloudy skies and the other time with rain because it was snowing hard from Towson north both times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Your tag says Baltimore. Where in the Baltimore area are you? KBWI is only at 11.9 inches total on the year. That's a pretty significant difference unless you're pretty far north or west of the city, I would think. I live in Greenspring Valley if you know where that is, it is in Baltimore County. I got 13.5" just from last Wed storm alone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 I live in Greenspring Valley if you know where that is, it is in Baltimore County. I got 13.5" just from last Wed storm alone. I guess calling you a Dundalk boy was a big insult in that case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 I guess calling you a Dundalk boy was a big insult in that case. Yes it sure was, although i have been to Dundalk a few times to see the shopping center i own there . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Yes it sure was, although i have been to Dundalk a few times to see the shopping center i own there . I like to lord over the Dundalk, Essex, Rosedale, and Middle River fellers since Kingsville is basically the top of the eastern Baltimore County food-chain, but even we are base rednecks compared to some of the areas out west. Good stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 I like to lord over the Dundalk, Essex, Rosedale, and Middle River fellers since Kingsville is basically the top of the eastern Baltimore County food-chain, but even we are base rednecks compared to some of the areas out west. Good stuff. I have lived in this area my entire life and although i do not live with rednecks i do love them . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 06Z NAM doesn't look good. Looks like it will have the 500 trough go fairly far to our north and west. 850's aren't even close with the freezing line into central PA @ 84. Only saving grace is that this is the NAM at 84? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 00Z GFS ensemble means look better with the 500's vs. the OP. The means have a colder look and would be probably be snow for north and west of DC and Baltimore if not into the cities. Looking at the individual members most do show a better 500 but only 3 show a decent snow for around 95 and west. Still a semi decent amount of spread with the members though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 6z GFS ensembles mostly say rain. A few are snow for most of the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 12Z Nam is still looking ugly for those hoping for snow. Still showing the trough going north and west of the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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